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Virtu Financial (VIRT)
NYSE:VIRT
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Virtu Financial (VIRT) AI Stock Analysis

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VIRT

Virtu Financial

(NYSE:VIRT)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$64.00
▼(-4.53% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/22/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins and improving TTM results) but moderated by leverage and weaker cash-flow-to-debt coverage. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend and positive momentum. Valuation is a notable positive due to the low P/E and a modest dividend yield, while the earnings call reinforces strong operating momentum but acknowledges rising cost pressures and incremental debt.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
Virtu’s high operating and net margins demonstrate strong economics in its market-making and execution activities. Recent revenue re-acceleration suggests improved demand and trading conditions, while substantial profitability provides resources to invest in technology, talent, and future growth.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Historically elevated leverage and weak operating-cash-flow coverage reduce Virtu’s financial flexibility if trading conditions deteriorate. Debt can constrain capital allocation and make it harder to fund growth or reduce obligations quickly when market volumes, volatility, or spreads become less favorable.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Profitability
Virtu’s high operating and net margins demonstrate strong economics in its market-making and execution activities. Recent revenue re-acceleration suggests improved demand and trading conditions, while substantial profitability provides resources to invest in technology, talent, and future growth.
Read all positive factors

Virtu Financial (VIRT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Virtu Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Virtu Financial, Inc. stands as a leading financial services firm, delivering a comprehensive suite of data, analytical, and connectivity products to a global clientele. The company is structured around two core operational segments: Market Making...
How the Company Makes Money
Virtu primarily makes money through two broad activities: (1) market making/principal trading and (2) client-facing execution and technology services. 1) Market making / principal trading (core economic engine) - Liquidity provision and spread ca...

Virtu Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong financial and operational momentum: record trailing 12-month metrics, robust quarterly profitability (61% adjusted EBITDA margin), substantial capital build (trading capital up to $3.4B) and exceptional returns on invested capital (106% over the year). Management emphasized purposeful hiring, lower attrition and the firm's ability to opportunistically deploy capital. Offsetting these positives are rising personnel-related costs (cash compensation up to ~25%), a quarterly increase in brokerage/transaction costs, and a $500 million term loan that modestly increases leverage. Product evolution (e.g., regulated perpetuals) remains an uncertain near-term revenue source. Overall, the positive operational and financial developments materially outweigh the highlighted headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance (Quarter and Trailing 12 Months)
Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $437 million with a 61% margin; Q2 adjusted EPS $1.82. Trailing 12-month results are all-time highs: adjusted EBITDA $1.7 billion, adjusted EPS $6.96, and ANT per day of $10.4 million. For the quarter, adjusted net trading income (ANT) was $11.6 million per day (total ANT ~$718 million).
Negative Updates
Rising Compensation Ratios
Cash compensation ratio increased to roughly 25% in the quarter (year-to-date 23%), up from about 20% a year ago (≈+5 percentage points, ~+25% relative increase). Management expects a low-to-mid-20s cash compensation ratio in the near term, indicating higher ongoing personnel costs while the firm hires aggressively.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Financial Performance (Quarter and Trailing 12 Months)
Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $437 million with a 61% margin; Q2 adjusted EPS $1.82. Trailing 12-month results are all-time highs: adjusted EBITDA $1.7 billion, adjusted EPS $6.96, and ANT per day of $10.4 million. For the quarter, adjusted net trading income (ANT) was $11.6 million per day (total ANT ~$718 million).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to continued capital accumulation and disciplined deployment while maintaining modest leverage and its quarterly dividend of $0.24 per share; key metrics cited include total trading capital of $3.4 billion (up from $2.0 billion a year ago) and invested capital of $2.9 billion (up $270 million this quarter) after an incremental $500 million term‑loan upsizing in early July, leaving a trailing debt-to-EBITDA of 1.5x. Financial performance and targets highlighted were adjusted net trading income (ANT) of $11.6 million per day (Market Making $9.4m/day; Execution Services $2.2m/day), trailing‑12‑month ANT of $10.4m/day, adjusted EBITDA this quarter of $437 million (61% margin) and $1.7 billion on a trailing 12‑month basis, adjusted EPS of $1.82 for the quarter and $6.96 over the last 12 months, average return on invested capital of 106% over the past year, a cash compensation ratio guided to the low‑to‑mid‑20s (23% year‑to‑date, ~25% in Q2), and VES averaging above $2.0m/day for three consecutive quarters; management said future capital growth will come primarily from free cash flow and opportunistic leverage while hiring remains aggressive.

Virtu Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and improved recent performance support the score (TTM EBIT margin ~38.9%, net margin ~16.8%, and revenue re-accelerating ~+4.9%). Offsetting this is balance-sheet risk: historically high leverage (debt-to-equity ~4.6–5.8 in 2023–2025) and modest operating cash flow coverage of debt (TTM ~0.21), which reduces resilience if market conditions weaken.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
54
Neutral
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.08B3.63B2.88B2.29B2.36B2.81B
Gross Profit2.26B1.74B1.77B1.39B1.35B1.69B
EBITDA1.70B1.35B1.39B1.05B1.01B1.35B
Net Income684.80M468.36M276.42M142.04M265.03M476.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.48B20.15B15.36B14.47B10.58B10.32B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07B1.06B872.51M820.44M981.58M1.07B
Total Debt2.63B8.98B5.71B6.93B3.73B3.60B
Total Liabilities25.15B18.18B13.87B13.06B8.93B8.46B
Stockholders Equity1.87B1.58B1.25B1.20B1.34B1.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow407.99M454.89M544.68M415.65M679.60M1.15B
Operating Cash Flow468.04M518.39M598.99M491.78M706.80M1.17B
Investing Cash Flow-101.39M-40.62M-61.85M-94.48M-29.53M-87.35M
Financing Cash Flow-215.40M-281.05M-469.56M-585.03M-735.75M-957.86M

Virtu Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price67.04
Price Trends
50DMA
59.38
Negative
100DMA
58.99
Negative
200DMA
51.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.55
Negative
RSI
44.60
Neutral
STOCH
49.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIRT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 67.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.96, above the 50-day MA of 59.38, and above the 200-day MA of 51.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VIRT.

Virtu Financial Risk Analysis

Virtu Financial disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Virtu Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Virtu Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$28.68B29.1813.78%0.44%14.04%60.95%
78
Outperform
$8.68B7.0841.25%1.72%27.58%36.35%
76
Outperform
$5.03B17.8031.85%0.89%――
73
Outperform
$5.80B20.1324.09%1.88%3.30%38.95%
68
Neutral
$6.82B9.1820.18%―20.57%50.19%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$5.50B28.3119.20%0.68%27.75%31.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIRT
Virtu Financial
55.93
22.77
68.68%
BGC
BGC Group
11.79
2.54
27.40%
SNEX
StoneX Group
56.55
12.89
29.52%
MKTX
Marketaxess Holdings
164.67
0.29
0.18%
TW
Tradeweb Markets
122.57
13.27
12.14%
MRX
Marex Group plc
69.96
39.55
130.06%

Virtu Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Virtu Financial Adds Experienced Independent Director to Board
Positive
Aug 21, 2026
On August 19, 2026, Virtu Financial, Inc. appointed Barbara Finigan as an independent Class I director, expanding its Board to eleven members and signaling a continued emphasis on experienced governance. Finigan brings more than 35 years of senior...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 22, 2026