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Viavi Solutions (VIAV)
NASDAQ:VIAV
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Viavi Solutions (VIAV) AI Stock Analysis

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VIAV

Viavi Solutions

(NASDAQ:VIAV)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▼(-15.14% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/23/26
VIAV scores in the upper-mid range primarily due to improving financial strength and strong cash-flow resilience (including sharply higher free cash flow and better leverage), reinforced by a positive earnings call with strong growth, margin expansion, and constructive guidance. These positives are tempered by clearly bearish technicals (price far below key moving averages with negative MACD) and weak valuation signals (negative P/E and no dividend yield), which raise near-term risk despite improving fundamentals.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The sharp annual revenue increase indicates stronger product adoption and expanding demand across Viavi’s served markets. Sustained growth can improve operating leverage, support investment in new solutions, and strengthen the company’s competitive position over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Profitability
The return to a net loss shows that strong revenue and gross margins have not yet translated into consistently durable bottom-line performance. Weaker operating margins may limit reinvestment capacity and make future earnings more sensitive to changes in demand and product mix.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth
The sharp annual revenue increase indicates stronger product adoption and expanding demand across Viavi’s served markets. Sustained growth can improve operating leverage, support investment in new solutions, and strengthen the company’s competitive position over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Viavi Solutions Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Measures profitability after operating costs for each segment, indicating which parts of the business are actually earning money versus those that require investment or are loss-making. Highlights where cost control, scale, or pricing power are strong and which segments are likely to fund future growth or drag on overall results.
Chart InsightsNSE has become the clear engine of profit growth—accelerating after the Spirent deal and strong data‑center/aerospace demand—while OSP remains a steady, high‑margin contributor despite some product‑mix pressure. Those operational improvements are being offset by a rapidly widening negative “Other” line (corporate costs, earn‑outs, restructuring and financing impacts called out on the call), which is eroding cash and amplifying short‑term earnings volatility. Key watch items: sustaining NSE momentum, OSP mix recovery, and whether cash/dilution trends reverse as debt paydowns and earn‑outs settle.
Data provided by:The Fly

Viavi Solutions (VIAV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Viavi Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Viavi Solutions Inc. offers a comprehensive suite of solutions for network testing, monitoring, and assurance to a global customer base. These clients include telecommunication service providers, businesses, manufacturers of network equipment, ori...
How the Company Makes Money
Viavi primarily makes money by selling hardware instruments, software, and related services that help customers validate performance, troubleshoot issues, and assure the quality of networks and electronic systems. Key revenue streams generally inc...

Viavi Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a meaningfully positive operating and financial beat: strong top-line beats, large year-over-year growth (Q4 +52.5% and FY +40%), substantial margin expansion, strong segment performance in NSE (driven by data center and Spirent products) and improved cash position with debt paydown. Near-term guidance is constructive with higher margins and EPS guidance. Offsetting items include dilution from recent share issuance, reliance on non-recurring tariff refunds that boosted margins/EPS, Spirent seasonality, and continued weak wireless/service-provider demand. Overall, the positives (large beats, margin expansion, strong segment momentum, cash/debt improvements, and optimistic forward guide) outweigh the negatives.
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Beat and Strong YoY Growth
Q4 net revenue of $443.1M beat guidance ($427M–$437M), was up 8.9% sequentially and up 52.5% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Share Count Dilution
Fully diluted share count rose to ~261M in the quarter from 227M a year ago (≈+15.0%), driven by share issuance and convertible-note exchanges, which dilutes EPS going forward. Guidance expects ~268M shares in Q1.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Quarterly Revenue Beat and Strong YoY Growth
Q4 net revenue of $443.1M beat guidance ($427M–$437M), was up 8.9% sequentially and up 52.5% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Viavi guided Q1 FY2027 revenue of $450–460M (expecting sequential growth) with NSE at $360–368M and OSP at $90–92M; company operating margin of 27.1% ±40 bps (including roughly a 100‑bp net benefit from an ~$11M tariff refund that is largely offset by the additional 14th‑week variable costs), NSE margin 23.1% ±50 bps, and OSP margin 43.2% ±20 bps; EPS $0.40–0.42 (including about $0.02 net benefit from tariff refunds/additional week), tax expense ≈ $12M ±$0.5M, other income/expense ≈ net $2.5M expense, and diluted share count ≈ 268M.

Viavi Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed but improving in key areas: revenue re-accelerated (+11.2%) and gross margins remain strong (~57–59%), while the balance sheet shows materially better leverage (debt/equity down to ~0.44x). Cash flow is a standout with positive FCF in all periods and a sharp FCF improvement in 2026 (~+82% YoY). The main drag is inconsistent profitability, including a return to a net loss in 2026 and weaker operating margins versus earlier years.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.08B1.00B1.11B1.29B
Gross Profit875.40M616.30M569.60M630.10M763.80M
EBITDA172.00M131.90M101.20M157.30M163.80M
Net Income-30.40M34.80M-25.80M25.50M15.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.71B1.99B1.74B1.85B1.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments649.80M425.30M491.20M521.10M561.30M
Total Debt698.80M692.30M687.20M781.00M744.50M
Total Liabilities1.26B1.21B1.05B1.16B1.16B
Stockholders Equity1.45B780.20M681.60M690.80M671.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.80M62.00M96.90M63.00M105.60M
Operating Cash Flow113.90M89.80M116.40M114.10M178.10M
Investing Cash Flow-426.80M-128.40M-21.60M-127.10M-71.00M
Financing Cash Flow541.00M-23.60M-125.70M-50.00M-210.40M

Viavi Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price37.71
Price Trends
50DMA
38.56
Negative
100DMA
41.10
Negative
200DMA
38.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.98
Positive
RSI
32.40
Neutral
STOCH
9.07
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIAV, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.25, below the 50-day MA of 38.56, and below the 200-day MA of 38.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.98 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.07 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VIAV.

Viavi Solutions Risk Analysis

Viavi Solutions disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Viavi Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Viavi Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$45.42B69.3222.82%―32.57%367.53%
76
Outperform
$35.28B17.9918.10%2.92%3.88%-16.99%
74
Outperform
$419.89B31.7027.39%1.57%11.77%27.65%
71
Outperform
$68.50B-8.13-300.07%―83.22%-24212.72%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$7.49B-237.11-3.16%―40.03%-193.79%
54
Neutral
$46.72B52.873.65%2.01%9.69%-8.89%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIAV
Viavi Solutions
30.45
16.50
118.24%
CIEN
Ciena
320.26
137.72
75.45%
CSCO
Cisco Systems
106.50
36.41
51.94%
ERIC
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
10.66
1.42
15.42%
NOK
Nokia
8.14
1.87
29.89%
LITE
Lumentum Holdings
756.17
562.37
290.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2026