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Texas Instruments (TXN)
NASDAQ:TXN
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Texas Instruments (TXN) AI Stock Analysis

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TXN

Texas Instruments

(NASDAQ:TXN)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$201.00
▲(16.73% Upside)
Texas Instruments shows strong financial performance with robust profitability and cash flow, which is the most significant factor in its score. Technical analysis suggests potential bearish momentum, and the valuation indicates the stock may be overvalued. The earnings call provided a balanced view with strong revenue growth but highlighted some challenges in the semiconductor market.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The strong revenue growth, particularly in analog and embedded processing, indicates robust demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term business expansion.
Free Cash Flow
The significant increase in free cash flow underscores the company's efficient cash management and ability to fund operations, invest in growth, and return value to shareholders.
Market Position
Strong performance in key markets like industrial and automotive highlights Texas Instruments' competitive advantage and strategic positioning in high-growth sectors.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Decline
A decline in gross margin suggests potential cost pressures or pricing challenges, which could impact profitability if not addressed through operational efficiencies or pricing strategies.
Restructuring Charges
Restructuring charges and plant closures indicate strategic shifts that may involve short-term costs and disruptions, potentially affecting operational stability and financial performance.
Moderate Market Recovery
A slower recovery in the semiconductor market could limit growth opportunities and revenue potential, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain competitive positioning.

Texas Instruments (TXN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Texas Instruments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTexas Instruments (TXN) is a global semiconductor company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, specializing in the design and manufacturing of a wide range of analog and embedded processing chips. The company operates primarily in two segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. Texas Instruments' core products include operational amplifiers, data converters, microcontrollers, and digital signal processors, which are utilized across various industries such as automotive, industrial, communications, and consumer electronics.
How the Company Makes MoneyTexas Instruments generates revenue primarily through the sale of its semiconductor products, with a significant focus on analog and embedded processing solutions. The company's revenue model is based on selling these components to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other customers in diverse markets. Key revenue streams include sales of analog semiconductors, which are essential for power management and signal processing, and embedded processors used in a variety of applications. Texas Instruments also benefits from long-term relationships and partnerships with major technology companies, which provide a stable customer base. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, further enhancing its market position and revenue potential.

Texas Instruments Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue by business unit, revealing which segments are contributing most to sales and where there might be potential for expansion or risk.
Chart InsightsTexas Instruments' Analog segment shows robust recovery, with a notable 18% year-over-year growth, reflecting strong demand in communications and enterprise systems. Embedded Processing and Other segments also exhibit positive trends but face challenges, particularly in the automotive market. Despite revenue growth, flat gross margins and increased operating expenses highlight potential profitability pressures. The company remains cautious about geopolitical uncertainties and tariffs, yet its strong cash flow and strategic focus on manufacturing and technology investments suggest resilience and long-term growth potential.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Texas Instruments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 23, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and performance in key markets, as well as a continued commitment to returning value to shareholders through dividends. However, challenges such as a decline in gross margin, restructuring charges, and a moderate recovery in the semiconductor market balanced the positive aspects. The strategic adjustments to inventory and loading levels indicate preparedness for various future scenarios.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Third-quarter revenue was $4.7 billion, an increase of 7% sequentially and 14% year over year. Analog revenue grew 16% year over year, and embedded processing grew 9%.
Strong Performance in Key Markets
The industrial market increased about 25% year on year, the automotive market increased around 10% sequentially, and communications equipment grew about 45% year on year.
Dividend Increase
Texas Instruments announced a 4% increase in its dividend, marking the twenty-second consecutive year of dividend increases.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow on a trailing twelve-month basis was $2.4 billion, reflecting a 65% increase from last year.
Data Center Growth
Data center market is becoming a larger opportunity, with revenue growing more than 50% for Texas Instruments year to date.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross profit margin decreased 50 basis points sequentially to 57% of revenue.
Restructuring Charges and Plant Closures
Earnings per share included a $0.10 reduction, including $0.08 of restructuring charges related to plant closures of last 250-millimeter fabs.
Moderate Recovery in Semiconductor Market
The overall semiconductor market recovery is continuing at a slower pace than prior upturns.
Lowered Loadings Due to Inventory Levels
With lower revenue in the fourth quarter, loadings are being adjusted down to maintain inventory levels.
Company Guidance
In the Texas Instruments Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, projecting revenue in the range of $4.22 billion to $4.58 billion and earnings per share between $1.13 and $1.39. The guidance reflects a continuation of the recovery in the semiconductor market, albeit at a slower pace, with customer inventories stabilizing at low levels. The expected effective tax rate for the fourth quarter is about 13%, influenced by new U.S. Tax legislation, with a similar rate anticipated for 2026. The company remains focused on maintaining competitive advantages by investing in manufacturing, technology, and a broad product portfolio, aiming to drive long-term free cash flow per share growth.

Texas Instruments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Texas Instruments demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability, reflected in high gross and net profit margins. The balance sheet is robust, and cash flow generation is stable. However, growth has moderated, and the company should focus on enhancing cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Texas Instruments shows solid profitability with a TTM gross profit margin of 58.0% and a net profit margin of 30.4%. The revenue growth rate over the recent period is 2.6%, indicating modest growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong at 34.3% and 44.2%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the decline from previous years suggests potential challenges in sustaining growth.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 29.7%, reflecting effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is 48.6%, suggesting a healthy proportion of equity financing. However, the slight increase in total debt over time signals a need for cautious debt management.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company maintains a stable cash flow, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.26, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, suggesting room for improvement in free cash flow generation. A slight decline in free cash flow growth rate highlights potential pressures on cash reserves.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.64B17.52B20.03B18.34B14.46B
Gross Profit9.09B11.02B13.77B12.38B9.27B
EBITDA7.54B9.01B11.22B10.06B7.20B
Net Income4.80B6.51B8.75B7.77B5.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets35.51B32.35B27.21B24.68B19.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.58B8.57B9.07B9.74B6.57B
Total Debt13.60B11.22B9.15B8.21B7.12B
Total Liabilities18.61B15.45B12.63B11.34B10.16B
Stockholders Equity16.90B16.90B14.58B13.33B9.19B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.50B1.35B5.92B6.29B5.49B
Operating Cash Flow6.32B6.42B8.72B8.76B6.14B
Investing Cash Flow-3.20B-4.36B-3.58B-4.09B-922.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.88B-2.14B-6.72B-3.14B-4.55B

Texas Instruments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price172.19
Price Trends
50DMA
185.87
Negative
100DMA
192.53
Negative
200DMA
184.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.89
Positive
RSI
39.96
Neutral
STOCH
60.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TXN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 172.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 178.27, below the 50-day MA of 185.87, and below the 200-day MA of 184.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.89 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TXN.

Texas Instruments Risk Analysis

Texas Instruments disclosed 18 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Texas Instruments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Texas Instruments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$118.25B61.895.65%1.60%7.08%18.39%
78
Outperform
$227.06B26.6517.20%0.22%48.85%997.29%
77
Outperform
$182.17B16.2844.62%2.05%15.82%34.20%
77
Outperform
$179.37B252.3411.03%17.84%63.71%
72
Outperform
$155.20B31.4229.60%3.16%9.90%1.82%
63
Neutral
$178.03B0.19%0.33%-3.72%-2120.70%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TXN
Texas Instruments
172.19
-28.39
-14.15%
ADI
Analog Devices
243.29
17.49
7.75%
INTC
Intel
38.16
15.82
70.81%
MU
Micron
206.71
100.31
94.28%
QCOM
Qualcomm
170.03
5.63
3.42%
ARM
ARM Holdings PLC ADR
166.60
25.56
18.12%

Texas Instruments Corporate Events

Texas Instruments’ Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Oct 23, 2025

Texas Instruments’ latest earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment, with strong revenue growth and performance in key markets, alongside challenges such as a decline in gross margin and restructuring charges. The company remains committed to shareholder value through dividends, while strategic inventory adjustments indicate preparedness for future scenarios.

Texas Instruments Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 22, 2025

Texas Instruments Incorporated (Nasdaq: TXN) is a global semiconductor company specializing in the design, manufacture, and sale of analog and embedded processing chips for various markets, including industrial, automotive, and personal electronics. The company is known for its commitment to making electronics more affordable and reliable through continuous innovation in semiconductor technology.

Executive/Board Changes
Texas Instruments Announces Leadership Transition
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Texas Instruments announced that Richard K. Templeton will retire as executive chairman and board member by the end of the year. Haviv Ilan, the current president and CEO, will assume the role of chairman, signaling a strategic leadership transition within the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (TXN) stock is a Buy with a $235.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Instruments stock, see the TXN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Texas Instruments Announces Dividend Increase
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Texas Instruments announced a planned increase in its dividend, signaling confidence in its financial health and commitment to returning value to shareholders. This move may positively impact the company’s market positioning by reinforcing investor trust and potentially attracting more stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TXN) stock is a Sell with a $192.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Instruments stock, see the TXN Stock Forecast page.

Texas Instruments Reports Mixed Earnings Amid Strong Revenue Growth
Jul 24, 2025

The recent earnings call from Texas Instruments paints a mixed picture for investors. While the company reported strong revenue growth and recovery in several markets, challenges persist, particularly in the automotive sector, compounded by geopolitical uncertainties. Despite the revenue surge, operating expenses have risen, and gross margins are expected to remain flat.

Texas Instruments Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Jul 23, 2025

Texas Instruments Incorporated is a global semiconductor company that designs, manufactures, and sells analog and embedded processing chips for various markets, including industrial, automotive, and personal electronics.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025