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Synchrony Financial (SYF)
NYSE:SYF
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Synchrony Financial (SYF) AI Stock Analysis

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SYF

Synchrony Financial

(NYSE:SYF)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$80.00
▲(11.87% Upside)
Synchrony Financial's strong financial performance and undervaluation are significant positives. However, technical indicators suggest caution, and challenges in revenue growth and specific segments temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Strong Financial Performance
Strong financial performance with high net earnings and return on equity indicates effective management and profitability, supporting long-term growth.
Digital Platform Success
Growth in digital platform spend reflects successful adaptation to digital trends, enhancing customer engagement and competitive positioning.
Strategic Partnerships
Expanding partnerships with major brands strengthens market presence and diversifies revenue streams, supporting sustainable business growth.
Negative Factors
Flat Net Revenue
Flat net revenue growth suggests challenges in expanding income streams, potentially impacting long-term financial performance and growth.
Decline in Receivables
A decline in loan receivables indicates reduced lending activity, which can limit future interest income and affect revenue growth.
Challenges in Specific Segments
Decreased purchase volumes in key segments highlight potential market challenges, which could hinder growth and profitability in these areas.

Synchrony Financial (SYF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Synchrony Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSynchrony Financial, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer financial services company in the United States. It provides credit products, such as credit cards, commercial credit products, and consumer installment loans. The company also offers private label credit cards, dual cards, co-brand and general purpose credit cards, short- and long-term installment loans, and consumer banking products; and deposit products, including certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts, money market accounts, and savings accounts to retail and commercial customers, as well as accepts deposits through third-party securities brokerage firms. In addition, it provides debt cancellation products to its credit card customers through online, mobile, and direct mail; healthcare payments and financing solutions under the CareCredit, Pets Best, and Walgreens brands; payments and financing solutions in the apparel, specialty retail, outdoor, music, and luxury industries; and point-of-sale consumer financing for audiology products and dental services. The company offers its credit products through programs established with a group of national and regional retailers, local merchants, manufacturers, buying groups, industry associations, and healthcare service providers; and deposit products through various channels, such as digital and print. It serves digital, health and wellness, retail, home, auto, powersports, jewelry, pets, and other industries. Synchrony Financial was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneySynchrony Financial generates revenue primarily through interest income and fees associated with its credit products. The company earns interest on outstanding balances from credit card accounts, which is a significant revenue stream. Additionally, Synchrony collects fees from merchants for providing financing options to their customers, including transaction fees and account management fees. The company has established partnerships with major retailers and service providers, which not only enhances its market reach but also drives customer acquisition and usage of its financial products. Furthermore, Synchrony benefits from ancillary services such as insurance and promotional financing, contributing to its overall earnings.

Synchrony Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 16, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balance between strong financial performance and strategic partnerships alongside challenges such as flat net revenue and declines in certain segments. The company showcased resilience through effective risk management and capital returns, but faced headwinds in revenue growth and specific market segments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Synchrony delivered a net earnings of $1.1 billion or $2.86 per diluted share, a return on average assets of 3.6%, and return on tangible common equity of 30.6%.
Purchase Volume Growth
Generated $46 billion of purchase volume in the third quarter, a year-over-year increase of 2%.
Digital Platform Success
Spend across digital platform increased 5%, driven by higher spend per account.
Expansion and Partnerships
Added, renewed, or expanded more than 15 partners during the third quarter, including the Toro Company, Regency showrooms, Lowe's, and Dental Intelligence.
Credit Performance and Risk Management
30 plus delinquency rate decreased by 39 basis points year-over-year and net charge-off rate decreased by 90 basis points.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned $971 million to shareholders, consisting of $861 million in share repurchases and $110 million in common stock dividends.
Negative Updates
Decline in Receivables
Ending loan receivables decreased 2% to $100 billion in the third quarter.
Flat Net Revenue
Net revenue of $3.8 billion was flat versus last year as higher net interest income was offset by higher RSAs.
Challenges in Specific Segments
Purchase volume in Home and Auto was down 1% and in the Lifestyle platform was down 3%.
Impact on Revenue Guidance
Net revenue guide was lowered due to continued improvement in delinquencies and higher payment rates.
Company Guidance
During the Synchrony Financial Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided robust guidance reflecting strong financial performance. The company reported net earnings of $1.1 billion or $2.86 per diluted share, a return on average assets of 3.6%, and return on tangible common equity of 30.6%. Purchase volume reached $46 billion, a 2% year-over-year increase, with significant contributions from the digital platform, dual and co-branded cards, and the Health and Wellness sector. The net interest margin improved to 15.62%, driven by a 58 basis point decline in total interest-bearing liabilities cost and a 35 basis point increase in loan receivables yield. Credit performance remained strong, with a 30-plus delinquency rate of 4.39% and a net charge-off rate of 5.16%, both reflecting effective credit actions. The company also announced ongoing strategic investments, including the acquisition of Versatile Credit, and maintained a strong capital position with a CET1 ratio of 13.7%. Looking forward, Synchrony expects a flat ending receivables growth for 2025, a loss rate between 5.6-5.7%, and net interest margin to average approximately 15.7%, indicating a solid foundation for sustained growth and shareholder returns.

Synchrony Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Synchrony Financial exhibits strong revenue growth and profitability, with a commendable return on equity. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio poses a risk, and cash flow growth is inconsistent.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Synchrony Financial demonstrates strong gross profit margins and a consistent increase in total revenue, indicating healthy revenue growth. The net profit margin shows some volatility but remains robust, signaling profitability. However, the EBIT margin has shown slight fluctuations, reflecting operational costs that need monitoring.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderately high, reflecting a substantial reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks in volatile market conditions. However, the return on equity is commendable, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio suggests a solid capital structure with sufficient equity backing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong, supporting net income effectively, and the company maintains a healthy free cash flow. While free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, the overall cash flow position remains solid, providing flexibility for future investments and debt repayment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.32B24.17B7.66B16.00B10.19B11.16B
Gross Profit10.11B12.80B7.66B14.63B9.29B9.74B
EBITDA7.86B9.67B4.12B4.89B6.36B2.84B
Net Income2.49B3.50B2.24B3.02B4.22B1.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets120.50B119.46B117.48B104.56B95.75B95.95B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.36B17.79B18.06B15.17B13.62B18.99B
Total Debt16.01B15.46B15.98B14.19B14.51B15.78B
Total Liabilities103.55B102.88B103.58B91.69B82.09B83.25B
Stockholders Equity16.95B16.58B13.90B12.87B13.65B12.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.52B9.85B8.59B6.69B7.10B7.49B
Operating Cash Flow7.52B9.85B8.59B6.69B7.10B7.49B
Investing Cash Flow-869.00M-8.90B-14.23B-10.23B-4.81B-498.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.93B-611.00M9.63B5.28B-5.20B-8.03B

Synchrony Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price71.51
Price Trends
50DMA
73.28
Negative
100DMA
69.52
Positive
200DMA
63.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.75
Negative
RSI
47.81
Neutral
STOCH
47.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.94, below the 50-day MA of 73.28, and above the 200-day MA of 63.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SYF.

Synchrony Financial Risk Analysis

Synchrony Financial disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Synchrony Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Synchrony Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$498.57M2.8113.64%7.45%12.69%-35.36%
73
Outperform
$26.14B7.6821.52%1.54%-6.38%19.65%
68
Neutral
$6.33B9.6320.47%7.69%9.41%13.98%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
58
Neutral
$5.25B12.7218.99%2.02%-4.34%-38.01%
56
Neutral
$11.84B24.984.18%3.01%-5.33%-32.99%
45
Neutral
$4.60B-0.96%60.62%96.91%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SYF
Synchrony Financial
71.51
16.70
30.47%
SLM
SLM
25.69
3.14
13.92%
ALLY
Ally Financial
39.82
6.29
18.76%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
54.13
10.97
25.42%
YRD
Yiren Digital
5.91
0.35
6.29%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
46.50
-6.04
-11.50%

Synchrony Financial Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Releases July 2025 Charge-Off Data
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

Synchrony Financial has released its monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for the thirteen months ending July 31, 2025. The company plans to continue providing these statistics monthly, aligning the quarterly data release with their financial results announcements. This initiative aims to enhance transparency and provide stakeholders with timely insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance.

M&A Transactions
Synchrony Financial to Acquire Lowe’s Credit Portfolio
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Synchrony Financial announced its agreement to acquire Lowe’s commercial co-branded credit card portfolio, which includes loan receivables of approximately $0.8 billion. This acquisition, expected to complete in the first half of 2026, will position Synchrony as the issuer of the portfolio, with an anticipated reserve of up to $50 million to be recorded in the third quarter of 2025.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Synchrony Financial Announces $1 Billion Senior Notes Sale
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Synchrony Financial announced an agreement to issue and sell $1 billion in senior notes, split equally between notes due in 2029 and 2036, as part of a public offering. This move is likely to impact the company’s financial strategy and market positioning by raising significant capital, potentially affecting stakeholders and the company’s competitive stance in the financial services industry.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Enhances Transparency with Monthly Updates
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

Synchrony Financial has released its monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for the thirteen months ending June 30, 2025. The company plans to continue providing these statistics monthly, aligning quarterly updates with financial results announcements. This initiative aims to enhance transparency for stakeholders by regularly disclosing financial health indicators, potentially impacting investor confidence and market perceptions.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Synchrony Financial Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Synchrony Financial held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where all directors named in the Proxy Statement were elected for the coming year. The stockholders also ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 and approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers in an advisory vote. These decisions reflect continued shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

Financial Disclosures
Synchrony Financial Releases May 2025 Charge-Off Data
Neutral
Jun 10, 2025

Synchrony Financial has released its monthly charge-off and delinquency statistics for the thirteen months ending May 31, 2025. The company plans to continue providing these statistics monthly, aligning quarterly figures with financial results announcements. This transparency in reporting could impact stakeholders by offering consistent insights into the company’s financial health and operational performance.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Synchrony Financial Partners with OnePay for Walmart Credit Card
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Synchrony Financial announced a strategic partnership with OnePay to launch a new credit card program with Walmart, expected to go live in fall 2025. This program will allow Synchrony to become the exclusive issuer of OnePay credit cards at Walmart, integrating the credit card experience within the OnePay app and leveraging Mastercard’s global payments network. The initiative aims to enhance consumer experience by providing a transparent, rewarding, and easy-to-use financial service, expected to drive loyalty and sales with attractive risk-adjusted returns, contributing positively to Synchrony’s long-term financial performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 18, 2025