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Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG)
NYSE:SMFG
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Sumitomo Mitsui (SMFG) AI Stock Analysis

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SMFG

Sumitomo Mitsui

(NYSE:SMFG)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
â–²(15.17% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/17/26
The score is driven primarily by mid-range fundamentals: improving profitability and equity growth are offset by elevated/variable leverage, volatile cash-flow history, and a sharp recent revenue decline. Technicals add support due to a clear uptrend and positive momentum indicators, while valuation is neutral with a moderate P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified Banking Model
SMFG's diversified platform serves individuals, SMEs and large corporations across banking and non-banking activities. This broad revenue base can reduce reliance on one customer segment or product and supports cross-selling across domestic and international markets.
Negative Factors
Latest Revenue Contraction
A roughly 29% latest-period revenue decline challenges the durability of the preceding growth trend. If persistent, weaker top-line momentum could constrain operating leverage, fee generation and future profit growth even though current absolute earnings remain solid.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified Banking Model
SMFG's diversified platform serves individuals, SMEs and large corporations across banking and non-banking activities. This broad revenue base can reduce reliance on one customer segment or product and supports cross-selling across domestic and international markets.
Read all positive factors

Sumitomo Mitsui (SMFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sumitomo Mitsui Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc., established in Tokyo, Japan, in 2002, is a global financial powerhouse offering a wide array of banking and financial services. Its extensive operations reach across Japan, the Americas, Europe, the Middle Ea...
How the Company Makes Money
SMFG makes money primarily by earning interest income and fee-based income across its banking and non-banking financial subsidiaries. (1) Net interest income: Through SMBC and related entities, SMFG takes deposits and other funding and lends to co...

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are generally positive over 2022–2025 with solid profitability (net margin ~12%), but a sharp latest-period revenue decline (~-29%) raises durability risk. Balance sheet strength is tempered by meaningfully elevated and volatile leverage (debt-to-equity ~2.3x to ~4.0x). Cash flow rebounded strongly after a weak 2023, but large swings reduce confidence in stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.85T10.82T9.66T8.77T5.78T3.80T
Gross Profit8.79T5.87T4.72T4.16T3.51T3.15T
EBITDA3.76T2.70T1.98T1.64T1.37T1.17T
Net Income2.65T1.68T1.18T962.95B805.84B706.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments71.03T90.83T10.00T>10.00T>75.91T74.79T
Total Debt58.77T58.66T58.30T34.26T46.16T32.12T
Total Liabilities10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>10.00T>
Stockholders Equity15.99T15.85T14.70T14.66T12.68T12.10T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.34T7.34T4.60T250.98B-6.19T1.26T
Operating Cash Flow7.54T7.54T4.97T642.86B-5.90T1.55T
Investing Cash Flow-21.91T-21.91T-4.51T-918.90B5.93T-2.41T
Financing Cash Flow6.83T6.83T-480.15B280.69B-357.78B-485.34B

Sumitomo Mitsui Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.18
Price Trends
50DMA
25.25
Positive
100DMA
23.57
Positive
200DMA
21.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
50.74
Neutral
STOCH
41.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SMFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.48, below the 50-day MA of 25.25, and above the 200-day MA of 21.77, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SMFG.

Sumitomo Mitsui Risk Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sumitomo Mitsui reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sumitomo Mitsui Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$948.15B15.3317.81%1.70%8.20%19.76%
76
Outperform
$436.56B14.1111.13%1.80%-1.71%27.92%
72
Outperform
$354.08B14.6812.98%3.62%-5.19%39.48%
68
Neutral
$157.84B15.1610.89%2.56%7.19%41.88%
68
Neutral
$247.74B15.0811.49%2.65%7.56%43.28%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
$223.52B14.168.39%1.82%3.91%37.25%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SMFG
Sumitomo Mitsui
25.42
8.89
53.78%
BAC
Bank of America
62.23
12.82
25.94%
C
Citigroup
133.56
38.75
40.87%
HSBC
HSBC Holdings
103.65
41.67
67.24%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase
356.50
61.08
20.68%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
22.44
7.04
45.71%

Sumitomo Mitsui Corporate Events

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Details New Senior Callable U.S. Dollar Notes in July SEC Filing
Jul 7, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc., the Japanese banking and financial services group, has filed a Form 6-K for July 2026 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, detailing documentation tied to its shelf registration on Form F-3. The ...
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Approves Dividend, Two-for-One Stock Split and Board Slate at 24th AGM
Jun 26, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group held its 24th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders on June 26, 2026, reporting business and financial results for the fiscal year from April 1, 2025 to March 31, 2026. The consolidated and non-consolidated finan...
Sumitomo Mitsui Files June 2026 Form 6-K with Audited Japanese GAAP Results
Jun 25, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. has filed a Form 6-K for June 2026 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, incorporating its latest Japanese GAAP consolidated financial statements into an existing shelf registration on Form F-3. Th...
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Calls 24th Ordinary General Meeting for June 26, 2026
May 29, 2026
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc., the Japanese banking and financial services group, has issued notice convening its 24th Ordinary General Meeting of Shareholders. The meeting will be held at the company’s head office in Tokyo at 10:00 ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026