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PagerDuty
(NYSE:PD)
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Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(31.26% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/29/26
Overall score reflects a strong profitability and free-cash-flow profile (high margins and robust FCF) and constructive price momentum (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). The main constraints are low/flat revenue growth guidance and retention/billings softness, plus balance-sheet leverage and some questions around the quality/sustainability of elevated net margins.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and high free-cash-flow conversion strengthen financial flexibility, fund product investment, and support resilience while PagerDuty transitions toward profitable long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Stagnant Revenue Outlook
Flat projected revenue indicates that PagerDuty has not yet converted profitability improvements into durable top-line expansion. Prolonged low growth could constrain scale benefits and increase dependence on cost control.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating cash flow and high free-cash-flow conversion strengthen financial flexibility, fund product investment, and support resilience while PagerDuty transitions toward profitable long-term growth.
Read all positive factors
PagerDuty (PD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$1.07B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)1.44M
Price to Earnings (P/E)6.5
Beta (1Y)1.33
Revenue Growth2.30%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees1,155
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.04
Shares Outstanding78,649,870
10 Day Avg. Volume1,867,943
30 Day Avg. Volume1,435,580
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)3.81
Price to Sales (P/S)1.96
P/FCF Ratio8.64
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$12.64Price Target Upside3.71% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)1.32
Revenue Forecast (FY)$494.22M
PagerDuty Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
PagerDuty, Inc. offers a digital platform designed for operations management, with its reach extending throughout the United States, Japan, and other international regions. This advanced platform is capable of receiving digital signals from virtua...
How the Company Makes Money
PagerDuty primarily makes money through subscription revenue from its cloud software platform sold to organizations on recurring contracts. Customers pay for access to PagerDuty products (including incident management/on-call alerting and related ...
PagerDuty Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2026
(Q2-2027)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a cautiously optimistic tone: solid operational and financial discipline, GAAP profitability, strong cash generation, ARR surpassing $500M, improved retention metrics, accelerating adoption of the usage‑based AI platform (double‑digit Ops Cloud growth), large enterprise wins, and an improved margin trajectory supported by a targeted restructuring. Offsetting these positives are very modest top‑line growth (revenue up 1% YoY and FY guidance roughly flat), muted billings/RPO growth, and a one‑time workforce reduction with related charges. Management framed the quarter as evidence of early ‘green shoots’ while acknowledging remaining work to fully resolve seat pressure and drive stronger revenue expansion.Positive Updates
ARR Milestone and Customer Growth
Annual recurring revenue (ARR) crossed $500 million, ending the quarter at $501 million (up $6 million in the quarter). Customers spending over $100,000 annually grew to 884 (increase of 24 since Q1 FY27). More than 15,000 paying customers and nearly two-thirds of the Fortune 100 on the platform.
Negative Updates
Very Modest Revenue Growth
Revenue increased only 1% year‑over‑year ($124.4M), and FY27 revenue guidance midpoint is approximately flat year‑over‑year ($491.5M–$496.5M), indicating limited near‑term topline growth.
Read all updates
Q2-2027 Updates
Positive
Negative
ARR Milestone and Customer Growth
Annual recurring revenue (ARR) crossed $500 million, ending the quarter at $501 million (up $6 million in the quarter). Customers spending over $100,000 annually grew to 884 (increase of 24 since Q1 FY27). More than 15,000 paying customers and nearly two-thirds of the Fortune 100 on the platform.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
PagerDuty guided Q3 revenue of $123.0–$125.0M (midpoint roughly flat YoY) with net income per diluted share of $0.34–$0.36 and an implied non‑GAAP operating margin of 26.5%–27.5%; for FY‑2027 the company expects revenue of $491.5–$496.5M (midpoint ~flat YoY), net income per diluted share of $1.33–$1.37 and an increased operating margin target of 25%–26% (up from 24%–25%), while reaffirming a longer‑term 30% target and saying free cash flow margin will be in line with FY‑26 (versus prior expectation of 2–4 points lower). These targets follow Q2 results of $124.4M revenue (+1% YoY), ~85% gross margin and ~$29.5M non‑GAAP operating income (~24% margin), ARR of $501M (+$6M), dollar‑based net retention of 98%, 884 customers spending >$100k (+24 QoQ), $37M cash from operations and $33M free cash flow (26% FCF margin), $470M cash & investments, TTM billings $501M (+1% YoY), total RPO $426M (up $1M YoY) with ~$309M expected to be recognized in the next 12 months (+5% YoY), ~800k shares repurchased for $7.6M ($92.4M remaining authority), and a ~15% workforce reduction with expected restructuring charges of $5.5–$7.5M (mostly in Q3, substantially complete by end of Q4) that management says will drive run‑rate savings and reinvestment into product and go‑to‑market.PagerDuty Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jan 2026 | Jan 2025 | Jan 2024 | Jan 2023 | Jan 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 494.73M | 492.55M | 467.50M | 430.70M | 370.79M | 281.40M |
| Gross Profit | 419.72M | 418.40M | 387.83M | 352.87M | 300.36M | 233.03M |
| EBITDA | 56.88M | 39.63M | -14.52M | -52.80M | -111.59M | -93.36M |
| Net Income | 180.97M | 173.85M | -42.73M | -81.76M | -128.42M | -107.45M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 958.32M | 990.51M | 927.27M | 925.31M | 817.87M | 806.45M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 470.04M | 469.84M | 570.83M | 571.19M | 476.97M | 543.36M |
| Total Debt | 412.82M | 413.33M | 463.65M | 461.02M | 301.52M | 307.62M |
| Total Liabilities | 711.41M | 719.85M | 779.22M | 746.41M | 575.79M | 539.47M |
| Stockholders Equity | 231.96M | 253.59M | 129.83M | 171.60M | 240.98M | 266.98M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 126.63M | 111.92M | 108.41M | 64.43M | 8.51M | -12.83M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 131.44M | 114.86M | 117.89M | 71.97M | 16.98M | -6.02M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -20.13M | -18.28M | -19.97M | -30.52M | -86.17M | 17.38M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -217.51M | -206.42M | -116.14M | 51.60M | -6.41M | -736.00K |
PagerDuty Technical Analysis
Positive
12.19
Price Trends
11.27
Positive
9.52
Positive
9.60
Positive
Market Momentum
0.78
Negative
60.84
Neutral
72.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.68, above the 50-day MA of 11.27, and above the 200-day MA of 9.60, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.78 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PD.
PagerDuty Risk Analysis
PagerDuty disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PagerDuty reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
PagerDuty Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $1.07B | 6.53 | 70.79% | ― | 2.30% | ― | |
74 Outperform | $838.23M | 6.08 | 16.63% | ― | -3.75% | -3.09% | |
70 Outperform | $688.78M | -20.90 | -14.05% | ― | 11.85% | 47.54% | |
66 Neutral | $2.02B | 31.58 | 31.36% | 2.30% | 29.84% | 13.84% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
52 Neutral | $382.71M | -0.75 | -88.98% | ― | -13.33% | 45.52% |
* Technology Sector Average
PD
PagerDuty
13.58
-2.36
-14.81%
SPT
Sprout Social
10.13
-3.74
-26.96%
YALA
Yalla Group
5.45
-1.98
-26.65%
BMBL
Bumble
2.93
-3.63
-55.34%
KARO
Karooooo
63.82
9.57
17.64%
PagerDuty Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
PagerDuty Announces Restructuring Amid Focus on Profitable Growth
Neutral
Aug 27, 2026
On August 26–27, 2026, PagerDuty detailed a restructuring and reported second-quarter fiscal 2027 results, underscoring a dual focus on efficiency and profitable growth. The company is advancing global scaling initiatives that reallocate rol...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
PagerDuty Appoints Alex Shootman to Board of Directors
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 11, 2026, PagerDuty director Elena Gomez resigned from the company’s board and its audit committee, a move the company said was unrelated to any disagreement over operations or policies and driven by her focus on her expanding execut...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
PagerDuty Appoints New CFO to Lead Growth Strategy
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
On June 22, 2026, PagerDuty appointed Eric Prengel as its new chief financial officer, succeeding long-time CFO Howard Wilson, who has served in the role since 2016 and will remain with the company as a strategic advisor until no later than Februa...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
PagerDuty Shareholders Reinforce Board and Governance Strategy
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
On June 18, 2026, PagerDuty held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where a quorum representing 86.25% of voting power approved all three proposals on the ballot. Stockholders re-elected four Class I directors, including CEO Jennifer Tejada,...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.