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Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal (NPSCY) AI Stock Analysis

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NPSCY

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal

(Other OTC:NPSCY)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:$4.50â–²(6.89% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is held back primarily by weakened financial performance—near-breakeven profitability, higher leverage, and negative free cash flow in the latest year. Offsetting this, technicals are positive (price above key moving averages with supportive MACD) and valuation is reasonable with a solid dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Strong revenue growthStrong multi-year revenue expansion indicates sustained demand and broad market reach. While steel is cyclical, a growing top line provides operating scale and supports recovery potential when industry profitability improves.
Negative Factors
Near-breakeven profitabilityThe collapse in net margin leaves little buffer against weaker steel pricing, higher costs, or operating disruptions. Persistently low profitability would constrain reinvestment, dividends, and the company’s ability to absorb cyclical downturns.

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal (NPSCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%NPSCY+9.75%SPY+12.53%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$66.01B
Dividend Yield
3.56%
Average Volume (3M)
157.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.8
Beta (1Y)
0.89
Revenue Growth
23.81%
EPS Growth
―
Country
US
Employees
138,453
Sector
Basic Materials
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Steel

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Nippon Steel Corporation, alongside its numerous subsidiaries, conducts a wide array of business operations globally and within Japan. Its core activities span four main divisions: steel manufacturing and fabrication, engineering and construction, ch...

How the Company Makes Money

null

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite strong multi-year revenue growth, the latest annual report shows a sharp profitability reset (net margin near breakeven), higher leverage, and weaker cash generation. Free cash flow turned negative in 2026, reducing near-term financial flexibility for a cyclical steel business.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

50Neutral

Cash Flow

42Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.00T8.70T10.67T8.87T7.98T6.81T
Gross Profit1.35T1.37T1.53T1.39T1.28T1.21T
EBITDA892.51B954.04B1.09T1.16T1.23T1.03T
Net Income-5.06B350.23B18.19B549.37B694.02B637.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.00T10.94T14.72T10.71T9.57T8.75T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments502.11B713.95B463.26B482.82B687.96B572.38B
Total Debt34.36B2.51T5.20T2.71T2.70T2.65T
Total Liabilities8.34T5.04T8.67T5.36T4.92T4.86T
Stockholders Equity5.15T5.38T5.55T4.78T4.18T3.47T
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0360.40B-183.13B543.81B191.26B148.73B
Operating Cash Flow0978.59B760.18B1.01T661.27B615.63B
Investing Cash Flow0-462.43B-3.01T-710.65B-366.58B-378.87B
Financing Cash Flow0-313.33B2.00T-543.95B-197.66B-61.30B

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price4.21

Price Trends

50DMA4.26Negative
100DMA4.02Positive
200DMA3.89Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI49.76Neutral
STOCH59.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NPSCY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.17, below the 50-day MA of 4.26, and above the 200-day MA of 3.89, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NPSCY.

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Risk Analysis

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Nippon Steel & Sumitomo Metal Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

NPSCY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NUENUE77Outperform$62.99B17.3916.47%0.82%21.79%121.03%
STLDSTLD76Outperform$35.83B18.2020.97%0.84%26.00%79.81%
TXTX67Neutral$10.24B14.275.77%4.26%-0.65%18.90%
Sector *61Neutral$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
NPSCYNPSCY59Neutral$22.26B11.835.33%3.56%23.81%―
PKXPKX57Neutral$15.64B17.242.32%3.13%0.76%144.37%
MTMT53Neutral$46.40B25.493.31%1.20%3.25%-27.63%

* Basic Materials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%NPSCYMTNUEPKXSTLDTXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
NPSCY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
NPSCYNippon Steel & Sumitomo4.210.307.56%
MTArcelorMittal60.4223.4363.34%
NUENucor273.53129.9690.52%
PKXPosco49.46-4.29-7.98%
STLDSteel Dynamics247.6695.1762.41%
TXTernium51.6517.6151.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026