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National Healthcare Corp. (NHC)
:NHC
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National Healthcare (NHC) AI Stock Analysis

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NHC

National Healthcare

(NHC)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$254.00
▲(12.54% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/17/26
The score is led by strong financial performance—especially improved profitability and very low leverage—supported by a positive technical trend. Valuation is a mild headwind due to a higher P/E and modest yield, while corporate events are broadly positive but introduce acquisition/financing execution risk.
Positive Factors
Improved Profitability
NHC has materially improved scale and profitability from the 2022 trough. Sustained margin expansion indicates better operating performance and provides greater resilience against labor, reimbursement, and compliance cost pressures.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Debt Load
The acquisition materially increases financing obligations compared with NHC’s previously very low leverage. Higher debt may reduce flexibility and make future performance more dependent on successful integration, occupancy, reimbursement, and cash-flow execution.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Profitability
NHC has materially improved scale and profitability from the 2022 trough. Sustained margin expansion indicates better operating performance and provides greater resilience against labor, reimbursement, and compliance cost pressures.
Read all positive factors

National Healthcare (NHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

National Healthcare Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) is a prominent provider in the healthcare sector, involved in the operation, management, and service provision for a wide array of elder care and health facilities. Its diverse portfolio includes skilled nursi...
How the Company Makes Money
NHC primarily makes money by providing and managing senior care and post-acute healthcare services and collecting reimbursement and private-pay fees for those services. 1) Patient/resident care revenue (core operating revenue) - Skilled nursing (...

National Healthcare Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by materially improved profitability and a conservatively positioned balance sheet. Income statement strength (higher revenue vs. 2022 and much better margins) and very low leverage support the score, while cash flow is solid but somewhat volatile and recently softer on a trailing basis.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.56B1.52B1.30B1.14B1.07B1.01B
Gross Profit615.63M596.70M487.01M429.20M388.11M344.88M
EBITDA233.63M213.72M182.53M131.10M68.28M191.56M
Net Income140.26M120.02M101.93M66.80M22.45M138.59M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.54B1.53B1.52B1.31B1.28B1.40B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments265.88M309.18M216.19M223.62M182.59M256.02M
Total Debt31.41M87.07M214.77M93.39M125.94M166.66M
Total Liabilities408.87M451.90M541.27M400.32M397.94M494.94M
Stockholders Equity1.12B1.07B980.16M908.75M874.28M903.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow146.53M148.63M79.70M83.31M-21.46M23.00M
Operating Cash Flow188.81M185.08M107.30M111.22M8.74M62.39M
Investing Cash Flow-112.51M-33.86M-236.69M-17.57M-5.98M-65.89M
Financing Cash Flow-154.38M-135.96M100.34M-42.55M-47.64M-35.26M

National Healthcare Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price225.69
Price Trends
50DMA
214.10
Positive
100DMA
195.54
Positive
200DMA
169.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.93
Negative
RSI
62.11
Neutral
STOCH
93.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 225.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 223.73, above the 50-day MA of 214.10, and above the 200-day MA of 169.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NHC.

National Healthcare Risk Analysis

National Healthcare disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. National Healthcare reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

National Healthcare Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$2.21B21.139.57%15.88%25.01%
77
Outperform
$3.67B25.9212.94%1.15%7.19%32.91%
70
Outperform
$2.76B9.91150.20%19.52%1337.90%
52
Neutral
$2.92B-20.94405.63%-4.42%44.67%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$2.56B-2.20-50.02%4.27%-917.61%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NHC
National Healthcare
234.04
125.61
115.84%
ACHC
Acadia Healthcare
27.36
5.94
27.73%
ADUS
Addus Homecare
120.02
5.84
5.11%
BKD
Brookdale Senior Living
12.12
4.80
65.57%
AVAH
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings
13.16
6.12
86.93%

National Healthcare Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
National Healthcare Declares Quarterly Dividend, Signals Ongoing Stability
Positive
Aug 11, 2026
On August 6, 2026, National HealthCare Corporation announced it will pay a quarterly cash dividend of $0.67 per common share, reinforcing its ongoing practice of returning capital to shareholders. The dividend will be paid on October 30, 2026, to ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
National Healthcare Expands Credit Facility to Fund Acquisition
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
On June 29, 2026, National Healthcare Corporation amended its credit agreement, increasing its senior unsecured revolving credit facility from $50 million to $75 million while leaving other terms unchanged, and simultaneously terminated an older 2...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
National Healthcare Secures New Credit Facility for Acquisition
Positive
May 27, 2026
On May 26, 2026, National HealthCare Corporation entered into a new unsecured Credit Agreement providing a $475 million term loan and a $50 million revolving credit facility arranged by Bank of America and other lenders. The facilities, which matu...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026