tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Ingevity (NGVT)
NYSE:NGVT

Ingevity (NGVT) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
219 Followers

Top Page

NG

Ingevity

(NYSE:NGVT)

54Neutral
Ingevity's overall stock score is driven by significant financial challenges, including high leverage and declining revenues, partially offset by positive free cash flow. Technical indicators suggest some momentum, but valuation concerns persist. The recent CEO appointment is a positive development that could support strategic growth.
Positive Factors
Activist Involvement
The involvement of activist Vision One in NGVT provides downside protection and positively skews the risk/reward profile.
Earnings Performance
NGVT posted better-than-expected results, with every segment exceeding expectations, indicating strong performance.
Strategic Business Decisions
The strategic review of NGVT's PC business could unlock value and drive upside, presenting a positive risk/reward scenario.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Trade Relations
NGVT lowered its full-year guidance on lower global auto production expectations.
Trade and Tariff Risks
There are still risks tied to potential auto-related tariffs that could impact NGVT's stock.

Ingevity (NGVT) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ingevity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIngevity Corporation (NGVT) is a global manufacturer specializing in performance-based chemicals and materials. The company operates in two primary segments: Performance Materials and Performance Chemicals. Ingevity's core products include high-performance activated carbon used in automotive applications, as well as specialty chemicals derived from pine-based raw materials, which are utilized in a variety of industries such as pavement technologies, oilfield services, and industrial specialties.
How the Company Makes MoneyIngevity generates revenue through the sale of its performance materials and chemicals. The Performance Materials segment primarily earns income through the production and sale of activated carbon products used in automotive evaporative emission control systems, which help vehicles meet environmental regulations. The Performance Chemicals segment makes money by providing specialty chemicals that enhance the performance of products in applications like pavement, oilfield services, adhesives, agrochemicals, and lubricants. Ingevity's revenue streams are supported by strong customer relationships and a focus on innovation, enabling the company to maintain a competitive edge in its market sectors.

Ingevity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ingevity faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, high leverage, and ongoing profitability issues. Despite a positive free cash flow, high debt levels and negative net income raise concerns about long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ingevity's income statement reveals significant challenges, with a decline in total revenue from $1.69 billion in 2023 to $1.35 billion TTM and a net loss of $353.8 million TTM. The gross profit margin stands at 34.06% TTM, indicating some cost efficiency. However, the net profit margin is deeply negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. Despite a decent EBIT margin of 21.01% TTM, the company's revenue growth has been inconsistent, showing a negative trend in the latest period.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.94 TTM, indicating significant leverage. The equity ratio is low at 11.41% TTM, suggesting potential balance sheet vulnerabilities. Return on equity is negative due to losses, highlighting profitability challenges. Overall, the company's financial structure is strained, with high leverage and low equity levels.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Ingevity's cash flow statement offers a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to substantial net losses, but free cash flow is positive at $95.1 million TTM, indicating some cash generation ability. Free cash flow growth has been positive compared to the annual period of 2024, but the company's cash flow performance remains inconsistent.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.35B1.41B1.69B1.67B1.39B1.22B
Gross Profit
460.10M454.70M471.90M570.10M512.80M465.50M
EBIT
283.70M259.90M288.20M342.70M227.30M297.60M
EBITDA
-240.20M-329.50M224.60M456.30M337.20M397.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-353.80M-430.30M-5.40M211.60M118.10M181.40M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
105.10M68.00M95.90M76.70M275.40M257.70M
Total Assets
2.57B2.02B2.62B2.74B2.47B2.33B
Total Debt
1.56B1.45B1.53B1.49B1.25B1.27B
Net Debt
1.45B1.39B1.44B1.41B974.60M1.01B
Total Liabilities
2.00B1.83B1.99B2.04B1.80B1.69B
Stockholders Equity
568.20M195.20M631.40M698.30M673.80M647.30M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
95.10M51.00M95.30M170.60M189.20M246.50M
Operating Cash Flow
166.10M128.60M205.10M313.10M293.00M352.40M
Investing Cash Flow
-74.70M-79.50M-77.30M-553.90M-140.60M-110.60M
Financing Cash Flow
-104.60M-70.20M-99.90M48.10M-133.10M-50.20M

Ingevity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.95
Price Trends
50DMA
38.06
Positive
100DMA
41.08
Positive
200DMA
40.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.99
Negative
RSI
72.34
Negative
STOCH
89.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NGVT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.86, above the 50-day MA of 38.06, and above the 200-day MA of 40.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.34 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NGVT.

Ingevity Risk Analysis

Ingevity disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ingevity reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ingevity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PRPRM
72
Outperform
$1.76B15.1811.76%70.16%
SCSCL
71
Outperform
$1.27B22.874.65%2.71%-0.16%47.70%
66
Neutral
$2.22B84.062.21%1.74%-7.91%-81.73%
MTMTX
65
Neutral
$1.88B11.37-1.45%0.71%-3.82%-126.04%
54
Neutral
$1.57B-88.14%-17.68%-214.32%
50
Neutral
$1.98B-1.06-21.29%3.61%1.95%-30.60%
CCCC
49
Neutral
$1.67B54.284.66%8.95%-0.68%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NGVT
Ingevity
42.95
-8.08
-15.83%
IOSP
Innospec
88.99
-39.22
-30.59%
MTX
Minerals Technologies
59.38
-23.75
-28.57%
SCL
Stepan Company
56.07
-29.44
-34.43%
CC
Chemours Company
11.17
-16.31
-59.35%
PRM
Perimeter Solutions
11.89
3.92
49.18%

Ingevity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 20.92%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call displayed mixed results, with strong improvements in profitability and cash flow offset by significant sales declines and challenges in specific segments. Adjustments in guidance due to auto production forecasts and competitive pressures in certain markets present challenges. However, the company exhibits strong operational execution and financial discipline.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Fourth Consecutive Quarter of Year-over-Year Margin Expansion
Ingevity demonstrated meaningful progress with its fourth consecutive quarter of year-over-year margin expansion, reflecting increased profitability and strong free cash flow generation.
Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA improved by $17 million, with margins increasing from 21.9% to 32.1%. Free cash flow improved by $44 million from Q1 last year, primarily due to repositioning benefits.
Performance Materials Sales Growth
Performance Materials had higher sales due to favorable regional and product mix as well as annual price increases. The EBITDA margins remained near 54% for the quarter.
Strong Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
The company's successful execution of repositioning and improved working capital is driving strong free cash flow, continuing to reduce leverage with net leverage ending the quarter at 3.3x.
Negative Updates
Sales Decline in First Quarter
First quarter sales of $284 million were down 17% versus Q1 last year, primarily due to repositioning actions in performance chemicals and weak industrial demand.
Lower Sales in Performance Chemicals
Performance Chemicals sales were lower by 35% primarily as a result of repositioning actions. Industrial specialties had revenue in line with expectations but was significantly down compared to the previous year.
Challenges in Advanced Polymer Technologies
APT experienced lower overall sales in the quarter with volumes mixed depending on the region. Increased competition in Asia put downward pressure on prices.
Adjustment of Guidance Due to Auto Production Forecast
Guidance was adjusted to reflect an expected 10% reduction in North American auto production, which may lower segment EBITDA by $15 million to $20 million.
Company Guidance
In the Ingevity First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting changes in the macroeconomic environment. The guidance was adjusted to account for a potential 10% year-over-year decline in North American auto production, which could result in a $15 million to $20 million reduction in segment EBITDA. Ingevity expects to maintain strong profitability despite these headwinds, emphasizing the successful execution of repositioning actions, which have led to margin improvements. Adjusted EBITDA margins improved from 21.9% to 32.1% year-over-year, while free cash flow increased by $44 million compared to the previous year. The company reaffirmed its commitment to reducing leverage to less than 2.8x by year-end, supported by strong free cash flow generation. Overall, Ingevity remains focused on executing its strategy to optimize the portfolio, improve leverage, and drive shareholder value.

Ingevity Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ingevity Expands Board, Elects New Chair
Neutral
May 1, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Ingevity Corporation’s Board of Directors expanded from nine to eleven members, electing Mr. David H. Li and Mr. F. David Segal to fill the new positions. Mr. Bruce D. Hoechner was elected as Chair of the Board for a two-year term. The company’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders also took place, where stockholders voted on various proposals, including the election of nine director nominees and the approval of the 2025 Omnibus Incentive Plan.

Spark’s Take on NGVT Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, NGVT is a Neutral.

The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges and bearish technical indicators, which weigh heavily on the stock’s outlook. While the company is taking steps to improve its strategic positioning and reduce debt, the current financial instability and unattractive valuation present substantial risks. The positive leadership change provides a potential upside, but its impact remains to be seen.

To see Spark’s full report on NGVT stock, click here.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ingevity Appoints David H. Li as New CEO
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

On March 10, 2025, Ingevity Corporation announced the appointment of David H. Li as President and CEO, effective April 7, 2025. Li, with over 25 years of experience in the specialty materials industry, previously served as CEO of CMC Materials, Inc. His leadership is expected to drive strategic growth and enhance stockholder value at Ingevity. Li succeeds interim President and CEO Luis Fernandez-Moreno, who will remain on the board. This leadership transition is anticipated to strengthen Ingevity’s market position and operational performance, benefiting stakeholders by fostering long-term growth and value creation.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.