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M/I Homes
(NYSE:MHO)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$173.00
▲(36.89% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven by above-average fundamentals and a favorable earnings multiple (P/E ~11.7), supported by a strong balance sheet highlighted on the earnings call. These positives are tempered by recent revenue softness, lumpy cash-flow dynamics, and clear near-term margin pressure, while technicals indicate a mixed-to-weak trend relative to key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength & liquidity
Substantial liquidity and low net leverage give the company durable financial flexibility to fund land purchases, sustain operations through housing cycles, and continue share repurchases. Strong equity and an undrawn revolver reduce refinancing risk and support capital allocation during 2–6 month downturns.
Negative Factors
Gross margin compression
Material margin deterioration driven by higher buyer incentives and lot costs reduced operating profitability. If affordability and regional cost pressures persist, margins could remain pressured for multiple quarters unless incentives, pricing, or cost structure are adjusted to restore prior returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Balance sheet strength & liquidity
Substantial liquidity and low net leverage give the company durable financial flexibility to fund land purchases, sustain operations through housing cycles, and continue share repurchases. Strong equity and an undrawn revolver reduce refinancing risk and support capital allocation during 2–6 month downturns.
Read all positive factors
M/I Homes (MHO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.90B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)267.83K
Price to Earnings (P/E)11.1
Beta (1Y)0.69
Revenue Growth-1.83%
EPS Growth-30.18%
CountryUS
Employees1,760
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryResidential Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)13.58
Shares Outstanding25,590,109
10 Day Avg. Volume365,398
30 Day Avg. Volume267,829
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.33
Price to Book (P/B)1.08
Price to Sales (P/S)0.77
P/FCF Ratio28.33
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.90
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit4.05
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.92
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$170.00Price Target Upside34.51% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)12.92
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.11B
M/I Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO), along with its affiliated companies, constructs single-family residences across a broad geographical area, including Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Florida, Texas, North Carolina, and Tennessee. Its operations...
How the Company Makes Money
M/I Homes makes money primarily by selling newly built homes. The company acquires and develops lots (directly or through controlled/optioned arrangements), builds homes, and recognizes homebuilding revenue when a home is closed and title transfer...
M/I Homes Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 22, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed but fundamentally stable picture: the company demonstrated a very strong balance sheet, record book value per share, continued sales momentum (new contracts +3% and sold homes +3%), and an improved mortgage capture rate, which supported profitability. However, profitability metrics materially declined (pretax income -39%, EBITDA -36%, EPS -36%) driven by a 390 bps gross margin compression, higher incentives and lot costs, and regional volume variances. Management emphasized discipline on land, inventory and rate-buys, and highlighted market diversification and buyer quality as offsets to near-term margin pressure.Positive Updates
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Record shareholders' equity of $3.2 billion, cash balance of $767 million (over $750M), no borrowings under the $900M revolving credit facility, debt-to-capital 18% and net debt-to-capital negative 2%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Pretax Income and Profitability Metrics
Pretax income fell 39% year-over-year to $89.2M, and EBITDA decreased to $99M from $154M (down ~36%), reflecting margin pressure and lower operating profit versus prior year.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Record shareholders' equity of $3.2 billion, cash balance of $767 million (over $750M), no borrowings under the $900M revolving credit facility, debt-to-capital 18% and net debt-to-capital negative 2%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management gave limited formal guidance but outlined key forward targets and positioning: they’re on track to grow community count ~5% in 2026 (230 communities at Q1; opened 22/closed 24 in Q1; plan to open >80 new stores), will continue share repurchases (Q1 buybacks $50M, $170M remaining authorization; ~ $200M/year historical pace), and expect ASPs to remain in the upper $400Ks (Q1 ASP $459K, -4% Y/Y). They emphasized balance-sheet strength and land supply as the foundation for 2026 results: record shareholders’ equity $3.2B and book value/share $125, cash $767M, $0 drawn on $900M revolver, debt-to-capital 18% (net debt-to-capital -2%), owned ~24,200 lots (~3‑year supply) plus ~25,800 controlled (~50,000 total, ~5‑year supply), Q1 unsold land $1.9B and Q1 land spend $183M. While declining to give explicit margin guidance, they reiterated confidence in delivering solid 2026 results supported by Q1 operating metrics (Q1 revenue $921M, pretax income $89.2M or 10% pretax, ROE 12%, gross margin 22% [-390 bps], SG&A 12.7% of revenue, EBITDA $99M, EPS $2.55, homes sold 2,350 +3%, closings 1,914 -3%, cancellations 8%, inventory homes 2,584 with 740 completed) and mortgage business strength (mortgage pretax $14.1M, revenue $31.2M, loans originated 1,579 +3%, avg loan $401K, avg LTV 85%, capture rate 96%).M/I Homes Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.36B | 4.42B | 4.50B | 4.03B | 4.13B | 3.75B |
| Gross Profit | 969.67M | 1.02B | 1.20B | 1.01B | 1.04B | 908.91M |
| EBITDA | 567.14M | 566.67M | 749.06M | 621.77M | 652.06M | 525.60M |
| Net Income | 359.54M | 402.94M | 563.73M | 465.37M | 490.66M | 396.87M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.79B | 4.78B | 4.55B | 4.02B | 3.71B | 3.24B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 767.42M | 689.19M | 822.00M | 736.22M | 311.33M | 236.37M |
| Total Debt | 1.01B | 1.09B | 1.04B | 917.15M | 999.52M | 1.01B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.60B | 1.61B | 1.61B | 1.51B | 1.64B | 1.62B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.19B | 3.17B | 2.94B | 2.52B | 2.07B | 1.62B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 199.27M | 120.73M | 171.32M | 546.36M | 174.74M | -42.12M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 207.69M | 130.34M | 179.74M | 552.13M | 184.07M | -16.82M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -51.69M | -59.74M | -54.90M | -18.63M | -27.38M | -51.72M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -164.96M | -202.98M | -36.07M | -112.24M | -81.52M | 44.10M |
M/I Homes Technical Analysis
Positive
126.38
Price Trends
138.36
Positive
134.71
Positive
134.51
Positive
Market Momentum
5.49
Positive
54.08
Neutral
29.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 126.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 149.61, below the 50-day MA of 138.36, and below the 200-day MA of 134.51, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MHO.
M/I Homes Risk Analysis
M/I Homes disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. M/I Homes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
M/I Homes Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
80 Outperform | $3.31B | 10.97 | 16.38% | ― | -6.58% | -18.09% | |
70 Outperform | $3.90B | 11.07 | 11.42% | ― | -1.83% | -30.18% | |
69 Neutral | $3.75B | 13.97 | 9.01% | 1.76% | -17.52% | -45.75% | |
66 Neutral | $5.33B | 14.29 | 7.40% | 2.62% | -10.63% | -45.01% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
54 Neutral | $1.39B | 19.30 | 3.39% | ― | -22.62% | -60.74% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
MHO
M/I Homes
150.28
37.65
33.43%
KBH
KB Home
58.68
6.36
12.16%
MTH
Meritage
78.31
10.60
15.65%
LGIH
LGI Homes
58.92
6.21
11.78%
GRBK
Green Brick Partners
74.81
11.19
17.59%
M/I Homes Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
M/I Homes Shareholders Approve Directors and Executive Pay
Positive
May 14, 2026
On May 13, 2026, M/I Homes held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where investors elected three directors, Phillip G. Creek, Eugene D. Smith, and Bruce A. Soll, to serve on the board until the 2029 annual meeting. These elections help shape the ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.