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Merchants Bancorp (MBIN)
NASDAQ:MBIN
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Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) AI Stock Analysis

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MBIN

Merchants Bancorp

(NASDAQ:MBIN)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$58.00
▲(21.62% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/08/26
The score is held back mainly by financial-statement risks—especially persistently negative operating/free cash flow and meaningfully higher leverage—despite solid profitability. Offsetting this, technicals are strong with the stock trading above key moving averages and positive momentum, while valuation is reasonable and recent corporate actions support stability and dividends.
Positive Factors
Healthy Profitability
Strong margins indicate that Merchants Bancorp continues to generate meaningful earnings from its lending, deposit and mortgage-related activities. This profitability provides an operating cushion as the company manages slower revenue growth and changing funding conditions.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
The reversal from strong 2023–2024 growth to declining or stagnant revenue weakens the earnings-growth outlook. Without renewed loan, mortgage or fee growth, healthy margins may become harder to sustain over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Healthy Profitability
Strong margins indicate that Merchants Bancorp continues to generate meaningful earnings from its lending, deposit and mortgage-related activities. This profitability provides an operating cushion as the company manages slower revenue growth and changing funding conditions.
Read all positive factors

Merchants Bancorp (MBIN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Merchants Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Merchants Bancorp operates as a diversified financial services holding company across the United States. Its operations are organized into three primary divisions: Multi-family Mortgage Banking, Mortgage Warehousing, and Banking. The Multi-family ...
How the Company Makes Money
Merchants Bancorp primarily makes money through (1) net interest income and (2) noninterest income. Net interest income is earned from the spread between interest income on loans and securities and interest expense paid on funding sources such as ...

Merchants Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains solid (TTM net margin ~20% and mid‑20s EBIT margin), but revenue has turned negative (~‑4.4% TTM). Balance-sheet risk has increased with leverage rising sharply (debt-to-equity ~1.79 TTM vs. ~0.57 in 2023), and cash generation is a major concern with persistently negative operating and free cash flow in recent periods.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
28
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.31B1.37B1.45B1.19B602.07M461.56M
Gross Profit594.58M563.69M642.69M519.10M422.49M422.66M
EBITDA325.85M267.26M425.66M350.76M293.63M307.12M
Net Income268.58M218.77M320.39M279.23M219.72M227.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.23B19.45B18.81B16.95B12.62B11.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.88M880.90M566.62M1.70B549.50M1.34B
Total Debt4.28B3.84B4.34B964.13M940.39M1.17B
Total Liabilities18.84B17.17B16.56B15.25B11.16B10.12B
Stockholders Equity2.39B2.28B2.24B1.70B1.46B1.16B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-569.28M-170.30M-853.67M-363.93M966.96M-52.86M
Operating Cash Flow-546.84M-149.36M-835.28M-356.40M975.77M-49.22M
Investing Cash Flow-1.48B-387.56M-874.27M-3.26B-2.86B-474.26M
Financing Cash Flow1.69B272.51M1.60B3.97B1.08B1.38B

Merchants Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price47.69
Price Trends
50DMA
50.69
Positive
100DMA
48.52
Positive
200DMA
42.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.42
Positive
RSI
60.25
Neutral
STOCH
55.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBIN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.11, below the 50-day MA of 50.69, and above the 200-day MA of 42.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MBIN.

Merchants Bancorp Risk Analysis

Merchants Bancorp disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Merchants Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Merchants Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.91B13.0712.17%2.48%21.78%43.92%
76
Outperform
$1.79B13.439.74%2.74%2.44%10.69%
73
Outperform
$1.81B13.2510.23%2.48%3.50%23.44%
68
Neutral
$1.82B50.114.09%9.21%234.88%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$1.91B16.256.47%2.94%8.27%-23.33%
63
Neutral
$2.50B10.7411.64%0.88%-5.27%9.27%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBIN
Merchants Bancorp
53.50
21.42
66.79%
GABC
German American Bancorp
49.52
10.48
26.85%
STBA
S&T Bancorp
50.11
13.88
38.30%
TCBK
Trico Bancshares
55.79
14.27
34.37%
TFIN
Triumph Financial
74.16
20.04
37.03%
NBHC
National Bank Holdings
41.77
5.25
14.37%

Merchants Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Merchants Bancorp Shareholders Approve Governance and Dividends
Positive
May 21, 2026
Merchants Bancorp held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 21, 2026, where investors elected twelve directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting, approved on an advisory basis the compensation of named executive officers, and ratified th...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2026