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BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND)
NYSE:LND
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BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND) AI Stock Analysis

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LND

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas

(NYSE:LND)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(8.40% Upside)
The overall stock score of 56 reflects the financial challenges faced by BrasilAgro, including declining revenue and cash flow issues, which are partially offset by a reasonable valuation and attractive dividend yield. Technical analysis provides mixed signals, indicating a neutral market sentiment.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas (LND) is a prominent Brazilian agricultural company specializing in the acquisition, development, and management of farmland for the production of various crops. The company operates primarily in the agribusiness sector, focusing on high-value agricultural operations such as soybean, corn, cotton, and cattle ranching. BrasilAgro is dedicated to sustainable agricultural practices and aims to enhance productivity while maximizing the value of its agricultural assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyBrasilAgro generates revenue primarily through the sale of agricultural products cultivated on its owned and managed properties. The company benefits from the appreciation of its land assets, which can be sold or leased to other agricultural operators, thereby creating additional income streams. Key revenue sources include direct sales of crops, leasing agricultural land to third parties, and strategic partnerships with agribusiness firms to enhance operational efficiencies and market access. The company also capitalizes on favorable market conditions and price fluctuations in the agricultural commodities sector to optimize its earnings.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 03, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed outlook with strong financial performance and strategic achievements offset by climate-related challenges and commodity price volatility. While operational resilience was emphasized, ongoing challenges in planting and cost management were significant concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Net Income and Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a net income of BRL 97.5 million and adjusted EBITDA from operational revenues, including significant contributions from the Alto Taquari Farm.
Operational Achievements
1.6 million tonnes harvested in the quarter, with positive performances in soy and sugarcane contributing significantly to revenues.
Commodity Price Recovery
Increase in sugarcane prices by 21%, soy by 3%, and corn by 5%, reflecting a recovery in commodity markets.
Strong Sugarcane Productivity
Sugarcane productivity exceeded budgeted expectations with a tonnage of 85 TCH, contributing to strong company performance.
Strategic Sales and Revenue
Land sales including the Taquari Farm generated BRL 199 million in revenue, contributing to a gross result significantly.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Crop Planting
Delayed start in soy plantations in Mato Grosso due to weather, affecting potential yields and operational timelines.
Corn Planting and Margins
Reduced corn planting area due to previously low expected margins, though recent price recoveries are noted.
Cotton Price Decline
Significant drop in cotton prices, impacting revenue from cotton sales.
Climate Impact on Sugarcane
Sugarcane productivity impacted by regional droughts, with future harvests potentially affected by climatic uncertainties.
High Cost of Capital
Increased cost of capital posing challenges for expansion and investment in new areas.
Company Guidance
During the AGRO3.SA earnings call for Q1 2025, various guidance metrics were discussed by the executives. The company's net income was reported at BRL 97.5 million, with an adjusted EBITDA stemming partly from the Phase 2 sale of the Alto Taquari Farm, generating BRL 525 million at a price of BRL 1,100 per hectare for a total of 2,694 hectares. Operationally, BrasilAgro harvested 1.6 million tonnes, with a significant focus on soy and sugarcane. The company is projected to finish the harvest with approximately 180,000 hectares planted. Sugarcane yields averaged 85 tons per hectare, exceeding budget expectations. The company sold approximately 40% of its soy at $11.46 and maintained a hedge strategy with 31% ethanol sales at BRL 2,600. The total receivables were BRL 900 million, reflecting strong financial management. The executives also highlighted a reduction in the cost per ton of soy and sugarcane, attributing it to lower input prices and improved logistics. Moreover, dividends of BRL 1.96 per share were announced, emphasizing a consistent return to shareholders. Overall, the call underlined BrasilAgro's strategic resilience and effective management amid agricultural and market challenges.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BrasilAgro displays strong profitability and operational efficiency, with high net profit and EBITDA margins. However, inconsistent revenue growth and declining cash reserves pose potential liquidity risks. The balance sheet is stable but cash flow challenges due to negative free cash flow growth and limited cash generation relative to earnings need attention.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows a solid performance with a high gross profit margin of 22.67% for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is robust at 24.79%, reflecting strong profitability. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline of 7.47% from the previous annual period. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 32.91% and 35.73%, respectively, suggesting good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet exhibits moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 for TTM, which is manageable. The return on equity is impressive at 14.27%, indicating effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio stands at 54.64%, showing a moderate level of equity financing. The company's total assets have grown, but a decreasing trend in cash reserves may be a concern for liquidity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow statement presents challenges, with negative free cash flow growth, highlighting potential liquidity issues. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is modest at 0.14, indicating limited cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting the company is not generating free cash flow in line with its net income, mainly due to capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.25B1.06B1.02B1.25B1.42B716.05M
Gross Profit283.13M215.55M311.89M315.50M226.16M-35.82M
EBITDA446.15M105.07M338.91M286.15M787.98M436.83M
Net Income309.59M138.02M226.87M268.54M520.10M317.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.97B3.84B3.61B3.51B3.35B3.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.22M159.82M193.89M412.04M530.36M1.06B
Total Debt1.34B1.31B1.04B871.97M702.19M862.18M
Total Liabilities1.80B1.66B1.43B1.31B1.13B1.25B
Stockholders Equity2.17B2.18B2.18B2.20B2.22B2.18B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-29.99M59.33M11.02M94.95M154.34M132.52M
Operating Cash Flow44.53M139.31M79.42M155.73M205.18M151.23M
Investing Cash Flow-49.71M-106.68M-27.85M55.04M-89.73M-214.01M
Financing Cash Flow-153.64M-60.70M-265.80M-261.06M-737.80M954.86M

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.69
Price Trends
50DMA
3.82
Negative
100DMA
3.82
Negative
200DMA
3.79
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
41.11
Neutral
STOCH
17.56
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LND, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.69 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.80, below the 50-day MA of 3.82, and below the 200-day MA of 3.79, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.56 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LND.

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Risk Analysis

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$4.46B3.5355.20%8.94%65.80%197.95%
72
Outperform
$1.61B10.757.49%3.48%1.41%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$264.59M36.96-4.88%2.01%-14.97%-278.36%
59
Neutral
$760.95M21.292.63%4.56%19.45%-82.38%
56
Neutral
$365.73M15.246.28%6.78%0.32%-42.97%
50
Neutral
$263.61M32.96-82.35%0.58%-4.72%-700.99%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LND
BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas
3.68
-0.46
-11.11%
AGRO
Adecoagro SA
7.61
-3.61
-32.17%
ALCO
Alico
34.78
8.21
30.90%
CALM
Cal-Maine Foods
91.86
5.04
5.81%
FDP
Fresh Del Monte Produce
33.08
4.05
13.95%
LMNR
Limoneira Co
14.66
-12.87
-46.75%

BrasilAgro Cia Brasileira de Propriedades Agricolas Corporate Events

BrasilAgro Announces Digital AGM-EGM for October 2025
Sep 23, 2025

BrasilAgro has announced its upcoming Annual and Extraordinary General Meeting (AGM-EGM) scheduled for October 22, 2025, which will be held in a digital format. The agenda includes reviewing the management’s accounts, discussing the allocation of net income for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, and electing members to the Board of Directors and Fiscal Council. Additionally, proposed amendments to the company’s bylaws will be addressed. This meeting is crucial for stakeholders as it will determine key financial and governance decisions impacting the company’s future operations.

BrasilAgro Announces Digital General Meeting for October 2025
Sep 23, 2025

BrasilAgro has announced its Annual and Extraordinary General Meeting scheduled for October 22, 2025, to be held digitally. The meeting will address several key agenda items, including the approval of financial statements for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025, the allocation of net income, and the election of board members. This meeting is significant for stakeholders as it involves decisions on financial allocations and governance that could impact the company’s strategic direction.

BrasilAgro Reports Strong Financial Results Amidst Operational Challenges
Sep 4, 2025

BrasilAgro reported its consolidated results for the quarter and year ending June 30, 2025, highlighting a 5% increase in net revenue to R$1.2 billion, despite challenges like adverse weather conditions and reduced production in grains and cotton. The company successfully completed the sale of Fazenda Preferência, marking a significant milestone in its real estate strategy, and projected a promising outlook for the 2025/26 crop year with expectations of more stable weather and improved margins.

BrasilAgro Announces 2025/2026 Crop Year Estimates Amid Operational Adjustments
Sep 4, 2025

On September 3, 2025, BrasilAgro announced its initial estimates for the 2025/2026 crop year, maintaining a planted area of 172,610 hectares despite a 3% reduction in the previous year’s planted area due to adverse weather conditions. The company anticipates improved results driven by favorable weather, operational discipline, and technological investments, despite challenges such as high temperatures, water deficits, and disease impacting sugarcane production.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2025