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Krystal Biotech (KRYS)
NASDAQ:KRYS
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Krystal Biotech (KRYS) AI Stock Analysis

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KRYS

Krystal Biotech

(NASDAQ:KRYS)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$218.00
▲(14.78% Upside)
Krystal Biotech's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. Technical indicators suggest bullish momentum, though valuation concerns and potential short-term revenue declines pose risks.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Approval
The FDA's approval to expand VYJUVEK's eligible patient population enhances its market potential, reinforcing its leadership in treating DEB and potentially increasing revenue streams.
Global Expansion
Krystal Biotech's strategic global expansion into Japan and Europe positions the company for significant market growth, diversifying its revenue base and enhancing its competitive position.
Financial Health
Krystal Biotech's solid balance sheet and strong cash flow generation provide financial stability and flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand market fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Anticipated revenue decline in Q3 due to seasonal factors may impact short-term financial performance, posing a challenge to maintaining consistent growth momentum.
Operational Challenges
Ongoing challenges in scaling the sales force could delay the company's ability to fully capitalize on market opportunities, potentially affecting revenue growth and market penetration.
Market Entry Delays
Potential delays in entering European and Japanese markets could hinder Krystal Biotech's global expansion efforts, affecting its ability to capture new revenue streams promptly.

Krystal Biotech (KRYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Krystal Biotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKrystal Biotech, Inc. is a biotechnology company specializing in developing innovative gene therapies for the treatment of rare diseases, particularly those affecting the skin. The company focuses on its lead product candidate, KB103, which is designed to address dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (DEB), a rare genetic skin disorder. Krystal Biotech utilizes its proprietary Skin Drug Delivery System (SDDS) technology to deliver genes directly to the skin, aiming to improve the lives of patients with genetic skin disorders.
How the Company Makes MoneyKrystal Biotech generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its gene therapy products. The company's revenue model is based on potential product sales upon regulatory approval and market introduction of its therapies. Additionally, Krystal may engage in collaborative partnerships with pharmaceutical companies for research, development, and distribution, which can provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales. The company is also exploring avenues for funding through grants and research collaborations that support its clinical programs, enhancing its financial stability as it advances its product pipeline.

Krystal Biotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Krystal Biotech's earnings call highlights strong financial performance and strategic global expansion, with significant revenue growth and profitability. However, challenges such as anticipated revenue decline in Q3, ongoing sales force scaling, and potential market entry delays in Europe and Japan present concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth for VYJUVEK
Q2 net VYJUVEK revenue was $96 million, with total net revenue since launch exceeding $525 million. The company achieved a 9% growth over the first quarter of 2025.
Global Expansion Milestones
Approval of VYJUVEK by Japan's Ministry of Health and plans for European launch in Germany and France. The company has established dedicated commercial teams in both countries.
Positive Financial Performance
Continued profitability with $1.29 per diluted share, marking two years of consistently positive EPS. Net income for the quarter was $38.3 million.
Pipeline Progress
Clinical data updates for oncology and aesthetic programs, progression of KB408 into repeat dosing for AATD, and new study starts for lung and eye diseases.
Negative Updates
Anticipated Revenue Decline in Q3
Expectation of Q3 revenues to come in below Q2 due to summer pausing trends and unpredictability in patient restart dynamics.
Operational Challenges in Scaling
Sales force hiring is still underway, with full impact of new hires only expected over the next few quarters. Compliance while on drug is expected to trend down as patient mix changes.
Potential Delays in European and Japanese Markets
European launch is subject to the continuity of the Accès Précoce program in France, and Japanese launch awaits pricing decision.
Company Guidance
During the Krystal Biotech Q2 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Krystal reported a net product revenue of $96 million for VYJUVEK, contributing to a total net revenue of over $525 million since its launch. The company achieved an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.29 fully diluted, marking two years of consistent positive EPS. The compliance rate for patients on VYJUVEK was reported at 82%, with an expectation of a downward trend as severe patients achieve durable wound closure. The company anticipates a temporary decline in Q3 revenues due to summer pauses, with a return to growth in Q4 driven by patient restarts and sales force expansion. Krystal highlighted its global expansion plans, with upcoming launches in Europe and Japan, and maintained a strong financial position with over $820 million in cash and investments.

Krystal Biotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Krystal Biotech demonstrates strong financial health with significant revenue and profit growth, robust margins, and improved cash flow generation. The transition from losses to profitability and efficient capital management are notable. Maintaining this trajectory is crucial for sustained growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Krystal Biotech has shown impressive financial performance with a significant increase in total revenue from $50.7 million in 2023 to $290.5 million in 2024, indicating a strong revenue growth rate. The gross profit margin is robust at 93.1% for 2024, and the net profit margin stands at 30.7%, reflecting high profitability. Despite earlier losses, the company has turned profitable, with both EBIT and EBITDA margins improving significantly.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.008, indicating low leverage risk. The return on equity is 9.4%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is high at 89.6%, suggesting a strong capital structure with a majority of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
The cash flow analysis reveals a positive turnaround with a free cash flow of $119.2 million in 2024 compared to negative figures in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.38, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. The company has managed to sustain positive cash flow, enhancing its financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue359.20M290.51M50.70M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit333.84M270.45M47.60M-4.05M-2.77M-1.85M
EBITDA151.31M109.91M17.90M-145.20M-65.31M-30.32M
Net Income146.72M89.16M10.93M-139.97M-69.57M-32.17M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.14B1.06B818.36M558.45M626.29M310.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments681.99M597.52M532.18M379.17M438.10M271.26M
Total Debt1.62M7.26M8.09M8.93M8.02M11.55M
Total Liabilities97.75M109.46M39.71M36.22M32.72M18.76M
Stockholders Equity1.04B946.38M778.64M522.23M593.58M292.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow185.44M119.18M-100.60M-153.55M-116.27M-40.93M
Operating Cash Flow195.40M123.42M-88.80M-100.57M-47.94M-26.08M
Investing Cash Flow-183.40M-163.44M82.64M-114.08M-226.77M-11.18M
Financing Cash Flow-4.88M27.01M202.75M35.35M347.69M118.02M

Krystal Biotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price189.93
Price Trends
50DMA
165.84
Positive
100DMA
154.57
Positive
200DMA
157.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.61
Positive
RSI
61.50
Neutral
STOCH
40.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRYS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 189.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 186.11, above the 50-day MA of 165.84, and above the 200-day MA of 157.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 61.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KRYS.

Krystal Biotech Risk Analysis

Krystal Biotech disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Krystal Biotech reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Krystal Biotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$5.39B37.8615.61%116.09%35.29%
$4.92B14.2723.94%-0.17%23.84%
$5.27B9.6296.00%
$4.70B-42.75%-60.63%-216.87%
$6.15B-25.34%-81.18%-69.19%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
$611.48M-40.29%-208.46%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
189.93
13.71
7.78%
ALKS
Alkermes
29.72
3.28
12.41%
PTCT
PTC Therapeutics
67.08
24.58
57.84%
CRSP
Crispr Therapeutics AG
65.72
16.78
34.29%
MLTX
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics
10.07
-38.12
-79.10%
ACLX
Arcellx Inc
86.70
-0.55
-0.63%

Krystal Biotech Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Krystal Biotech Launches VYJUVEK® in Japan
Positive
Oct 22, 2025

On October 22, 2025, Krystal Biotech‘s subsidiary in Japan launched VYJUVEK® for treating dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa, following its inclusion in Japan’s National Health Insurance Drug Price List. This marks a significant step in Krystal Biotech’s expansion into the Japanese market, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and offering new treatment options for patients.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRYS) stock is a Buy with a $255.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Krystal Biotech stock, see the KRYS Stock Forecast page.

Krystal Biotech’s Earnings Call: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call from Krystal Biotech, Inc. showcased a robust financial performance, driven by the successful launch of VYJUVEK and ongoing research and development progress. Despite these achievements, the company anticipates a revenue decline in Q3 2025 due to seasonal factors and variability in patient treatment patterns, which tempers the otherwise positive outlook.

Krystal Biotech Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 5, 2025

Krystal Biotech, Inc. is a biotechnology company focused on developing genetic medicines for diseases with high unmet medical needs, with its flagship product VYJUVEK being the first redosable gene therapy approved in the U.S., Europe, and Japan for treating dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Krystal Biotech Gains Approval for DEB Treatment in Japan
Positive
Jul 25, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Japan’s Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare approved VYJUVEK® for treating dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (DEB), marking it as the first genetic medicine for DEB in Japan. This approval allows flexible administration, including home dosing, and is based on a comprehensive clinical dataset showing positive outcomes. The approval is a significant milestone for Krystal Biotech, positioning them as a leader in genetic medicine for DEB and expanding their market presence in Japan, with commercial launch expected by the end of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRYS) stock is a Buy with a $208.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Krystal Biotech stock, see the KRYS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Krystal Biotech’s Subsidiary Reports Positive Phase 1 Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Jeune Aesthetics, a subsidiary of Krystal Biotech, announced positive results from a Phase 1 study of KB304 for treating wrinkles of the décolleté. The study showed significant improvements in skin attributes such as wrinkles and elasticity, with KB304 outperforming placebo. The company plans to advance KB304 to Phase 2 development, aiming to fill a market gap for FDA-approved injectables in this area.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRYS) stock is a Buy with a $208.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Krystal Biotech stock, see the KRYS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025