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Krystal Biotech, Inc. (KRYS)
:KRYS

Krystal Biotech (KRYS) AI Stock Analysis

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Krystal Biotech

(NASDAQ:KRYS)

74Outperform
Krystal Biotech's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives are significant strengths, highlighted by revenue growth and European market expansion. However, technical indicators and high valuation present notable risks. The company's ability to manage operational challenges and sustain growth will be crucial in influencing future stock performance.
Positive Factors
European Market Expansion
Vyjuvek's EU market is viewed as a meaningful contribution to the current valuation.
Pipeline Growth
Pipeline data to broaden story in 2025 and beyond, with significant potential in gene therapy and oncology.
Product Portfolio Expansion
The addition of KB111 and KB112 provides further validation of the utility of the HSV-1 based platform beyond the already FDA and EMA approved VYJUVEK for B-VEC, and continues to bring a sustainable value-add for the company.
Negative Factors
Compliance and Revenue Uncertainty
Future Vyjuvek quarterly revenue is expected to be more unpredictable, as it will become more dependent on patient returns from drug holidays.
Reimbursement Approval Slowdown
The biggest update was the slowdown in reimbursement approvals which the company noted was related to the lower number of start forms received.
Revenue Challenges
Krystal (KRYS) shares fell -12.2% after announcing 1Q results which saw a significant decrease in Vyjuvek revenue despite maintaining relatively steady trends in compliance, lives covered, and gross margins.

Krystal Biotech (KRYS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Krystal Biotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKrystal Biotech, Inc., a clinical stage biotechnology company, engages in the field of redosable gene therapy to treat serious rare diseases in the United States. Its lead product candidate is beremagene geperpavec (B-VEC), which is in Phase III clinical study to treat dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa. The company is also involved in developing KB105 that is in Phase I/II clinical study for treating patients with deficient autosomal recessive congenital ichthyosis; KB301, which is in Phase I/II clinical stage for treating wrinkles and other presentations of aged or damaged skin; KB407 that is in preclinical stage for cystic fibrosis; and KB104, which is in preclinical stage for netherton syndrome. Its discovery stage product candidates include KB5xx for treating chronic skin diseases, KB3xx to treat aesthetic skin conditions, and KB3xx product. Krystal Biotech, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyKrystal Biotech primarily generates revenue through the development and commercialization of its gene therapy products. The company earns money by obtaining regulatory approvals and launching its therapies into the market, particularly targeting rare dermatological conditions. Key revenue streams include direct sales of approved therapies, licensing agreements, and potential milestone and royalty payments from partnerships. Additionally, Krystal Biotech may engage in collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, contributing to its earnings through research and development funding, as well as shared profits from co-developed products.

Krystal Biotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Krystal Biotech exhibits strong financial health with significant revenue growth and robust profit margins. The balance sheet shows low leverage and efficient capital management, while cash flow generation has improved, enhancing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Krystal Biotech has shown impressive financial performance with a significant increase in total revenue from $50.7 million in 2023 to $290.5 million in 2024, indicating a strong revenue growth rate. The gross profit margin is robust at 93.1% for 2024, and the net profit margin stands at 30.7%, reflecting high profitability. Despite earlier losses, the company has turned profitable, with both EBIT and EBITDA margins improving significantly.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.008, indicating low leverage risk. The return on equity is 9.4%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is high at 89.6%, suggesting a strong capital structure with a majority of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow analysis reveals a positive turnaround with a free cash flow of $119.2 million in 2024 compared to negative figures in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.38, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. The company has managed to sustain positive cash flow, enhancing its financial flexibility.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
290.51M50.70M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit
270.45M47.60M-4.05M-2.77M-1.85M
EBIT
65.69M-109.73M-145.20M-68.28M-33.00M
EBITDA
109.91M17.90M-145.20M-65.31M-30.32M
Net Income Common Stockholders
89.16M10.93M-139.97M-69.57M-32.17M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
597.52M532.18M379.17M438.10M271.26M
Total Assets
1.06B818.36M558.45M626.29M310.84M
Total Debt
7.26M8.09M8.93M8.02M11.55M
Net Debt
-337.60M-350.23M-152.97M-333.22M-256.72M
Total Liabilities
109.46M39.71M36.22M32.72M18.76M
Stockholders Equity
946.38M778.64M522.23M593.58M292.08M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
119.18M-100.60M-153.55M-116.27M-40.93M
Operating Cash Flow
123.42M-88.80M-100.57M-47.94M-26.08M
Investing Cash Flow
-163.44M82.64M-114.08M-226.77M-11.18M
Financing Cash Flow
27.01M202.75M35.35M347.69M118.02M

Krystal Biotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price130.33
Price Trends
50DMA
168.76
Negative
100DMA
164.88
Negative
200DMA
174.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-10.66
Positive
RSI
28.74
Positive
STOCH
7.68
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KRYS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 130.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.39, below the 50-day MA of 168.76, and below the 200-day MA of 174.60, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.74 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.68 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KRYS.

Krystal Biotech Risk Analysis

Krystal Biotech disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Krystal Biotech reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Krystal Biotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.80B31.3913.90%247.53%118.34%
68
Neutral
$5.72B-72.73%-157.53%
54
Neutral
$3.51B19.61-23.61%59.15%-1881.09%
52
Neutral
$5.04B3.15-44.58%2.85%16.08%-0.27%
48
Neutral
$6.42B-47.71%99.19%48.43%
38
Underperform
$5.10B-282.16%72.16%9.65%
36
Underperform
$3.58B435.49%412.21%1.75%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KRYS
Krystal Biotech
130.33
-33.45
-20.42%
CYTK
Cytokinetics
29.84
-30.08
-50.20%
SRPT
Sarepta Therapeutics
35.27
-97.47
-73.43%
BPMC
Blueprint Medicines
99.49
-7.15
-6.70%
AXSM
Axsome Therapeutics
107.22
29.87
38.62%
VRNA
Verona Pharma
69.53
56.17
420.43%

Krystal Biotech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -19.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as strong revenue growth, European expansion, and a robust clinical pipeline. However, challenges like the slowdown in reimbursement approvals and unpredictable patient pausing patterns were also discussed. The company's strong financial position and operational execution suggest a positive outlook, despite some operational challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
VYJUVEK Revenue Growth
Net VYJUVEK revenue for the first quarter was $88.2 million, a 95% increase from the prior year.
European Expansion
Krystal Biotech received full approval for VYJUVEK in Europe with plans to launch in Germany and France in Q3 2025.
Consistent High Gross Margin
Gross margin remained strong at 94% for Q1 2025.
U.S. Patient Access
Reimbursement approvals for VYJUVEK in the U.S. exceeded 540, with full nationwide commercial and Medicaid coverage.
Strong Financial Position
Krystal Biotech ended Q1 with $765.3 million in total cash plus investments.
Clinical Pipeline Progress
Upcoming clinical readouts for CF, AATD, aesthetic skin conditions, and ocular lesions are expected later in 2025.
Negative Updates
Slowdown in Reimbursement Approvals
A slowdown in the number of reimbursement approvals in Q1 was noted, attributed to longer interaction times with physicians as the company reaches deeper into communities.
Patient Pausing Patterns
Patient pausing patterns after the initial induction therapy are unpredictable and may cause waviness in upcoming quarterly results.
Insurance Changes Impact
Insurance changes in Q1 affected the trends, although not as prominently as the prior year.
Company Guidance
In the Krystal Biotech First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the upcoming periods. Net revenue for VYJUVEK in Q1 2025 was reported at $88.2 million, indicating a significant 95% growth compared to the prior year. The gross margin remained consistent at 94%, while research and development expenses rose to $14.3 million, reflecting increased personnel and clinical development costs. The company maintained a strong cash position with $765.3 million in total cash and investments. Looking forward, Krystal Biotech plans to launch VYJUVEK in Germany and France in Q3 2025, with expectations to capture a 60% market share in two years, despite a temporary slowdown in the U.S. The company anticipates regulatory approval in Japan by Q3 2025 and aims to start treating patients by Q4 2025. Additionally, Krystal Biotech is advancing its clinical pipeline with upcoming readouts in CF, AATD, aesthetics, and ocular conditions later this year, which are expected to contribute to its long-term growth strategy.

Krystal Biotech Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Krystal Biotech Expands Gene Therapy Platform
Positive
May 13, 2025

On May 9, 2025, Krystal Biotech presented a poster at the Society for Investigative Dermatology Annual Meeting, detailing the expansion of its HSV-1-based gene therapy platform to treat Hailey-Hailey and Darier diseases. The studies demonstrated that the company’s gene therapy vectors, KB111 and KB112, can effectively transduce keratinocytes and express ATPases with minimal toxicity, indicating promising potential for treating these rare skin conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (KRYS) stock is a Buy with a $208.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Krystal Biotech stock, see the KRYS Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on KRYS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, KRYS is a Outperform.

Krystal Biotech’s strong financial performance and strategic growth plans, highlighted by revenue growth and European market expansion, are key strengths. However, technical indicators and high valuation present risks. The company’s ability to manage operational challenges and sustain growth will be crucial in influencing future stock performance.

To see Spark’s full report on KRYS stock, click here.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Krystal Biotech Presents Promising Gene Therapy at ARVO
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Krystal Biotech presented research at the ARVO Annual Meeting showcasing their HSV-1-based gene therapy vector, KB801, which demonstrated sustained nerve growth factor expression in wounded murine corneas. This development highlights KB801’s potential as a safe and effective topical treatment for neurotrophic keratitis, offering a less burdensome alternative to the current treatment, cenegermin-bkbj, which requires frequent dosing.

Spark’s Take on KRYS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, KRYS is a Outperform.

Krystal Biotech’s strong financial performance and strategic growth plans, particularly the EU approval of VYJUVEK®, are key strengths. While the technical analysis indicates some caution and high valuation suggests risks, the company’s robust earnings call and corporate event developments support a positive overall outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on KRYS stock, click here.

Product-Related Announcements
Krystal Biotech Gains EU Approval for VYJUVEK®
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 23, 2025, the European Commission approved VYJUVEK® for treating dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (DEB) in Europe, marking it as the first corrective medicine for DEB in the region. This approval allows flexible dosing at home or in healthcare settings and is expected to significantly impact Krystal Biotech‘s market presence in Europe, with plans for a launch in Germany by mid-2025.

Spark’s Take on KRYS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, KRYS is a Outperform.

Krystal Biotech demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, reflected in a solid earnings call. However, technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and high valuation poses risks. The company’s ability to maintain growth and manage operational challenges will be key to future stock performance.

To see Spark’s full report on KRYS stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.