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Sarepta Therapeutics Inc. (SRPT)
NASDAQ:SRPT
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Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) AI Stock Analysis

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SRPT

Sarepta Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:SRPT)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
▼(-23.43% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/05/26
SRPT scores in the mid-range primarily due to mixed financial durability (TTM inflection to profitability and positive cash flow, but sharp revenue decline and high volatility) and weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative momentum). The earnings call adds support via reiterated 2026 guidance and strong Q1 profitability/margins, while valuation is moderate but lacks dividend support.
Positive Factors
Profitability and Margins
Sarepta delivered a profitable Q1 with very high unit gross margins, indicating durable product-level economics. Strong gross margins provide operating leverage to fund commercialization and R&D, support positive cash generation when product sales normalize, and improve resilience to pricing or cost pressures.
Negative Factors
Alevitus Demand and Revenue Predictability
Alevitus sales softness and a measured recovery create structural revenue lumpiness because it is a one-time therapy with long patient decision cycles. This dynamic impairs predictable recurring revenue, complicates forecasting, and makes operating leverage and margin improvement contingent on gradual commercial recovery.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Profitability and Margins
Sarepta delivered a profitable Q1 with very high unit gross margins, indicating durable product-level economics. Strong gross margins provide operating leverage to fund commercialization and R&D, support positive cash generation when product sales normalize, and improve resilience to pricing or cost pressures.
Read all positive factors

Sarepta Therapeutics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Splits revenue across business lines and markets — for example commercial product sales, collaboration or licensing income, and geographic regions — to reveal where growth is coming from and how diversified the business is. Helps investors see whether Sarepta depends mainly on commercial sales from a small set of drugs, benefits from partner deals or milestone payments, and how exposure to different markets or revenue types affects risk and upside.
Chart InsightsProducts have become the clear revenue engine, showing rapid growth but recent volatility tied to seasonality and shipment disruptions; Collaboration & Other is lumpy and reflects one‑time monetizations that shore up liquidity rather than steady operating income. Management says product demand (ELEVIDYS and the PMO franchise) remains strong despite pauses, but the ESSENCE trial miss and regulatory risk are real near‑term headwinds—successful approval transitions and upcoming siRNA readouts are the key catalysts for sustainable growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sarepta Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc., a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of RNA-targeted therapeutics, gene therapies, and other genetic therapeutic modalities for the treatment of rare diseases. It offers...
How the Company Makes Money
Sarepta makes money primarily through product sales of its approved Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) therapies. Revenue is generated when specialty pharmacies, hospitals, or distributors purchase these medicines for use in eligible patients, with...

Sarepta Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a largely constructive tone: Sarepta reported profitable Q1 results, strong gross margins, and a $748M cash balance while reiterating full-year guidance of $1.2B–$1.4B. The company highlighted meaningful clinical progress—notably robust early siRNA data (FSHD, DM1), encouraging EMBARK 3‑year and MRI evidence for Alevitus, regulatory progress with sNDA submissions, and commercialization initiatives (expanded sales force). Offsetting these positives were lower Alevitus product sales driving a modest YoY revenue decline (–2%), an information gap slowing demand recovery, short-term cash outflows tied to planned Arrowhead payments, and unresolved safety/regulatory uncertainty for non‑ambulatory Alevitus use that depends on small open‑label cohorts. Overall, the call emphasized stabilization and long‑term opportunity but signaled that commercial recovery for Alevitus will be gradual and that some clinical/regulatory risks remain.
Positive Updates
Profitability and Strong Operating Performance
Reported GAAP operating profit of $358 million and non-GAAP operating profit of $398 million in Q1 2026, reflecting a profitable base business and positive cash flow excluding Arrowhead-related payments.
Negative Updates
Year‑over‑Year Revenue Decline Driven by Alevitus
Total revenues decreased 2% YoY to $731 million; the decline in net product revenue year-over-year was driven primarily by lower Alevitus sales (Alevitus net product revenue $102 million in Q1).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Profitability and Strong Operating Performance
Reported GAAP operating profit of $358 million and non-GAAP operating profit of $398 million in Q1 2026, reflecting a profitable base business and positive cash flow excluding Arrowhead-related payments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Sarepta reiterated full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion while reaffirming prior OpEx guidance and the expectation of ongoing profitability and a growing cash balance; in Q1 the company reported $331 million of net product revenue (Alevitus $102 million; PMO therapies $229 million) and $731 million of total revenue, including $400 million of collaboration and other revenue (notably $325 million of non‑cash Roche revenue and a $40 million Japan milestone), with cost of sales of $109 million (down 21% y/y) and unit gross margins of 82%; combined R&D and SG&A were $263 million GAAP and $224 million non‑GAAP (including a $50 million Arrowhead fee), producing a GAAP operating profit of $358 million and a non‑GAAP operating profit of $398 million; the company ended Q1 with $748 million of cash and investments (sequentially down $206 million driven by $250 million of Arrowhead payments), noted it generated positive cash flow excluding Arrowhead payments, said it remains on track for positive cash flow under base‑case assumptions, and emphasized prudence in raising estimates while executing commercial initiatives (salesforce expansion to be fully operational in H2) and advancing ENDEAVOR Cohort 8 (~25 non‑ambulatory patients; sirolimus 14 days pre‑infusion and 12 weeks post; primary endpoints: incidence of ALI and Alevitus dystrophin at 12 weeks, targeting a ~50% reduction in ALI vs. historical clinical trial rates).

Sarepta Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show improvement in the TTM period (positive net income and positive operating/free cash flow, with leverage reduced to under ~1x debt-to-equity), but stability remains a key concern. TTM revenue declined sharply vs. the prior year and profitability has been highly volatile (2024 profit to 2025 loss to modest TTM profit), while cash conversion is still uneven (FCF below net income and down vs. the prior period).
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.18B2.20B1.90B1.24B933.01M701.89M
Gross Profit1.36B1.32B1.58B1.09B793.02M604.84M
EBITDA124.95M-647.97M316.89M-453.69M-594.85M-317.41M
Net Income65.06M-713.41M235.24M-535.98M-703.49M-418.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.18B3.35B3.96B3.26B3.13B3.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments653.19M939.65M1.35B1.68B1.99B2.12B
Total Debt1.04B1.04B1.34B1.40B1.62B1.15B
Total Liabilities1.67B2.21B2.44B2.41B2.74B2.22B
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.14B1.53B859.34M384.95M928.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow107.14M-307.45M-352.74M-588.34M-357.60M-481.66M
Operating Cash Flow175.28M-205.48M-205.79M-500.99M-325.35M-443.17M
Investing Cash Flow226.43M69.64M755.56M-165.80M-1.05B495.41M
Financing Cash Flow-180.57M-168.34M124.81M125.00M232.51M561.57M

Sarepta Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.55
Price Trends
50DMA
19.88
Negative
100DMA
19.35
Negative
200DMA
19.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.99
Positive
RSI
33.46
Neutral
STOCH
15.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRPT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.46, above the 50-day MA of 19.88, and above the 200-day MA of 19.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SRPT.

Sarepta Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Sarepta Therapeutics disclosed 65 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sarepta Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sarepta Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$2.66B-1,155.90-1.41%95.29%98.21%
61
Neutral
$2.14B-4.45123.57%75.92%-569.22%
54
Neutral
$1.66B25.424.89%-2.20%77.51%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$2.82B-6.23-58.28%10.17%
49
Neutral
$1.87B-23.50-14.02%1055.07%20.57%
45
Neutral
$5.30B-5.90-83.29%0.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRPT
Sarepta Therapeutics
15.75
-23.96
-60.34%
BCRX
BioCryst
8.41
-2.70
-24.30%
MESO
Mesoblast
13.95
2.10
17.72%
COGT
Cogent Biosciences
31.02
24.12
349.57%
ARQT
Arcutis Biotherapeutics
21.23
7.02
49.40%
DYN
Dyne Therapeutics
17.04
2.64
18.33%

Sarepta Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Sarepta Shareholders Approve 2026 Equity and ESPP Plans
Positive
Jun 4, 2026
On June 4, 2026, Sarepta Therapeutics stockholders approved a new 2026 Equity Incentive Plan, replacing the 2018 plan and authorizing up to 6,286,841 shares for equity awards, along with a 2026 Employee Stock Purchase Plan that replaces the prior ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2026