tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Gates Industrial Corp Plc (GTES)
NYSE:GTES
Advertisement

Gates Industrial (GTES) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
153 Followers

Top Page

GTES

Gates Industrial

(NYSE:GTES)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$24.50
▲(10.71% Upside)
Gates Industrial's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call outcomes. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the stock's high valuation relative to peers tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation supports operational flexibility and strategic investments, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Operational Efficiency
High operational efficiency indicates effective cost management and competitive positioning, supporting sustainable profitability.
Improved Leverage
Reduced leverage enhances financial flexibility and reduces risk, positioning the company for future growth and resilience.
Negative Factors
Subdued Industrial Demand
Weak demand in key markets like North America and Europe could hinder revenue growth and impact future earnings potential.
Restructuring Costs
Restructuring efforts may lead to short-term margin pressures, affecting profitability and requiring careful cost management.
Lowered Cash Flow Outlook
Reduced cash flow conversion due to restructuring outlays may limit available capital for growth initiatives and shareholder returns.

Gates Industrial (GTES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gates Industrial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGates Industrial Corporation plc (GTES) is a global leader in the manufacturing of power transmission and fluid power solutions. The company operates primarily in the industrial and automotive sectors, providing a diverse range of products including belts, hoses, and fittings that are essential for various applications in machinery, vehicles, and industrial processes. Gates serves a wide array of markets, including construction, agriculture, energy, and transportation, with a focus on innovation and high-performance solutions that enhance efficiency and reliability.
How the Company Makes MoneyGates Industrial generates revenue through the sale of its core products, which include industrial and automotive belts, hoses, and related accessories. The company's revenue model is primarily based on direct sales to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), distributors, and end-users across various industries. Key revenue streams include the sale of replacement parts and maintenance products, which are essential for ongoing operations in industrial settings. Additionally, Gates benefits from strategic partnerships with other companies in the automotive and industrial sectors, enhancing its distribution capabilities and market reach. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which can lead to increased sales and market competitiveness.

Gates Industrial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Gates Industrial Corporation's earnings call highlighted solid execution and margin improvements despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. While there were notable achievements in adjusted EBITDA margin and Personal Mobility growth, the company faced subdued demand in key markets and outlined significant restructuring plans that could impact short-term margins. The sentiment reflects cautious optimism with strategic initiatives expected to drive future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Gates achieved a record third-quarter adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.9%, an increase of 90 basis points year-over-year.
Net Leverage Improvement
The company's net leverage ratio declined to 2.0x, a reduction of 0.4x compared to last year's third quarter, with expectations to reduce it further by year-end.
Personal Mobility Growth
The Personal Mobility segment reported year-on-year growth exceeding 20%, contributing significantly to overall performance.
Updated 2025 Guidance
Gates raised its adjusted EPS midpoint to $1.50 per share and maintained its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA midpoint of $780 million.
New Share Repurchase Authorization
The Board approved a new $300 million share repurchase authorization, replacing the prior authorization.
Negative Updates
Subdued Macro Industrial Demand
Overall macro industrial demand conditions remain subdued, affecting growth, particularly in North American and European agriculture.
Commercial On-Highway Decline
Commercial On-Highway sales declined mid-single digits due to decreasing production rates in North America.
Restructuring and Increased Costs
The company plans to close multiple factories and execute an ERP conversion, leading to expected unfavorable year-over-year impacts on adjusted EBITDA margin in the first half of 2026.
Challenges in Agriculture Market
The agriculture market experienced incremental declines in North America and Europe, with OEM production cuts affecting performance.
Lowered Free Cash Flow Conversion Outlook
The free cash flow conversion outlook was lowered to 80%-90% from 90%+ due to increased restructuring cash outlays.
Company Guidance
During Gates Industrial Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and guidance. Gates achieved a core revenue growth of 1.7% and a total revenue increase of 3%, benefiting from favorable foreign currency effects. The adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record for a third quarter at 22.9%, contributing to an 18% year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share to $0.39. The company reduced its net leverage ratio to 2.0x and expects it to be below 2x by year-end. Gates has adjusted its 2025 guidance by raising the adjusted EPS midpoint to $1.50 per share but slightly lowered its core sales growth outlook. The adjusted EBITDA midpoint remains at $780 million. Additionally, the company announced a new $300 million share repurchase authorization and outlined its ongoing restructuring and strategic system conversion plans aimed at optimizing its footprint. Gates anticipates these efforts to impact adjusted EBITDA margins in early 2026 but expects improvements in the latter half of the year, targeting a 23.5% run rate. The company remains optimistic about its end market demand stabilizing or improving in 2026, supported by growth in Personal Mobility and data center opportunities.

Gates Industrial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gates Industrial demonstrates strong financial performance with robust cash flows and profitability metrics. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low financial leverage and efficient operations. However, slight concerns about revenue growth persist.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Gates Industrial demonstrates a stable financial performance with a consistent gross profit margin of approximately 40.6% in TTM. The net profit margin has slightly improved to 6.0% over the TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, revenue has slightly declined by 0.5% from the previous year, reflecting potential challenges in sales growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong at 13.8% and 16.9% respectively, showcasing the company's operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Gates Industrial shows a solid equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, indicating low financial leverage. The return on equity (ROE) stands at 6.2% for TTM, reflecting a moderate return for shareholders. The equity ratio is robust at 45.3%, highlighting a strong capital structure. However, the company must remain cautious about its debt management despite a low debt level in the recent period.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive outlook with a free cash flow growth rate of 7.5% over the TTM, underscoring the company's ability to generate cash from its operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.06, indicating efficient cash conversion. Moreover, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.57 reflects robust cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2019Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.59B3.41B3.57B3.55B3.09B3.35B
Gross Profit1.05B1.36B1.36B1.25B1.14B1.33B
EBITDA518.00M677.60M656.90M614.40M583.90M734.50M
Net Income200.10M194.90M232.90M220.80M690.10M245.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.15B6.79B7.25B7.19B7.41B6.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments689.40M682.00M720.60M578.40M635.30M423.40M
Total Debt156.80M2.51B2.56B2.58B3.07B3.00B
Total Liabilities3.43B3.45B3.71B3.75B4.40B4.39B
Stockholders Equity3.37B3.02B3.22B3.11B2.65B1.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow153.90M296.50M409.60M178.80M265.80M130.80M
Operating Cash Flow208.30M379.60M481.00M265.80M348.90M313.50M
Investing Cash Flow-86.90M-104.40M-81.80M-90.70M-78.00M-243.60M
Financing Cash Flow-134.90M-286.70M-258.30M-253.10M-59.30M-198.90M

Gates Industrial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price22.13
Price Trends
50DMA
25.13
Negative
100DMA
24.57
Negative
200DMA
22.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.81
Positive
RSI
26.12
Positive
STOCH
9.69
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GTES, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 22.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.69, below the 50-day MA of 25.13, and below the 200-day MA of 22.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.81 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.12 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.69 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GTES.

Gates Industrial Risk Analysis

Gates Industrial disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gates Industrial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gates Industrial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$8.84B20.2320.97%1.17%3.19%69.89%
75
Outperform
$10.64B45.5412.76%12.60%24.02%
73
Outperform
$3.97B27.9513.29%0.33%14.87%15.63%
72
Outperform
$4.63B54.055.80%0.54%4.99%169.24%
68
Neutral
$7.46B249.661.58%7.81%
67
Neutral
$5.55B23.637.33%-0.75%9.22%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GTES
Gates Industrial
21.48
0.13
0.61%
NPO
Enpro
219.82
55.04
33.40%
FLS
Flowserve
69.53
10.89
18.57%
SPXC
SPX
213.49
49.22
29.96%
CSW
CSW Industrials
249.15
-152.93
-38.03%
MIR
Mirion Technologies
27.82
12.12
77.20%

Gates Industrial Corporate Events

Gates Industrial’s Q3 2025 Earnings Show Growth and Optimism
Oct 30, 2025

Gates Industrial Corporation plc is a global manufacturer specializing in highly engineered power transmission and fluid power solutions, serving a wide range of industrial and consumer markets with products sold in over 130 countries.

Gates Industrial Corp’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Oct 30, 2025

Gates Industrial Corp’s recent earnings call conveyed a sentiment of cautious optimism amidst a challenging macroeconomic landscape. The company demonstrated solid execution with notable improvements in adjusted EBITDA margin and growth in the Personal Mobility segment. However, subdued demand in key markets and significant restructuring plans were also highlighted, which could impact short-term margins. Overall, the sentiment reflects a strategic focus on future growth despite current challenges.

Gates Industrial Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Raises Outlook
Jul 31, 2025

Gates Industrial Corporation plc is a global manufacturer specializing in power transmission and fluid power solutions, serving a diverse range of industries from agriculture to consumer applications across more than 130 countries.

Gates Industrial Corp’s Balanced Earnings Call Insights
Jul 31, 2025

Gates Industrial Corp’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment, reflecting both positive strides and existing challenges. The company highlighted strong growth in personal mobility and an optimistic outlook for the data center market. However, it also acknowledged hurdles in the industrial OEM and Fluid Power segments. Despite these challenges, Gates has improved its financial standing with increased guidance and enhanced cash flow, though some sales declines remain a concern.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025