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Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD)
NYSE:GSBD
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Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) AI Stock Analysis

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GSBD

Goldman Sachs BDC

(NYSE:GSBD)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
â–²(9.70% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is driven primarily by middling financial performance quality (profitability but volatile trends, leverage/history and data-consistency flags, and uneven cash-flow coverage). Earnings call commentary is moderately positive due to improved NII/dividend coverage and leverage reduction with buyback capacity, while valuation is supportive thanks to a reasonable P/E and very high dividend yield. Technicals are only mildly constructive, with price above key averages but weak MACD momentum.
Positive Factors
High share of senior secured loans
A portfolio overwhelmingly in senior secured loans with conservative entry LTVs materially reduces loss severity and supports recoveries over cycles. This structural collateral protection helps preserve NAV and downside resilience across a 2–6 month horizon and beyond compared with unsecured credit.
Negative Factors
Persisting legacy stressed assets
Remaining legacy stressed credits and idiosyncratic workouts can keep NAV volatile and restrict reinvestment capacity. Recoveries are uncertain and may take multiple quarters; this legacy stress can sap realized returns and require active workout resources, limiting durable earnings upside.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High share of senior secured loans
A portfolio overwhelmingly in senior secured loans with conservative entry LTVs materially reduces loss severity and supports recoveries over cycles. This structural collateral protection helps preserve NAV and downside resilience across a 2–6 month horizon and beyond compared with unsecured credit.
Read all positive factors

Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Goldman Sachs BDC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) is a business development company (BDC) that provides primarily debt capital to middle-market companies, generally in the form of directly originated loans. The company invests mainly in U.S. and U.S.-connected busin...
How the Company Makes Money
GSBD makes money primarily from investment income generated by its portfolio of loans and other investments in private companies. The largest revenue stream is interest income on debt investments (e.g., first-lien and second-lien loans, unitranche...

Goldman Sachs BDC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely constructive operational and financial picture: materially higher quarterly net investment income (driven by restored accruals and repayment activity), dividend coverage and a clear path to lower leverage that enables buybacks and redeployment. The firm emphasized platform scale, improved originations economics (511 bps weighted average spread) and demonstrated workout capabilities with positive recoveries. Offsetting these positives are slower deal flow, legacy stressed assets that continue to pressure marks (though nonaccruals decreased), a modest QoQ NAV decline (~1%), a lower weighted average yield (9.5%), and some one-time income items (~$5M) that boost current-quarter results but may not recur. On balance, the improvements in earnings, liquidity/leverage management and portfolio actions outweigh the remaining headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Net Investment Income and Yield
GAAP net investment income of $42.2M (adjusted after-tax NII $41.5M) vs $24.8M in the prior quarter (approx. +70%), or $0.38 per share; annualized net investment income yield on book value ~12.6%. NII covered the dividend and the company reports ~$100.3M of undistributed taxable income ($0.89 per share).
Negative Updates
NAV Decline
Net asset value per share was $12.06, down just under 1% from $12.17 in the prior quarter.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Net Investment Income and Yield
GAAP net investment income of $42.2M (adjusted after-tax NII $41.5M) vs $24.8M in the prior quarter (approx. +70%), or $0.38 per share; annualized net investment income yield on book value ~12.6%. NII covered the dividend and the company reports ~$100.3M of undistributed taxable income ($0.89 per share).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided that it will prioritize reducing leverage and selectively redeploying capital while maintaining the near‑term $0.32 quarterly base dividend (plus the $0.03 Q2 supplemental) and evaluating dividends each quarter; key metrics cited include Q2 GAAP net investment income of $42.2M ($0.38 per share, annualized NII yield on book value ~12.6%), NAV of $12.06 (down just under 1% from $12.17), trailing 12‑month dividends of $1.54, and an annualized yield on the base dividend of ~14.1% (based on a $9.09 close). Portfolio and balance‑sheet targets: $3.2B of investments (98.6% senior secured), Q2 new commitments of ~$12.9M (9 companies) and $114M funded of prior commitments, $146M total proceeds, weighted‑average spread on Q2 originations 511 bps, weighted‑average LTV on new deals 37.4%, weighted‑average yield on debt at amortized cost 9.5%, net leverage/coverage metrics of ~6.2x and 2.0x, nonaccruals ~2.9% (10 companies), undistributed taxable income ~$100.3M ($0.89/sh), ~$1.9B total debt outstanding with ~$796M undrawn revolver capacity (~64% of debt unsecured), and a Board‑authorized 10b5‑1 repurchase program of up to 75M shares—management said pro‑forma leverage is now below the 1.25x target (closer to ~1.2x), they expect muted incentive fees in the near term due to the 3‑year lookback, and will mix buybacks with new deployments as attractive spread opportunities emerge.

Goldman Sachs BDC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability remains solid with historically strong net margins, but results are volatile (swinging revenue growth and TTM margin compression). Balance-sheet risk has been meaningful due to sector-typical leverage, and the abrupt TTM shift to zero debt creates comparability/data-consistency uncertainty. Cash flow is currently positive and improved versus 2021, but remains choppy and coverage indicators show inconsistencies, limiting confidence.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue322.60M242.45M192.43M454.91M136.10M229.08M
Gross Profit253.62M182.78M78.71M454.91M56.64M170.09M
EBITDA195.94M234.93M68.35M363.38M59.70M194.07M
Net Income58.48M119.27M62.87M195.87M55.00M192.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.29B3.38B3.60B3.52B3.59B3.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.66M43.21M61.80M52.36M39.60M33.76M
Total Debt1.85B1.88B1.93B1.83B2.01B1.86B
Total Liabilities1.93B1.96B2.03B1.92B2.09B1.94B
Stockholders Equity1.36B1.42B1.57B1.60B1.50B1.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.67M325.68M201.06M300.69M169.20M-29.86M
Operating Cash Flow61.67M325.68M201.06M300.69M169.20M-29.86M
Investing Cash Flow30.18M0.00-198.60M0.00-141.76M0.00
Financing Cash Flow-186.64M-344.45M7.15M-287.99M-21.75M31.69M

Goldman Sachs BDC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.66
Price Trends
50DMA
9.11
Positive
100DMA
9.03
Positive
200DMA
8.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.27
Negative
RSI
66.48
Neutral
STOCH
88.46
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GSBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.30, below the 50-day MA of 9.11, and below the 200-day MA of 8.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GSBD.

Goldman Sachs BDC Risk Analysis

Goldman Sachs BDC disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Goldman Sachs BDC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Goldman Sachs BDC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.57B12.9211.04%9.27%25.04%13.84%
71
Outperform
$1.72B9.5213.88%11.82%8.54%-23.45%
70
Outperform
$779.56M22.233.25%15.44%11.89%-58.67%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$783.61M9.987.10%15.29%-11.58%-40.72%
63
Neutral
$1.11B19.454.17%17.78%117.29%-58.47%
62
Neutral
$716.89M-15.73-4.28%17.69%-50.21%-161.42%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GSBD
Goldman Sachs BDC
9.92
0.17
1.74%
CSWC
Capital Southwest
24.68
4.55
22.58%
NMFC
New Mountain Finance
7.55
-1.47
-16.29%
CGBD
Carlyle Secured Lending Inc
11.33
-0.93
-7.57%
BCSF
Bain Capital Specialty Finance
12.10
-1.34
-9.97%
TRIN
Trinity Capital
18.27
4.67
34.31%

Goldman Sachs BDC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs BDC Reports Strong Q2 Income, Declares Dividends
Positive
Aug 7, 2026
For the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, Goldman Sachs BDC reported net investment income of $0.38 per share, or $0.37 on an adjusted basis, reflecting an annualized net investment income yield on book value of 12.3%, while earnings per share w...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs BDC Schedules Q2 2026 Earnings Release
Neutral
Jul 7, 2026
On July 7, 2026, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. announced plans to release financial results for its second quarter ended June 30, 2026 after markets close on Thursday, August 6, 2026. The New York-based business development company, which invests in U.S...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Goldman Sachs BDC Stockholders Approve Directors and Auditor
Neutral
May 28, 2026
On May 27, 2026, Goldman Sachs BDC stockholders held their annual meeting to vote on key governance and oversight matters. The meeting covered director elections and the appointment of the company’s independent auditor for the upcoming fisca...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Goldman Sachs BDC Reports Challenging First-Quarter 2026 Results
Negative
May 8, 2026
Goldman Sachs BDC reported first-quarter 2026 results on May 7, 2026, posting net investment income of $0.22 per share and an annualized net investment income yield on book value of 7.2%, but a loss of $0.12 per share due to $38.4 million in net r...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026