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Leonardo SpA (FINMY)
OTHER OTC:FINMY
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Leonardo SpA (FINMY) AI Stock Analysis

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FINMY

Leonardo SpA

(OTC:FINMY)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(17.38% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:06/06/26
The score is supported primarily by improving financial performance (revenue growth, better operating profitability, and declining leverage), but is held back by weak technicals (below major moving averages with negative MACD) and a not-cheap valuation (P/E ~24 with a modest ~1% dividend).
Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Multi-year top-line expansion indicates growing demand across aerospace, defense and services. Consistent revenue growth improves contract visibility, supports scale economies in manufacturing and R&D, and underpins more predictable multi-year cash flows despite procurement cyclicality.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Compression
Material gross margin decline signals margin pressure from mix shifts, cost inflation, or execution issues on programs. Persistent margin volatility can erode operating leverage, reduce funding for R&D, and weaken long-term profitability even if revenues continue to grow.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Revenue Growth
Multi-year top-line expansion indicates growing demand across aerospace, defense and services. Consistent revenue growth improves contract visibility, supports scale economies in manufacturing and R&D, and underpins more predictable multi-year cash flows despite procurement cyclicality.
Read all positive factors

Leonardo SpA (FINMY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Leonardo SpA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Leonardo S.p.A. functions as a leading industrial and technology conglomerate, with its core activities encompassing the production of rotary-wing aircraft, defense electronics and security systems, aeronautics, and advanced space technologies. Th...
How the Company Makes Money
Leonardo primarily makes money by selling high-value aerospace and defense products, integrated systems, and long-term services to governments, armed forces, security agencies, and commercial operators. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) P...

Leonardo SpA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strong operational and financial improvement story: double‑digit revenue and orders growth, meaningful EBITA expansion, record free operating cash flow above EUR 1 billion, and a large reduction in net debt. Strategic progress includes portfolio rationalization, digital/AI investments, scaled Cybersecurity and Space businesses, workforce transformation, and active M&A (Iveco, Aerostructures). Material challenges remain in Aerostructures (losses and turnaround work), translation/JV tax impacts (MBDA and DRS FX), TAS recovering, and execution/timing risk around the Iveco/Rheinmetall antitrust process and Aerostructures JV finalization. On balance, the highlights substantially outweigh the lowlights due to strong profitability, cash generation and balance sheet repair combined with clear strategic momentum.
Positive Updates
Orders Growth and Strong Backlog
Orders of EUR 23.8 billion in 2025, up ~14% year‑over‑year (from EUR 20.8 billion); book‑to‑bill ~1.2 and total backlog at EUR 47 billion. Management noted 3‑year orders growth of ~38% (from ~EUR 17 billion to ~EUR 24 billion).
Negative Updates
Aerostructures Unit Losses and Uncertainty
Aerostructures reported an EBITA loss of ~EUR 130 million in 2025; free operating cash flow estimated negative ~EUR 0.2 billion stand‑alone. Q4 showed breakeven after release of contingencies (~EUR 15–20 million), but management expects Aerostructures to remain loss‑making into 2026 and investment/turnaround is required. JV negotiation and political/incentive steps remain outstanding (exclusivity to June).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Orders Growth and Strong Backlog
Orders of EUR 23.8 billion in 2025, up ~14% year‑over‑year (from EUR 20.8 billion); book‑to‑bill ~1.2 and total backlog at EUR 47 billion. Management noted 3‑year orders growth of ~38% (from ~EUR 17 billion to ~EUR 24 billion).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The call provided updated 2025 results that exceeded prior guidance and flagged that formal 2026 guidance will be presented on March 12: orders closed at EUR 23.8bn (vs guidance EUR 22–22.7bn; +14% YoY) with a backlog of EUR 47bn and a book‑to‑bill of 1.2; revenues were EUR 19.5bn (vs guidance EUR 18.6bn; +11% YoY); EBITA was EUR 1.75bn (vs guidance EUR 1.66bn; +18% YoY) with return on sales up to ~9.0% (from 8.4%, +60bps); free operating cash flow surpassed the EUR 1bn threshold (guidance EUR 0.92–0.98bn) with operating cash flow of EUR 2.3bn and capex around EUR 1bn; net debt fell to EUR 1.0bn (‑44% YoY, ‑67% from start of the mandate), group net position before JV/payables was roughly +EUR 1bn, and proceeds from the UAS sale were ~EUR 0.4bn. Division highlights included Cyber and Space at ~EUR 1bn orders each, Defense Electronics EBITA >EUR 1bn (ROS ~13%), Helicopter revenues +11% with 182 deliveries, Aerostructures FY loss ~EUR 130m but Q4 at breakeven aided by ~EUR 15–20m contingency release, cybersecurity +63% and space +90% YoY; longer‑term metrics: three‑year growth in orders ~+38% (to ~EUR 24bn), revenues +33% (to EUR 19.5bn), EBITA +44% (to EUR 1.75bn), FOCF +88% (to ~EUR 1bn), dividend up to EUR 0.52/sh (CAGR +275%) with a likely further increase (~+20% signaled), workforce 73k (+22%; net hires 17k; ~70% STEM, >30% women, 55% <30), R&D ~15% of revenues and innovation +20% YoY, and market cap cited near USD 34bn.

Leonardo SpA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are improving overall: strong revenue growth and better operating profitability versus earlier years, with a de-levering balance sheet (debt-to-equity below 0.5). Offsetting this, 2025 gross margin compressed meaningfully and cash conversion is only moderate (free cash flow well below net income), which caps the score.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.50B17.76B15.29B14.71B14.13B
Gross Profit2.26B2.02B1.65B1.22B1.05B
EBITDA1.82B2.25B1.54B1.65B1.38B
Net Income1.22B1.07B658.00M927.00M586.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.51B33.67B30.69B28.58B28.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.24B2.56B2.41B1.51B2.48B
Total Debt4.49B4.70B4.93B4.61B5.67B
Total Liabilities23.77B23.47B22.13B20.88B21.54B
Stockholders Equity9.56B8.99B7.80B7.18B6.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow734.00M646.00M404.00M523.00M190.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.91B1.54B1.19B1.28B805.00M
Investing Cash Flow-581.12M-753.00M-262.00M-924.00M-604.00M
Financing Cash Flow-586.89M-678.00M-12.00M-1.40B30.00M

Leonardo SpA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.41
Price Trends
50DMA
31.08
Negative
100DMA
32.57
Negative
200DMA
31.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
44.35
Neutral
STOCH
28.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FINMY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.41 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.33, below the 50-day MA of 31.08, and below the 200-day MA of 31.23, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FINMY.

Leonardo SpA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$94.65B21.7917.41%1.73%9.35%10.49%
69
Neutral
$54.92B31.818.87%1.61%5.79%9.31%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$74.07B16.1928.05%1.55%4.95%26.05%
60
Neutral
$34.15B24.4213.19%1.04%14.93%19.49%
59
Neutral
$117.81B24.5174.53%2.77%4.59%-10.76%
53
Neutral
$175.57B80.35-8723.08%32.74%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FINMY
Leonardo SpA
29.75
2.83
10.52%
BA
Boeing
222.72
23.97
12.06%
GD
General Dynamics
350.01
76.26
27.86%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
294.82
49.13
20.00%
LMT
Lockheed Martin
510.95
52.75
11.51%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
521.50
31.48
6.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 06, 2026