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Empire Petroleum (EP)
:EP
US Market
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Empire Petroleum (EP) AI Stock Analysis

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EP

Empire Petroleum

(EP)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
â–¼(-9.09% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/13/26
The score is held back primarily by stressed financials—large ongoing losses, higher leverage/negative equity history, and negative TTM operating and free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and a positive MACD, but overbought readings temper the outlook. Valuation is also constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
TTM Revenue Expansion
The sharp TTM revenue rebound indicates that EP has expanded its producing business materially despite current losses. If production volumes and asset contributions remain durable, this larger revenue base could improve operating leverage and support future earnings recovery.
Negative Factors
Deep Current Losses
The severe TTM loss shows that revenue growth is not currently translating into sustainable profitability. Cost structure, non-cash charges, or other expenses are overwhelming the top line, leaving EP with limited earnings capacity and a difficult path to internally fund expansion.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
TTM Revenue Expansion
The sharp TTM revenue rebound indicates that EP has expanded its producing business materially despite current losses. If production volumes and asset contributions remain durable, this larger revenue base could improve operating leverage and support future earnings recovery.
Read all positive factors

Empire Petroleum (EP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Empire Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Empire Petroleum Corporation, an entity established in 1983, primarily focuses on discovering and extracting petroleum and natural gas reserves across several U.S. states, including Louisiana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, and Texas. Headquar...
How the Company Makes Money
EP primarily makes money by producing and selling hydrocarbons—crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids—from its oil and gas properties. Revenue is generally generated when produced volumes are sold to purchasers (e.g., marketers, refiners,...

Empire Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite strong TTM revenue growth, profitability is deeply negative (very large net loss and negative operating profit). Balance-sheet risk has increased materially with high leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~2.19) and negative equity in 2025, while TTM operating and free cash flow are negative—signaling weak self-funding capacity and elevated financial risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.26M34.20M44.04M40.14M53.27M27.68M
Gross Profit7.97M-6.61M3.47M5.38M23.80M9.79M
EBITDA-59.09M-57.32M-4.89M-8.50M10.02M-7.37M
Net Income-71.30M-72.07M-16.20M-12.47M7.08M-18.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.08M65.87M123.87M92.62M71.55M50.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.12M1.19M2.25M7.79M11.94M3.61M
Total Debt16.04M15.35M11.88M6.68M8.00M9.44M
Total Liabilities73.76M70.48M61.10M57.66M48.31M40.26M
Stockholders Equity7.32M-4.61M62.77M34.96M23.24M9.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.82M-4.00M-47.71M-26.88M4.88M-16.60M
Operating Cash Flow-6.14M-3.95M6.16M-9.89M18.06M3.17M
Investing Cash Flow-5.38M-4.61M-53.87M-14.77M-11.41M-24.72M
Financing Cash Flow12.36M7.50M42.17M20.50M1.69M25.00M

Empire Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.30
Price Trends
50DMA
2.83
Positive
100DMA
2.75
Positive
200DMA
2.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
54.59
Neutral
STOCH
29.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.92, above the 50-day MA of 2.83, and above the 200-day MA of 2.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EP.

Empire Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$79.77M8.51491.22%11.64%63.47%70.01%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$192.60M-32.47-2.92%3.93%53.71%-204.13%
63
Neutral
$159.74M-52.96-3.80%12.21%0.59%-345.77%
61
Neutral
$157.54M-201.19-37.43%7.87%-97.54%-380.00%
50
Neutral
$127.72M-1.49-474.82%4.17%-9.01%-293.99%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EP
Empire Petroleum
3.07
-0.50
-13.96%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
3.93
-0.08
-2.07%
SJT
San Juan Basin Royalty
3.38
-2.14
-38.77%
NRT
North European Oil Royalty
8.68
3.76
76.39%
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
6.36
1.68
36.01%
GLND
Greenland Energy Company
3.00
-7.12
-70.36%

Empire Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Empire Petroleum Raises Capital via Convertible Promissory Note
Positive
Sep 16, 2026
On September 10, 2026, Empire Petroleum Corporation issued a $3.25 million promissory note to Petroleum Independent Exploration, LLC, with proceeds earmarked for general working capital. The note carries a 6% annual interest rate until its March ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 13, 2026