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Domino's Pizza
(NASDAQ:DPZ)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$333.00
▼(-10.50% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/23/26
The score is primarily driven by strong profitability and cash generation, but is held back by a highly leveraged balance sheet with deeply negative equity. Technicals are also weak (below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation and dividend are reasonable, while the latest earnings call reflects cautious, lowered near-term expectations despite continued unit growth, supply-chain improvement, and significant capital returns.
Positive Factors
Strong Profitability
Sustained high margins across gross, operating and net lines indicate durable unit economics versus typical restaurateurs. This margin profile supports reinvestment in technology, consistent cash generation and resilience to commodity swings, underpinning long-term competitive strength.
Negative Factors
Highly Levered Balance Sheet
Very high leverage and negative equity materially reduce financial flexibility and increase refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. In adverse demand or margin shocks this capital structure constrains ability to invest, absorb losses or pursue opportunistic M&A over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Profitability
Sustained high margins across gross, operating and net lines indicate durable unit economics versus typical restaurateurs. This margin profile supports reinvestment in technology, consistent cash generation and resilience to commodity swings, underpinning long-term competitive strength.
Read all positive factors
Domino's Pizza Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue from various business segments, such as delivery, carryout, and international operations, providing insight into which areas are driving growth and profitability.
Breaks down revenue from various business segments, such as delivery, carryout, and international operations, providing insight into which areas are driving growth and profitability.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyDomino's Pizza (DPZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$10.18B
Dividend Yield1.63%
Average Volume (3M)795.37K
Price to Earnings (P/E)17.9
Beta (1Y)0.64
Revenue Growth5.17%
EPS Growth-0.62%
CountryUS
Employees10,200
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)17.47
Shares Outstanding33,261,870
10 Day Avg. Volume929,523
30 Day Avg. Volume795,372
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio4.60
Price to Book (P/B)-3.67
Price to Sales (P/S)2.90
P/FCF Ratio21.33
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.51
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.09
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.70
Enterprise Value/Ebitda15.32
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$392.89Price Target Upside5.60% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering19
EPS Forecast (FY)19.16
Revenue Forecast (FY)$5.21B
Domino's Pizza Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a leading international and domestic purveyor of pizza, managing its extensive operations through three distinct segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company is primarily recognized...
How the Company Makes Money
Domino's makes money primarily through its franchised business model and related supply chain operations, supplemented by sales from company-owned stores. Key revenue streams include: (1) Supply chain revenue: Domino's sells food, ingredients, and...
Domino's Pizza Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 27, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but constructive picture: Q1 results missed management expectations (same-store sales +0.9%) and competitive/macro pressures intensified in March, prompting a modestly lowered near-term outlook. However, there are multiple substantive positives — global retail growth, net store additions, supply chain margin improvement, strong cash generation and capital returns (including significant repurchases), a full app/UX launch and operational technology rollouts — and management emphasized long-term confidence, strategic adjustments and continued market-share gains. Short-term challenges are acknowledged and management outlined concrete mitigations and continued investment in value, product innovation and marketing.Positive Updates
Global Retail Sales Growth
Global retail sales grew 3.4% in Q1 excluding foreign currency, driven by positive U.S. comps and more than 900 net new stores globally over the past 12 months.
Negative Updates
Q1 Same-Store Sales Miss
Same-store sales of +0.9% for Q1 fell short of management expectations and below the company's prior aspiration for the year (3% U.S. target reiterated as company objective but guidance revised).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Global Retail Sales Growth
Global retail sales grew 3.4% in Q1 excluding foreign currency, driven by positive U.S. comps and more than 900 net new stores globally over the past 12 months.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Domino's updated 2026 guidance calls for U.S. same‑store sales to be up low single digits (positive low single digits, roughly 0–3%) and international comps to be up low single digits, which they expect to drive global retail sales growth of mid‑single digits (excludes the 53rd week); operating income growth is now forecast to be mid‑ to high‑single digits (ex‑FX, refranchising gains and the aircraft sale). Management reiterated a 3% U.S. SSS objective for the year despite a Q1 U.S. SSS of 0.9% (Q1 U.S. retail sales +2.8%; global retail sales +3.4% ex‑FX), noted carryout comps +2.4% vs. delivery −0.3%, ticket benefited ~+0.9% from pricing, and said they still expect 175+ net U.S. stores and ~800 net international stores (Q1 added 19 U.S. stores, U.S. system now >7,200; >900 net stores added globally over the last 12 months). Other disclosed metrics: Q1 income from operations +4.2% ex‑FX/aircraft gain; ~446,000 shares repurchased for ~$170M YTD through April 21 with ~$1.29B remaining on the buyback authorization; and leverage around 4.3% within their 4–6x target range.Domino's Pizza Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.98B | 4.94B | 4.71B | 4.48B | 4.54B | 4.36B |
| Gross Profit | 1.99B | 1.97B | 1.85B | 1.73B | 1.65B | 1.69B |
| EBITDA | 1.00B | 1.06B | 1.01B | 929.55M | 851.34M | 890.43M |
| Net Income | 591.86M | 601.70M | 584.17M | 519.12M | 452.26M | 510.47M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.84B | 1.80B | 1.74B | 1.67B | 1.60B | 1.67B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 232.92M | 433.99M | 186.13M | 114.10M | 60.36M | 148.16M |
| Total Debt | 5.14B | 5.23B | 5.20B | 5.21B | 5.25B | 5.29B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.75B | 5.70B | 5.70B | 5.75B | 5.79B | 5.88B |
| Stockholders Equity | -3.91B | -3.90B | -3.96B | -4.07B | -4.19B | -4.21B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 654.09M | 671.50M | 512.01M | 485.47M | 388.08M | 560.03M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 774.94M | 792.06M | 624.90M | 590.86M | 475.32M | 654.21M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -62.29M | -70.19M | -31.23M | -106.92M | -53.68M | -142.72M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -788.60M | -752.09M | -532.22M | -476.36M | -515.95M | -522.83M |
Domino's Pizza Technical Analysis
Neutral
372.06
Price Trends
312.96
Positive
345.54
Negative
377.33
Negative
Market Momentum
-2.98
Negative
53.82
Neutral
84.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DPZ, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 372.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 305.53, above the 50-day MA of 312.96, and below the 200-day MA of 377.33, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DPZ.
Domino's Pizza Risk Analysis
Domino's Pizza disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Domino's Pizza reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Domino's Pizza Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $45.75B | 26.80 | -23.33% | 1.84% | 9.65% | 23.32% | |
68 Neutral | $1.73B | 7.42 | 32.65% | 3.27% | 7.89% | 74.64% | |
64 Neutral | $10.18B | 17.92 | -15.04% | 1.63% | 5.17% | -0.62% | |
64 Neutral | $33.43B | 21.49 | 27.14% | 3.60% | 9.26% | -3.76% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
58 Neutral | $1.50B | 9.97 | 130.59% | 8.15% | -1.84% | -17.48% | |
50 Neutral | $1.14B | 41.50 | -6.47% | 4.72% | -2.41% | -64.77% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
313.14
-137.60
-30.53%
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings
8.24
0.77
10.29%
PZZA
Papa John's International
34.86
-11.20
-24.32%
WEN
Wendy's
7.78
-2.78
-26.33%
YUM
Yum! Brands
167.49
19.80
13.41%
QSR
Restaurant Brands International
73.94
8.18
12.43%
Domino's Pizza Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Domino’s Pizza announces CEO succession and leadership transition
Positive
Jun 22, 2026
On June 22, 2026, Domino’s Pizza announced a planned leadership transition in which Chief Operating Officer and President – Domino’s U.S. Joe Jordan will become chief executive officer and join the board on October 1, 2026. Curre...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Domino’s Names New Principal Accounting Officer, Ensuring Continuity
Positive
Apr 27, 2026
On April 21, 2026, Domino’s Pizza, Inc. appointed long-time company finance executive Brian J. Pangburn as Vice President—Controller, naming him the company’s principal accounting officer after nearly two decades of progressive a...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Domino’s Shareholders Back Board, Governance Structure at Meeting
Neutral
Apr 24, 2026
Domino’s Pizza held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on April 21, 2026, with 88.14% of eligible shares represented, and shareholders elected eight directors to one-year terms while ratifying PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independe...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.