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CytomX Therapeutics Inc (CTMX)
NASDAQ:CTMX
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CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) AI Stock Analysis

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CTMX

CytomX Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:CTMX)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-9.09% Downside)
CytomX Therapeutics' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment, indicating potential for future growth. However, financial performance concerns, particularly negative equity and cash flow issues, pose significant risks. The stock's undervaluation adds some appeal, but overbought technical conditions suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The 36.4% increase in revenue demonstrates strong market demand and successful execution of strategic initiatives, supporting long-term growth potential.
Clinical Progress
Promising clinical data for CX-2051 indicates potential for successful product development, enhancing the company's competitive position in oncology.
Financial Position
A strong cash position with a runway into Q2 2027 provides financial stability, enabling continued investment in R&D and strategic initiatives.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates liabilities exceed assets, posing a risk to financial stability and potentially limiting future financing options.
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining cash generation capabilities highlight liquidity issues, which could impact the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue due to completed obligations and decreased activity with partners may affect short-term financial performance and investor confidence.

CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CytomX Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCytomX Therapeutics, Inc. operates as an oncology-focused biopharmaceutical company in the United States. The company develops antibody therapeutics based on its Probody technology platform for the treatment of cancer. The company's product candidates include CX-2009, an antibody drug conjugates (ADC) against CD166, which is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of breast cancer; CX-2029 that is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of squamous non-small cell lung cancer, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, esophageal and gastro-esophageal junction cancers, and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; BMS-986249, a CTLA-4 Probody therapeutic drug, which is in Phase I/II clinical trials for the treatment of metastatic melanoma; and BMS-986288, an anti-CTLA-4 Probody drug, which is in Phase I clinical trials for the treatment of solid tumors. It also develops CX-2043, a conditionally activated ADC targeting the epithelial cell adhesion molecule, as well as CX-904, a conditionally activated epidermal growth factor receptor for the treatment of solid tumor. The company has strategic collaborations with AbbVie Ireland Unlimited Company, Amgen, Inc., Bristol-Myers Squibb Company, ImmunoGen, Inc., Pfizer Inc., and Astellas Pharma Inc. to develop Probody therapeutics. CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCytomX Therapeutics generates revenue through a combination of collaborations, licensing agreements, and potential product sales. The company has established partnerships with major pharmaceutical firms, which often involve upfront payments, milestone payments based on the achievement of specific development goals, and royalties on future product sales. These collaborations allow CytomX to fund its research and development while sharing the financial risks associated with bringing new therapies to market. Additionally, if its Probody therapeutics successfully progress through clinical trials and receive regulatory approval, CytomX stands to earn significant revenue from the commercialization of these products.

CytomX Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant clinical progress, particularly with CX-2051, and strong financial positioning, although there were challenges with decreased revenue and common adverse events in clinical trials.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Promising Clinical Data for CX-2051
CX-2051 demonstrated a 28% confirmed overall response rate, 94% disease control, and 5.8 months of preliminary progression-free survival in the first 18 efficacy evaluable patients with CRC.
Strong Financial Position
CytomX completed a $100 million follow-on offering, bringing the total cash, cash equivalents, and investments to $158.1 million, with a projected cash runway to Q2 2027.
Progress in Clinical Programs
Enrollment for CX-2051 dose expansions is on track, and the first patient was dosed in the CX-801 and KEYTRUDA combination study in metastatic melanoma.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Revenue
Total revenue for the second quarter was $18.7 million, a decrease from $25.1 million in the second quarter of 2024, due to completion of performance obligations with BMS and Amgen and decreased activity with Moderna.
Common Adverse Events
Interim Phase I data for CX-2051 showed common adverse events such as diarrhea, nausea, vomiting, and anemia, with a focus on managing diarrhea in the expansion phase.
Company Guidance
During the CytomX Therapeutics Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results call, the company provided detailed guidance on its ongoing and future projects. The focus was on the clinical progress of CX-2051, a PROBODY antibody drug conjugate targeting EpCAM in colorectal cancer, which showed promising Phase I results with a 28% confirmed overall response rate, 94% disease control, and a preliminary progression-free survival of 5.8 months in a fifth-line CRC patient population. For CX-801, a masked interferon alpha-2b program, the company initiated a combination study with KEYTRUDA in metastatic melanoma, with initial data expected in 2026. Financially, CytomX completed a $100 million follow-on offering, ending the quarter with $158.1 million in cash and equivalents, providing a cash runway into Q2 2027. Revenue was $18.7 million, a decrease from the previous year, and operating expenses were reduced to $19.9 million. The company is focusing on advancing these potential treatments while maintaining disciplined capital allocation.

CytomX Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CytomX Therapeutics has shown positive revenue growth and improved profitability margins, indicating operational recovery. However, negative equity, potential solvency risks, and cash flow difficulties present significant financial instability.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
CytomX Therapeutics showed a positive revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024, with total revenue increasing from $101.21 million to $138.10 million, representing a growth rate of approximately 36.4%. The gross profit margin remained strong at 100% due to no cost of goods sold. However, the net profit margin improved significantly in 2024, reaching approximately 23.1%, compared to a negative margin in 2023. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also turned positive, indicating improved operational efficiency. Despite these improvements, historical volatility and past losses present a risk.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a concerning negative equity position in 2024, with stockholders' equity at -$456,000, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but total debt decreased over the year. The equity ratio is negative, which poses a significant risk to financial stability. This indicates potential solvency issues despite reducing total debt.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a deterioration in free cash flow from -$56.88 million in 2023 to -$86.54 million in 2024, indicating a decline in cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting challenges in converting income into cash. Free cash flow to net income is also negative, highlighting cash flow difficulties despite positive net income in 2024. The high variability in cash flows suggests potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue138.10M101.21M53.16M69.57M100.36M
Gross Profit138.10M101.21M47.31M63.73M100.36M
EBITDA26.76M-4.31M-98.89M-113.34M-77.97M
Net Income31.87M-569.00K-97.30M-80.65M-32.88M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets120.53M201.79M260.89M339.41M358.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments100.62M174.51M193.65M305.23M316.12M
Total Debt9.38M13.97M18.06M18.06M24.87M
Total Liabilities120.99M249.24M346.64M250.03M308.86M
Stockholders Equity-456.00K-47.45M-85.75M89.38M49.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-86.54M-56.88M-112.53M-120.64M2.95M
Operating Cash Flow-86.23M-56.03M-110.79M-119.03M5.26M
Investing Cash Flow99.70M-150.67M98.26M22.49M-18.72M
Financing Cash Flow7.52M30.23M648.00K110.21M16.89M

CytomX Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.30
Price Trends
50DMA
2.26
Positive
100DMA
2.32
Positive
200DMA
1.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Negative
RSI
77.12
Negative
STOCH
88.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.45, above the 50-day MA of 2.26, and above the 200-day MA of 1.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.12 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTMX.

CytomX Therapeutics Risk Analysis

CytomX Therapeutics disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CytomX Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CytomX Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$540.91M5.77108.21%18.01%306.76%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$47.97M-156.16%25.26%
46
Neutral
$204.90M-379.75%-85.71%66.38%
45
Neutral
$56.03M-195.55%-0.11%43.47%
44
Neutral
$72.06M-86.18%
36
Underperform
$60.08M-47.87%18.86%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTMX
CytomX Therapeutics
3.30
2.13
182.05%
PDSB
PDS Biotechnology
1.02
-2.71
-72.65%
CUE
Cue Biopharma
0.73
-0.65
-47.10%
ACRV
Acrivon Therapeutics, Inc.
1.91
-5.03
-72.48%
GUTS
Fractyl Health, Inc.
1.55
-0.74
-32.31%
ARTV
Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc.
2.95
-11.56
-79.67%

CytomX Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
CytomX Therapeutics Updates on CX-2051 Phase 1 Study
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, CytomX Therapeutics announced an update on its CX-2051 Phase 1 study, detailing dose expansions and a treatment-related incident. Despite a Grade 5 acute kidney injury in a patient, the study continues with support from the Safety Review Committee, and a data update is expected by Q1 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTMX) stock is a Buy with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CytomX Therapeutics stock, see the CTMX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025