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Cardiff Oncology, Inc. (CRDF)
NASDAQ:CRDF
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Cardiff Oncology (CRDF) AI Stock Analysis

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CRDF

Cardiff Oncology

(NASDAQ:CRDF)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-1.96% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (minimal revenue, large ongoing losses, and substantial cash burn implying continued funding needs) and bearish technical trends (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Corporate events are mixed—encouraging Phase 2 data and a completed financing help, but litigation over the onvansertib license creates significant uncertainty—while valuation is difficult to assess due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage
Minimal debt reduces solvency pressure and leaves the company with greater flexibility than a highly leveraged development-stage biotech. This can help management direct available capital toward clinical programs and limit interest-related constraints while it pursues regulatory progress.
Negative Factors
Pre-commercial revenue and severe losses
Cardiff has not established a meaningful commercial revenue base, while operating expenses produce losses that are very large relative to sales. This weak earnings profile means future value depends heavily on clinical and regulatory success rather than an established product franchise.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very low leverage
Minimal debt reduces solvency pressure and leaves the company with greater flexibility than a highly leveraged development-stage biotech. This can help management direct available capital toward clinical programs and limit interest-related constraints while it pursues regulatory progress.
Read all positive factors

Cardiff Oncology (CRDF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cardiff Oncology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cardiff Oncology, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops novel therapies for the treatment of various cancers in the United States. Its lead drug candidate is Onvansertib, an oral and selective polo-like kinase 1 inhibitor for trea...
How the Company Makes Money
Cardiff Oncology is a clinical-stage biotechnology company and, as such, its business model is primarily oriented around research and development rather than recurring product sales. Publicly available information indicates the company has histori...

Cardiff Oncology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong initial clinical data, successful capital raising efforts, and a solid financial position. However, some dependency on future FDA meetings and the early stage of PFS data might pose challenges. Overall, the sentiment is optimistic with clear progress, yet some uncertainties remain.
Positive Updates
Encouraging Initial Data from CRDF-004 Trial
The trial showed a 64% ORR for patients on the 30 mg dose of onvansertib, compared to a 33% ORR in the control arm, indicating a strong efficacy signal.
Negative Updates
Pending FDA Discussions
While progress has been made, key decisions regarding dose selection and trial design depend on future FDA meetings, which could impact timelines.
Read all updates
Q4-2024 Updates
Negative
Encouraging Initial Data from CRDF-004 Trial
The trial showed a 64% ORR for patients on the 30 mg dose of onvansertib, compared to a 33% ORR in the control arm, indicating a strong efficacy signal.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Cardiff Oncology Fourth Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Business Update Conference Call, guidance was provided on several key metrics and future plans for the company. The company highlighted an initial data set from the CRDF-004 trial, which showed a 64% overall response rate (ORR) for patients on the 30 mg dose of onvansertib, compared to 33% in the control arm. The trial focuses on first-line RAS-mutated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), and aims to complete enrollment of 90 evaluable patients in early 2025. The company plans to release additional clinical data in the first half of 2025. Financially, Cardiff Oncology reported $91.7 million in cash and short-term investments as of December 31, 2024, following a $40 million capital raise. The company projects that these resources will support operations into the first quarter of 2027, with a quarterly cash burn of $10.3 million in Q4 2024. Additionally, Cardiff Oncology strengthened its intellectual property portfolio with a new patent for onvansertib, expected to expire no earlier than 2043.

Cardiff Oncology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial profile remains weak: minimal and declining revenue (TTM ~$0.5M; -3.2% growth) alongside very large losses (TTM net loss ~$40.1M; net margin ~-78.8%). Cash flow is also materially negative (operating and free cash flow about -$40.9M), implying ongoing external funding needs. Offsetting this, leverage is very low (total debt ~$0.46M; debt-to-equity ~0.02), but equity has eroded sharply (from ~$140.4M in 2021 to ~$26.5M TTM), keeping dilution/financing risk elevated.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue508.00K593.00K683.00K488.00K386.00K359.00K
Gross Profit508.00K593.00K683.00K488.00K386.00K359.00K
EBITDA-38.94M-44.95M-45.03M-41.04M-38.47M-27.84M
Net Income-40.05M-45.85M-45.43M-41.44M-38.70M-28.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.33M61.88M97.19M81.64M116.19M149.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.52M58.30M91.75M74.82M105.27M140.82M
Total Debt457.00K832.00K1.52M2.15M2.71M3.12M
Total Liabilities10.80M16.50M14.24M11.90M9.85M9.13M
Stockholders Equity26.53M45.39M82.95M69.74M106.34M140.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.92M-37.97M-37.77M-31.47M-34.71M-23.25M
Operating Cash Flow-40.85M-37.92M-37.69M-30.89M-33.82M-23.04M
Investing Cash Flow36.44M1.34M13.73M36.20M38.15M-131.45M
Financing Cash Flow2.83M2.58M53.78M0.0075.00K35.45M

Cardiff Oncology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.02
Price Trends
50DMA
1.02
Positive
100DMA
1.31
Negative
200DMA
1.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
60.17
Neutral
STOCH
91.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRDF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.98, below the 50-day MA of 1.02, and below the 200-day MA of 1.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CRDF.

Cardiff Oncology Risk Analysis

Cardiff Oncology disclosed 64 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cardiff Oncology reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cardiff Oncology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$1.03B-4.06-58.03%-86.62%14.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$324.46M-2.76-215.23%291.42%11.70%
48
Neutral
$174.31M-2.57-67.67%-100.00%17.74%
45
Neutral
$84.80M-1.82-103.08%-6.96%32.77%
42
Neutral
$107.52M-3.391020.21%2.05%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRDF
Cardiff Oncology
1.09
-1.04
-48.83%
ONCY
Oncolytics Biotech
0.84
-0.55
-39.35%
AVTX
Avalo Therapeutics
19.23
7.62
65.63%
GLSI
Greenwich LifeSciences
15.95
4.95
45.00%
MOLN
Molecular Partners
4.35
0.63
16.94%
PYXS
Pyxis Oncology
3.89
2.06
112.57%

Cardiff Oncology Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cardiff Oncology completes $10 million financing transaction
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 14, 2026, Cardiff Oncology entered into agreements with institutional investors, officers and directors to sell a total of roughly 9.3 million shares of common stock and an equal number of accompanying warrants in a registered direct offer...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cardiff Oncology Shareholders Approve Directors and Equity Plan
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
On June 11, 2026, Cardiff Oncology, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with 41,614,848 shares represented, and stockholders elected six directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting or until their successors are duly chosen. Investor...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 18, 2026