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Avalo Therapeutics (AVTX)
NASDAQ:AVTX
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Avalo Therapeutics (AVTX) AI Stock Analysis

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AVTX

Avalo Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:AVTX)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-29.08% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/06/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (minimal revenue, large losses, and ongoing cash burn). Technical indicators are moderately supportive (price above key moving averages with neutral momentum), and corporate events are a mild positive due to pipeline updates and strengthened funding—though dilution risk remains. Valuation is also constrained by loss-making status (negative P/E) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage
Currently low leverage reduces near-term solvency pressure and gives the company more financial flexibility than a heavily indebted development-stage biotech. This supports continued investment in clinical programs while limiting the immediate burden of debt service and refinancing obligations.
Negative Factors
Minimal and Declining Revenue
Minimal and declining revenue indicates that AVTX has not yet established a meaningful commercial revenue base. This leaves the company dependent on clinical progress and future product or partnership success, making near-term operating performance highly vulnerable to development outcomes.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage
Currently low leverage reduces near-term solvency pressure and gives the company more financial flexibility than a heavily indebted development-stage biotech. This supports continued investment in clinical programs while limiting the immediate burden of debt service and refinancing obligations.
Read all positive factors

Avalo Therapeutics (AVTX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Avalo Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Avalo Therapeutics, Inc. is a precision medicine company in the clinical development phase, dedicated to identifying, advancing, and marketing specialized treatments for patients experiencing critical unmet medical needs across the fields of immun...

Avalo Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak operating fundamentals: revenue is minimal and declining, margins are deeply negative, and the company is running large net losses. Cash flow is persistently negative (high burn), partially offset by currently low leverage and an improved equity position versus earlier periods—still implying ongoing funding/dilution risk.
Income Statement
9
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
14
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.00K59.00K441.00K1.92M18.05M5.40M
Gross Profit-9.95M59.00K807.00K640.00K14.62M3.91M
EBITDA-100.05M-77.75M-34.85M-23.29M-37.29M-80.50M
Net Income-100.33M-78.26M-35.13M-31.54M-41.66M-84.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets490.78M116.46M150.73M20.99M33.37M80.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments400.28M98.34M134.55M7.42M13.17M54.59M
Total Debt242.00K2.43M568.00K537.00K19.95M33.32M
Total Liabilities42.12M33.41M17.70M13.69M44.28M57.13M
Stockholders Equity448.66M83.05M133.03M7.30M-10.91M23.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-66.38M-51.46M-49.06M-30.84M-26.85M-71.00M
Operating Cash Flow-66.38M-51.46M-49.06M-30.68M-26.75M-70.89M
Investing Cash Flow-315.28M-81.72M356.00K-133.00K-95.00K-113.00K
Financing Cash Flow855.87M14.59M175.85M25.04M-14.70M106.76M

Avalo Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price19.74
Price Trends
50DMA
17.52
Negative
100DMA
17.26
Negative
200DMA
16.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.17
Positive
RSI
27.32
Positive
STOCH
20.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AVTX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.15, above the 50-day MA of 17.52, and above the 200-day MA of 16.58, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.32 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AVTX.

Avalo Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Avalo Therapeutics disclosed 80 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Avalo Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Avalo Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$710.06M-2.79-58.03%―-86.62%14.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$100.28M-1.17-288.36%――21.42%
48
Neutral
$58.50M-0.33-1625.88%―-100.00%46.66%
44
Neutral
$101.93M-0.81-87.05%――-29.66%
42
Neutral
$50.93M-0.88-1266.43%――49.43%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AVTX
Avalo Therapeutics
13.24
-0.43
-3.15%
CRBP
Corbus Pharmaceuticals
5.27
-11.05
-67.71%
MIST
Milestone Pharmaceuticals
0.81
-1.19
-59.55%
ELTX
Elicio Therapeutics
1.88
-8.77
-82.35%
GUTS
Fractyl Health, Inc.
4.41
-11.67
-72.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026