CH Robinson AI Stock Analysis
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CH Robinson (CHRW) AI Stock Analysis
CH Robinson
(NASDAQ:CHRW)
The score is driven mainly by improving operating performance and generally solid cash earnings quality, supported by a constructive earnings call highlighting market-share gains, margin expansion, and productivity progress. These positives are tempered by a weak technical setup (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and balance-sheet/cash-flow risks, including higher leverage and softer recent operating/free cash flow.
CH Robinson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Operating Income by SegmentIndicates the profitability of each segment after operating expenses, showing which areas are the most financially successful and where there might be efficiency issues.
NAST drove the bulk of CHRW’s recovery—after a 2022 peak and a sharp 2023 pullback, North American operations have steadily regained momentum through 2024–mid‑2026, signaling pricing and volume resilience in the core business. Global Forwarding remains cyclical and more volatile: it collapsed with the market reset but has recovered unevenly, leaving upside if global freight demand normalizes. Corporate & Other has produced lumpy one‑offs that can mask underlying trends, so focus on sustained NAST improvement and consistent forwarding strength for durable earnings upside.
The FlyCH Robinson (CHRW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $15.51B
- Dividend Yield
- 1.88%
- Average Volume (3M)
- 1.73M
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- 23.7
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.87
- Revenue Growth
- 10.38%
- EPS Growth
- 12.97%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 11,479
- Sector
- General
- Sector Strength
- 55
- Industry
- Integrated Freight & Logistics
CH Robinson Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. serves as a global provider of diverse freight transportation and logistics solutions, assisting companies across numerous industries. The organization's business operations are segmented into two key areas: North Americ...
How the Company Makes Money
C.H. Robinson primarily makes money by acting as an intermediary between shippers that need freight moved and transportation providers (carriers) that have capacity. The company typically quotes a price to the shipper for moving a load and separately...
CH Robinson Earnings Call Summary
The call was strongly positive overall. The company reported double-digit revenue and adjusted gross profit growth, sustained market-share gains, higher truckload profitability, substantial productivity improvements, margin expansion in both operating segments, and confidence in its full-year operating income target. Management also expressed strong conviction in the RXO acquisition and the remaining Lean AI opportunity. The main challenges were higher SG&A and claims expenses, elevated working capital, expected leverage increases and paused buybacks after the RXO closing, pending insurance costs, seasonal Q4 volume softness, and a freight market that remains uneven and tepid in several end markets.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Management expects organic outgrowth to continue, Q4 incentive compensation to be lower than in Q3, Q4 SG&A expenses to come down versus Q3 levels, and the Cass Freight shipment index to reflect a 3.4% sequential volume decline in Q4; truckload spot rates are expected to inflect higher during Q4. Personnel expenses are expected to be in the range of $1.36 billion to $1.37 billion, total SG&A expenses in the range of $585 million to $590 million, depreciation and amortization expense toward the lower end of the previously stated range of $95 million to $105 million for the year, the effective tax rate at 18% to 20% for the full year, and capital expenditures in the range of $65 million to $75 million. Management remains confident in delivering full year operating income within its target range, whose bottom end remains equivalent to at least $6 of diluted EPS, but is not guiding towards any part of the target range; it expects to return to its target leverage range by the end of 28, expects the insurance renewal process to be finalized by the end of December, and expects updated 2027 insurance-cost information sometime in mid to late December.
CH Robinson Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income statement trends are improving (TTM revenue +7.2% with recovering gross/operating/net margins), and cash earnings quality is solid (TTM FCF tracks net income closely). Offsetting this, cash generation weakened versus last year (FCF down ~22% YoY) and leverage is higher than ideal for a cyclical logistics business (debt-to-equity ~1.21), reducing balance-sheet flexibility.
Income Statement
72PositiveBalance Sheet
60NeutralCash Flow
64Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 18.22B | 16.23B | 17.72B | 17.60B | 24.70B | 23.10B |
| Gross Profit | 2.17B | 1.36B | 1.31B | 1.14B | 1.87B | 1.61B |
| EBITDA | 946.53M | 888.38M | 766.30M | 613.59M | 1.36B | 1.17B |
| Net Income | 668.81M | 587.08M | 465.69M | 325.13M | 940.52M | 844.25M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.39B | 5.06B | 5.30B | 5.23B | 5.95B | 7.03B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 193.13M | 160.87M | 145.76M | 145.52M | 217.48M | 257.41M |
| Total Debt | 2.15B | 1.63B | 1.74B | 1.95B | 2.36B | 2.23B |
| Total Liabilities | 4.81B | 3.21B | 3.58B | 3.81B | 4.60B | 5.01B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.58B | 1.85B | 1.72B | 1.42B | 1.35B | 2.02B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 505.87M | 894.89M | 486.43M | 647.84M | 1.52B | 24.03M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 534.01M | 914.52M | 509.08M | 731.95M | 1.65B | 94.95M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -118.67M | -54.67M | -74.29M | -82.79M | -64.92M | -85.67M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -360.90M | -862.75M | -416.10M | -717.83M | -1.62B | 7.57M |
CH Robinson Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 133.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.88, below the 50-day MA of 142.77, and below the 200-day MA of 166.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHRW.
CH Robinson Risk Analysis
CH Robinson disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CH Robinson reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Latest Risks Added
3 New RisksCH Robinson Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
EXPD78Outperform
HUBG67Neutral- CHRW62Neutral
JBHT61Neutral
LSTR60Neutral
FDXF45Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPD | 78Outperform | $24.43B | 24.63 | 45.78% | 0.81% | 18.64% | 28.14% |
| HUBG | 67Neutral | $1.50B | 27.10 | 3.19% | 2.05% | ― | ― |
| CHRW | 62Neutral | $14.96B | 23.72 | 39.59% | 1.88% | 10.38% | 12.97% |
| JBHT | 61Neutral | $21.09B | 31.97 | 18.71% | 0.79% | 10.59% | 23.25% |
| LSTR | 60Neutral | $4.91B | 31.21 | 19.67% | 2.47% | 10.70% | 20.54% |
| Sector * | 55Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% |
| FDXF | 45Neutral | $19.41B | 44.07 | 104.79% | ― | ― | ― |
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRW | Ch Robinson Worldwide | 133.76 | -15.62 | -10.46% | |
| EXPD | Expeditors International Of Washington | 194.59 | 57.58 | 42.03% | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | 24.39 | -10.73 | -30.56% | |
| JBHT | JB Hunt Transport Services | 227.66 | 62.61 | 37.93% | |
| LSTR | Landstar System Inc | 147.31 | 22.33 | 17.87% | |
| FDXF | FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. | 132.64 | -18.36 | -12.16% |
CH Robinson Corporate Events
C.H. Robinson Amends Credit Facilities and Financing Terms
PositiveOn November 2, 2026, C.H. Robinson amended its revolving credit agreement, extending facility maturity to October 31, 2031 and increasing commitments from $1 billion to $1.25 billion. The letter-of-credit sublimit rose to $150 million, while accordio...
CH Robinson Announces Merger Agreement to Acquire RXO
PositiveOn October 4, 2026, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. agreed to acquire RXO Inc. in a stock‑and‑cash merger valuing RXO at about $5.8 billion and creating a combined logistics company with an enterprise value above $25 billion. The boards of both compani...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026