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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Plc (CCEP)
NASDAQ:CCEP
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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) AI Stock Analysis

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CCEP

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners

(NASDAQ:CCEP)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$121.00
▲(15.12% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/04/26
CCEP scores well primarily on solid operating fundamentals and cash generation, supported by a positive earnings call with reaffirmed guidance and strong H1 growth/margin expansion. Technicals add support with price above key moving averages and positive momentum. Offsetting factors are meaningful leverage, the 2025 revenue decline and softer recent cash-flow momentum, while valuation (P/E ~22) is fair but not especially attractive.
Positive Factors
Consistent free cash flow
A multi-year record of positive free cash flow (2020–2025) underpins durable capital allocation: funds internal reinvestment, dividends and buybacks while supporting resilience through cycles. Persistent FCF capacity strengthens liquidity and strategic optionality over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Material net debt versus equity limits financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to rate or earnings shocks. High leverage constrains capacity for incremental M&A or cushion for cost shocks and raises refinancing risk if margins or cash flow weaken in the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent free cash flow
A multi-year record of positive free cash flow (2020–2025) underpins durable capital allocation: funds internal reinvestment, dividends and buybacks while supporting resilience through cycles. Persistent FCF capacity strengthens liquidity and strategic optionality over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Coca-Cola Europacific Partners is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsCoca-Cola Europacific Partners is experiencing robust revenue growth in the Philippines, marking a significant entry into this market in 2024. Meanwhile, established markets like Great Britain, Germany, and Iberia continue to show steady increases, indicating strong brand resilience. However, revenue in regions like Norway and Indonesia & Papua New Guinea is facing challenges, suggesting potential market-specific issues. The strategic expansion into the Philippines could offset slower growth elsewhere, positioning the company for diversified revenue streams and reduced regional dependency.
Data provided by:The Fly

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC (CCEP), along with its affiliated entities, focuses on the creation, distribution, and sale of a wide array of non-alcoholic, ready-to-consume beverages. Their diverse product portfolio includes sparkling drinks,...
How the Company Makes Money
CCEP primarily makes money by manufacturing (or procuring where applicable), packaging, and selling finished beverages to customers such as supermarkets and grocery retailers, convenience and petrol forecourt stores, wholesalers and cash-and-carry...

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2027
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominantly positive operational and financial performance: strong revenue and volume growth, margin expansion, share gains, significant category momentum (especially Zero and Energy), robust execution (cooler rollout, World Cup activation) and continued cash generation and shareholder returns. Headwinds are manageable but notable: revenue-per-case softness versus a strong prior-year comparable, mix shifts to larger formats in Europe, the APS Suntory exit (~1% revenue impact), and cost/commodity timing risk concentrated in H2 (Middle East effects). Management reaffirmed full-year guidance and emphasized productivity and AI-driven improvements as mitigants. On balance, the highlights outweigh the lowlights.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Revenue of EUR 10.7 billion, up 6.1% year-over-year (comparable and FX-neutral). Volumes grew 5.6% (2.2% on a days-adjusted basis); June was the company's biggest volume month ever.
Negative Updates
Revenue Per Case Weakness vs. Strong Prior-Year Base
Revenue per case grew only 0.4% in H1 versus a strong comparable (almost 4% in H1 2025), reflecting promotional optimization, mix shifts toward larger formats in Europe, and the impact of exiting Suntory alcohol in APS (~>1% revenue headwind).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line Growth
Revenue of EUR 10.7 billion, up 6.1% year-over-year (comparable and FX-neutral). Volumes grew 5.6% (2.2% on a days-adjusted basis); June was the company's biggest volume month ever.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 guidance and said the Group is on track to deliver comparable free cash flow of at least EUR 1.7bn, after a strong H1 that included revenue of EUR 10.7bn (+6.1%), volumes +5.6% (or +2.2% days‑adjusted), revenue per case +0.4% (Q2 Europe ~+1.4%), operating profit EUR 1.5bn (+8.1%) with an operating margin of 13.8% (+~30 bps), diluted EPS EUR 2.20 (+10.6%) and H1 free cash flow EUR 435m; cost of sales per unit case rose 0.6% (below FY guidance of 1.5%), OpEx was 21.4% of revenue (‑~40 bps), value share up 20bps in Europe, ~EUR 600m of a EUR 1bn buyback completed, >80,000 coolers added (+5% year, >10% vs last year), category volumes showed sports/hydration +12%, energy +19%, Zero Sugar +10% (Monster share +230bps), and management noted the reaffirmation despite six fewer trading days in H2 and a c.1% H1 revenue headwind in APS from the Beam Suntory alcohol exit.

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and cash generation are solid (steady mid-30% gross margin historically, positive free cash flow through 2020–2025), but 2025 revenue declined (~-3.9% YoY) and leverage is meaningful (debt consistently ~11B with debt-to-equity >1 in recent years). Recent cash flow momentum also softened in 2025 (operating cash flow and free cash flow down YoY), making the fundamentals steady-to-good rather than strong.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue21.35B20.90B20.44B18.30B17.32B13.76B
Gross Profit7.59B7.44B7.28B6.73B6.24B5.10B
EBITDA3.58B3.42B3.24B3.23B2.93B2.44B
Net Income2.00B1.94B1.42B1.67B1.51B982.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.47B29.87B31.10B29.25B29.31B29.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B972.00M1.71B1.99B1.64B1.47B
Total Debt12.18B10.69B11.33B11.40B11.91B13.14B
Total Liabilities23.71B21.57B22.11B21.28B21.87B21.88B
Stockholders Equity8.27B7.83B8.49B7.98B7.45B7.03B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.11B2.20B2.27B2.13B2.33B1.77B
Operating Cash Flow2.85B2.95B3.06B2.81B2.93B2.12B
Investing Cash Flow-677.85M-632.00M-1.96B-937.00M-645.00M-5.61B
Financing Cash Flow-2.05B-2.89B-973.00M-1.82B-2.28B3.29B

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Risk Analysis

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$94.26B46.3425.46%18.06%36.22%
76
Outperform
$376.86B26.3042.99%2.53%7.42%17.58%
74
Outperform
$48.51B22.2825.02%2.29%6.82%44.68%
74
Outperform
$190.48B18.2750.36%4.21%5.62%38.93%
65
Neutral
$42.34B23.057.25%3.10%9.19%21.61%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
57
Neutral
$12.51B24.03-889.19%0.54%8.81%14.00%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CCEP
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners
108.58
17.78
19.59%
COKE
Coca-Cola Bottling Co Consolidated
184.74
71.23
62.75%
KO
Coca-Cola
86.83
18.34
26.78%
KDP
Keurig Dr Pepper
30.75
-2.05
-6.24%
MNST
Monster Beverage
94.46
33.66
55.36%
PEP
PepsiCo
138.78
0.34
0.25%

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Corporate Events

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Details Second Tranche of €1bn Share Buyback
Jul 2, 2026
On 2 July 2026, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners announced an update to its share buyback programme, confirming the launch of a second and final tranche of up to €500 million beginning 6 July 2026. This follows completion of a first €500...
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners Reports June 2026 Executive Share Acquisitions
Jul 1, 2026
On July 1, 2026, Coca-Cola Europacific Partners reported a series of June 2026 insider share transactions by senior executives under regulatory disclosure rules. The filings detail automatic acquisitions of ordinary shares through dividend reinves...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026