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Associated Banc-Corp (ASB)
NYSE:ASB
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Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) AI Stock Analysis

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ASB

Associated Banc-Corp

(NYSE:ASB)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(7.69% Upside)
The overall stock score of 72 reflects a stable financial performance with strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management. The technical analysis indicates a positive market sentiment, while the earnings call highlights strategic progress and confidence in future growth. However, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, which slightly tempers the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Commercial Loan Growth
The significant growth in commercial and industrial loans indicates strong demand and successful execution of the company's lending strategy, which can drive future revenue and market share expansion.
Net Interest Income
Record net interest income reflects effective interest rate management and loan portfolio optimization, supporting long-term profitability and financial stability.
Deposit Growth
Sustained deposit growth enhances liquidity and funding stability, enabling the company to support lending activities and invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Profit Margin
The decline in net profit margin indicates pressure on earnings, which could hinder the company's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive positioning.
Increased Delinquencies
Rising delinquencies suggest potential credit quality issues, which could lead to higher loan loss provisions and impact future profitability.
CRE Investor Loan Outflows
The outflow of CRE investor loans indicates challenges in retaining or growing this segment, potentially affecting the company's revenue diversification and growth prospects.

Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Associated Banc-Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAssociated Banc-Corp, a bank holding company, provides various banking and nonbanking products to individuals and businesses in Wisconsin, Illinois, and Minnesota. The company operates through three segments: Corporate and Commercial Specialty; Community, Consumer, and Business; and Risk Management and Shared Services. Its Corporate and Commercial Specialty segment offers lending solutions, including commercial loans and lines of credit, commercial real estate financing, construction loans, letters of credit, leasing, asset based lending, and loan syndications; deposit and cash management solutions, such as commercial checking and interest-bearing deposit products, cash vault and night depository services, liquidity solutions, payables and receivables solutions, and information services; specialized financial services such as interest rate risk management, foreign exchange solutions, and commodity hedging; fiduciary services such as administration of pension, profit-sharing and other employee benefit plans, fiduciary and corporate agency services, and institutional asset management; and investable funds solutions such as savings, money market deposit accounts, IRA accounts, CDs, fixed and variable annuities, full-service, discount and online investment brokerage; investment advisory services; and trust and investment management accounts. The company's Community, Consumer, and Business segment offers lending solutions, such as residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, personal and installment loans, auto loans, business loans, and business lines of credit; and deposit and transactional solutions such as checking, credit, debit and pre-paid cards, online banking and bill pay; and money transfer services. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 215 banking branches. Associated Banc-Corp was founded in 1861 and is headquartered in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneyAssociated Banc-Corp generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from net interest income and non-interest income. Net interest income is derived from the difference between the interest earned on loans and the interest paid on deposits and other borrowings. The company offers a variety of loan products, including commercial loans, consumer loans, and mortgages. Additionally, ASB earns non-interest income through service charges on deposit accounts, wealth management fees, and transaction-related fees. Significant partnerships with other financial institutions and businesses also contribute to its earnings by facilitating cross-selling of products and expanding its customer base.

Associated Banc-Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 16, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance, with record net interest income and robust commercial loan growth. Despite seasonal deposit outflows and slight increases in delinquencies, the company remains confident in achieving its growth targets for the year. The strategic plan execution appears to be yielding positive results, contributing to a positive outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Organic Checking Household Growth
In Q2, Associated Banc-Corp posted the best organic checking household growth since tracking began nearly a decade ago.
Strong Commercial Loan Growth
C&I loans grew by over $700 million in the first half of 2025, well on the way to exceeding the $1.2 billion target for the year.
Record Net Interest Income
Quarterly net interest income reached $300 million, the strongest in the company's history, up 17% year-over-year.
Improved Return on Tangible Common Equity
Posted a return on tangible common equity of 12.96% in Q2, a 62 basis point improvement from Q1.
Deposit Growth Expectations
Core customer deposits were up 4.3% compared to the same period a year ago, with a full-year growth outlook of 4% to 5%.
Positive Operating Leverage
Total noninterest expense decreased slightly to $209 million, and the efficiency ratio dipped below 56%, the lowest since early 2023.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Deposit Outflows
Q2 deposit levels were impacted by seasonal outflows, although total deposits are up over 4% year-over-year.
Slight Increase in Total Delinquencies
Total delinquencies increased slightly to $52 million in Q2, with an uptick in the 90-plus day bucket.
CRE Investor Loan Outflows
CRE investor loans saw net outflows of $227 million, with payoff activity expected to remain elevated.
Company Guidance
During the Associated Banc-Corp's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted several key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The bank achieved record net interest income of $300 million, a 17% increase from the previous year, driven by strong growth in commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, which increased by over $700 million in the first half of 2025. This growth is part of a larger strategy to replace lower-yielding residential mortgage loans. The bank's net interest margin rose above 3%, marking a notable improvement. Additionally, Associated Banc-Corp reported earnings of $0.65 per share and a return on tangible common equity of 12.96%, up 62 basis points from the previous quarter. The company's core customer deposits grew by 4.3% year-over-year, despite a seasonal decline in the second quarter. The CET1 capital ratio increased by 9 basis points to 10.2%, reflecting a robust capital position. Overall, Associated Banc-Corp remains focused on executing its strategic plan, aiming for continued profitability and balance sheet growth while maintaining disciplined credit management.

Associated Banc-Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Associated Banc-Corp has demonstrated solid growth in revenue and maintained effective cash flow management, despite challenges in profitability and leverage. The company's strong gross profit margin and cash flow ratios indicate operational resilience, while the mixed balance sheet metrics suggest opportunities to enhance equity efficiency and profitability. The overall financial health is stable but requires strategic improvements to sustain long-term growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The income statement shows moderate performance with some challenges. The Gross Profit Margin for the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is strong at approximately 72.5%, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue. However, the Net Profit Margin has declined to 8.1% from 12.9% in 2024, reflecting pressure on net earnings. The Revenue Growth Rate for the TTM is healthy at 85.4%, showing substantial growth compared to the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively modest, indicating room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet presents a mixed picture. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.63, suggesting a balanced leverage position, although slightly higher than the previous year. The Return on Equity (ROE) is relatively low at 3.1% for the TTM, down from 2.7% in 2024, indicating a need for enhanced profitability. The Equity Ratio of 10.8% reflects a moderately leveraged position but below optimal levels for stability. Overall, the company maintains adequate financial stability but could improve equity utilization.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow performance is solid. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate for the TTM is marginal at 0.1%, but the company effectively maintains strong free cash flow generation. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is robust at 3.65, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 3.73, reinforcing the company's ability to convert earnings into cash effectively. However, there is potential to enhance cash flow growth further.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.86B2.10B2.02B1.42B1.12B1.41B
Gross Profit1.03B944.38M1.01B1.20B1.14B1.08B
EBITDA292.99M236.97M300.36M528.51M506.75M435.42M
Net Income139.32M123.14M182.96M366.12M350.99M306.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.99B43.02B41.02B39.41B35.10B33.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.29B5.57B4.52B3.34B5.36B3.80B
Total Debt4.55B3.16B2.81B5.17B2.22B2.43B
Total Liabilities39.21B38.42B36.84B35.39B31.08B29.33B
Stockholders Equity4.78B4.61B4.17B4.02B4.02B4.09B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow508.87M535.26M380.93M783.86M477.27M495.14M
Operating Cash Flow551.89M580.25M442.74M846.57M529.55M550.02M
Investing Cash Flow-2.33B-2.22B-1.44B-5.25B-1.58B-793.74M
Financing Cash Flow2.08B1.73B1.30B4.00B1.36B371.02M

Associated Banc-Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.00
Price Trends
50DMA
25.54
Positive
100DMA
24.77
Positive
200DMA
23.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
52.19
Neutral
STOCH
48.02
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ASB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.01, above the 50-day MA of 25.54, and above the 200-day MA of 23.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ASB.

Associated Banc-Corp Risk Analysis

Associated Banc-Corp disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Associated Banc-Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Associated Banc-Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$5.02B12.9010.46%1.08%5.95%25.95%
74
Outperform
$4.43B17.7615.46%1.65%8.15%26.16%
73
Outperform
$3.85B33.694.01%6.86%-8.81%
72
Outperform
$4.26B33.863.07%3.54%-1.23%-34.14%
68
Neutral
$4.27B10.3914.71%2.04%1.99%2.08%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$4.21B18.2614.43%1.48%9.63%15.57%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ASB
Associated Banc-Corp
26.00
5.55
27.14%
ABCB
Ameris Bancorp
73.79
13.65
22.70%
BANF
BancFirst
126.53
25.61
25.38%
IBOC
International Bancshares
68.67
11.39
19.88%
TCBI
Texas Capital Bancshares
84.72
12.51
17.32%
SFBS
ServisFirst Bancshares
81.11
4.15
5.39%

Associated Banc-Corp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Associated Banc-Corp Announces Retirement of David Stein
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Associated Banc-Corp announced the retirement of David Stein, who has been with the company for over 20 years. Stein will step down as executive vice president and head of consumer and business banking on July 1, 2025, transitioning to a strategic advisor role and continuing as Madison market president until the end of 2025. His leadership has been instrumental in advancing the bank’s consumer and business banking sectors, and he will contribute to the development of the next strategic plan before his full retirement. Steven Zandpour will take over as head of consumer and business banking effective July 1, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025