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Air Industries Group (AIRI)
:AIRI

Air Industries Group (AIRI) AI Stock Analysis

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Air Industries Group

(NYSE MKT:AIRI)

44Neutral
Air Industries Group's overall score reflects significant financial challenges, marked by negative profitability and cash flow inconsistency. While technical analysis suggests bearish sentiment, recent contracts and partnerships provide potential for future growth. The company must address operational inefficiencies to improve financial stability and investor confidence.

Air Industries Group (AIRI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Air Industries Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAir Industries Group, an aerospace and defense company, designs, manufactures, and sells structural parts and assemblies for mission-critical aerospace and defense applications, and a prime contractor to the U.S. Department of Defense in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Complex Machining and Turbine and Engine Component. The Complex Machining segment offers aircraft landing and arresting gears, engine mounts, flight controls, throttle quadrants, and other components. Its products are deployed on a range of military and commercial aircraft, including Sikorsky's UH-60 Blackhawk, Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, Northrop Grumman E2D Hawkeye, the US Navy F-18, and USAF F-16 and F-15 fighter aircraft. The Turbine and Engine Component segment makes components and provides services for aircraft jet engines and ground-power turbines. Its jet engine components are used on the USAF F-15 and F-16, the Airbus A-330, the Boeing 777, and others, as well as ground-power turbine applications. The company's products are used by original equipment manufacturers in the manufacture of fixed wing aircraft, helicopters jet turbine engines, and other complex aerospace and defense products. Air Industries Group was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Bay Shore, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyAir Industries Group generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of precision components and assemblies used in aerospace and defense applications. The company's key revenue streams include contracts with major aerospace and defense contractors, providing critical parts such as landing gear and flight control systems. These contracts often span multiple years and involve rigorous quality standards and specifications. Additionally, Air Industries may engage in long-term partnerships or agreements with original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in the aerospace sector, ensuring a steady stream of income through ongoing production and supply agreements. The company's earnings are significantly influenced by defense budgets, aerospace industry demand, and the ability to innovate and maintain competitive manufacturing processes.

Air Industries Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Air Industries Group faces financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow management. Fluctuating gross profit margins, negative EBIT, and inconsistent cash generation highlight operational inefficiencies. High leverage is typical in the industry, but the company's negative net income and cash flow volatility indicate areas needing improvement.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Air Industries Group has demonstrated a mixed performance in recent years. Gross profit margins have been fluctuating, with a notable decline in revenue over the last reported year. While the company has previously achieved positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, recent periods have shown negative EBIT, indicating operational challenges. The net profit margin remains negative, reflecting ongoing profitability concerns.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate position with a debt-to-equity ratio suggesting high leverage, a common trait in the aerospace and defense industry. However, the return on equity is currently negative, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio is relatively low, indicating a reliance on debt for financing.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals volatility, with recent free cash flow growth being negative. The operating cash flow to net income ratio varies significantly year over year, reflecting inconsistent cash generation capabilities relative to profitability. This inconsistency poses a risk to financial stability and growth potential.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
12.18B55.11M51.52M53.24M58.94M50.10M
Gross Profit
2.04B8.93M7.43M7.45M10.25M6.51M
EBIT
-745.28M459.00K-295.00K-55.00K2.49M-1.01M
EBITDA
-743.03M3.45M2.75M3.33M6.19M4.46M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-988.66M-1.37M-2.13M-759.00K-43.00K1.10M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
285.00M753.00K346.00K281.00K627.00K2.50M
Total Assets
48.39B51.01M50.72M53.81M53.42M57.78M
Total Debt
1.34B27.87M25.77M28.51M27.29M31.90M
Net Debt
1.06B27.11M25.43M28.23M26.66M29.40M
Total Liabilities
33.10B36.06M35.52M36.98M36.04M42.67M
Stockholders Equity
15.29B14.95M15.19M16.84M17.39M15.11M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-1.63M-1.98M2.74M-1.91M2.70M-5.32M
Operating Cash Flow
556.00K324.00K4.86M448.00K4.06M-1.52M
Investing Cash Flow
-3.39M-2.29M-2.11M-2.36M-1.36M-3.80M
Financing Cash Flow
1.37M2.37M-2.69M1.57M-4.58M6.53M

Air Industries Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.33
Price Trends
50DMA
3.54
Negative
100DMA
3.86
Negative
200DMA
4.53
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
44.47
Neutral
STOCH
24.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AIRI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.45, below the 50-day MA of 3.54, and below the 200-day MA of 4.53, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AIRI.

Air Industries Group Risk Analysis

Air Industries Group disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Air Industries Group reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Air Industries Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$105.26M25.532.77%2.15%11.49%-66.66%
64
Neutral
$4.43B12.015.16%249.23%4.03%-11.73%
CVCVU
56
Neutral
$42.25M22.897.62%-7.34%-88.84%
SISIF
50
Neutral
$18.57M-17.90%-3.45%54.42%
45
Neutral
$49.78M-13.52%3.36%94.32%
44
Neutral
$12.53M-11.05%0.29%31.48%
41
Neutral
$95.48M-9999.00%-1.00%26.86%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AIRI
Air Industries Group
3.33
-1.23
-26.97%
AIRT
Air T
18.26
-4.58
-20.05%
CVU
CPI Aerostructures
3.25
0.79
32.11%
SIF
SIFCO Industries
3.00
-0.30
-9.09%
TISI
Team
21.25
14.13
198.46%
TWIN
Twin Disc
7.44
-6.87
-48.01%

Air Industries Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 15, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights several positive developments, including increased gross profit, a record book-to-bill ratio, and significant backlog, suggesting potential for future growth. However, these are tempered by decreased revenue and increased losses, both operating and net, due to stock compensation expenses. The sentiment is balanced, with optimism for future growth countered by current financial challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Profit Despite Lower Sales
The company's gross profit increased in Q1 2025 despite a decrease in sales from $14.1 million in 2024 to $12.1 million in 2025, demonstrating improved operational efficiency.
Record Book-to-Bill Ratio
The book-to-bill ratio was 1.34 to 1, a 20% improvement from the prior year and an 80% increase since Q1 2023, indicating strong business development efforts and future sales growth.
Record Funded Backlog
The company's funded backlog reached a record $120 million, with the total backlog, including forecast orders, exceeding $0.25 billion.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 increased by $214,000 or nearly 60% compared to Q1 2024, reaching $576,000.
Debt Reduction
Total debt was reduced by approximately $1.6 million compared to December 31, 2024.
Negative Updates
Decreased Revenue
Consolidated net sales for Q1 2025 were $12.1 million, down from $14.1 million in Q1 2024.
Increased Operating Loss
Operating loss increased to $746,000 in Q1 2025 compared to a loss of $259,000 in the same period in 2024, largely due to an increase in non-cash expense for stock compensation.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for Q1 2025 was $988,000 or $0.27 per share, compared to a loss of $706,000 or $0.21 per share in Q1 2024.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Air Industries Group reported a decrease in consolidated net sales to $12.1 million from $14.1 million in the same period of 2024. However, the gross margin improved by over $100,000, reaching approximately $2 million, with a gross margin percentage increase of 320 basis points to 16.8%. Operating expenses rose by 28.4% to $2.8 million, largely due to a $412,000 increase in stock compensation expense. Despite a net loss of $988,000 or $0.27 per share, compared to a loss of $706,000 or $0.21 per share in the first quarter of 2024, the adjusted EBITDA increased by nearly 60% to $576,000. The company's book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.34 to 1, reflecting a 20% improvement from the previous year, and its funded backlog reached a record $120 million, while the total backlog exceeded $0.25 billion. Additionally, Air Industries Group reaffirmed its belief that the full year of 2025 will surpass the results of 2024, despite variations in quarterly outcomes.

Air Industries Group Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Air Industries Group to Announce Q1 2025 Results
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Air Industries Group announced that it will release its financial results for the first quarter of 2025 on May 15, before the market opens. The company will also host a conference call on the same day to discuss the results. This announcement is part of the company’s ongoing communication with stakeholders and provides insights into its financial performance and future outlook.

Spark’s Take on AIRI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AIRI is a Neutral.

Air Industries Group shows potential with recent revenue growth and strategic military contracts, but faces financial challenges with negative profitability and cash flow volatility. The company’s technical indicators suggest limited momentum, while valuation remains a concern due to ongoing losses. Positive corporate developments and earnings call insights provide some optimism for future growth, albeit tempered by existing financial pressures.

To see Spark’s full report on AIRI stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
Air Industries Group Schedules Financial Results Call
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

On April 15, 2025, Air Industries Group announced it will host a conference call on April 16, 2025, to discuss its financial results for the year ended December 31, 2024. The call will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and may impact its stakeholders by offering a clearer picture of its market positioning and operational outcomes.

Spark’s Take on AIRI Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AIRI is a Neutral.

Air Industries Group’s overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including net losses and high leverage, which weigh heavily on its prospects. While recent corporate events and earnings call improvements provide some optimism, weak technical indicators and poor valuation metrics suggest caution. The company’s strategic efforts to stabilize finances and capitalize on positive contract wins will be crucial for future performance.

To see Spark’s full report on AIRI stock, click here.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Secures $3.3M US Navy Contracts
Positive
Mar 11, 2025

On March 11, 2025, Air Industries Group announced securing two contracts worth $3.3 million for landing and arresting gear components for the US Navy E-2D Advanced Hawkeye aircraft. These contracts support both the production of new aircraft and the maintenance, repair, and overhaul of existing aircraft, highlighting Air Industries’ critical role in supporting the US Navy’s operations. The E-2D Advanced Hawkeye, recognized as a top acquisition program by the US Navy, is expected to remain in service into the 2040s, ensuring continued demand for Air Industries’ products.

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Honored at Northrop Grumman Awards
Positive
Mar 4, 2025

On March 4, 2025, Air Industries Group was recognized by Northrop Grumman Corporation as one of its top supplier partners during the Supplier Excellence Awards. This accolade highlights Air Industries’ strategic excellence and its role in providing innovative and cost-effective military solutions, reinforcing its longstanding relationship with Northrop Grumman and its contribution to advanced defense technologies.

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Secures $1.5M Military Contracts
Positive
Feb 27, 2025

On February 27, 2025, Air Industries Group announced it secured two contracts worth approximately $1.5 million for landing gear components for the US Air Force B1-B Lancer bomber and the F-16 Fighting Falcon. These contracts are significant as they focus on maintenance, repair, and overhaul, aligning with the US Military’s increased budget for Operations & Maintenance (O&M), which is nearly twice the size of the Procurement budget. The Pentagon’s fiscal year 2025 budget request reflects a 3.5% increase in O&M, highlighting the strategic importance of these contracts for Air Industries Group’s business development efforts in a large and growing market.

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Partners with RedChip for Investor Relations
Positive
Feb 26, 2025

On February 26, 2025, Air Industries Group announced its collaboration with RedChip Companies, Inc. as their investor relations consultants and the launch of a television commercial to be aired on CNBC. This strategic move is aimed at enhancing the company’s visibility and investor engagement, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

Business Operations and Strategy
Air Industries Group Updates Investor Presentation
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Air Industries Group announced an update to its investor presentation, which is now available on its website. This update may provide stakeholders with enhanced insights into the company’s operations and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.