TPHD - ETF AI Analysis
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Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD)
TPHD, the Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF, appears to offer solid quality and income potential, supported by strong holdings like Phillips 66 and NetApp, which bring robust financial performance, positive earnings outlooks, and growth in areas like cloud, AI, and energy infrastructure. However, several utility and energy names such as Evergy and Consolidated Edison face cash flow, debt, and bearish technical pressures, which likely temper the fund’s overall rating. The main risk factor is the ETF’s heavy exposure to utilities and similar sectors, where leverage, liquidity challenges, and negative momentum could weigh on future returns.
TPHD vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- AUM
- 393.00M
- Region
- North America
- Expense Ratio
- 0.52%
- Beta
- 0.48
- Issuer
- Timothy
- Inception Date
- Apr 29, 2019
- Dividend Yield
- 1.88%
- Asset Class
- Equity
- Index Tracked
- Victory US Large Cap High Dividend Volatility Weighted BRI Index
TPHD Summary
TPHD is the Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF, built to follow the Victory US Large Cap High Dividend Volatility Weighted BRI Index. It focuses on U.S. companies that pay relatively high and steady dividends, with big exposure to utilities, financials, and energy. Well-known holdings include Duke Energy and AFLAC. Investors might consider TPHD if they want regular income from dividends and broad diversification across many sectors, while also following an ethical investing approach. A key risk is that dividend-paying stocks can still fall in value and the fund can go up and down with the overall stock market.
How much will it cost me?
TPHD has an expense ratio of 0.52%, which means you’ll pay about $5.20 per year for every $1,000 invested. This cost is higher than the average ETF because it follows a more specialized, actively managed high-dividend strategy rather than a simple broad-market index.
What would affect this ETF?
TPHD focuses on U.S. high-dividend stocks, especially utilities, financials, and energy, so it can benefit if interest rates fall, investors seek income, and steady demand for essential services supports these companies’ profits and dividends. On the negative side, rising interest rates, stricter regulations on utilities or energy, or a broader U.S. economic slowdown could pressure these sectors and make the ETF’s dividend payouts and share prices less attractive.
TPHD Top 10 Holdings
TPHD is powered by a cluster of steady, dividend-rich U.S. utilities, with names like Duke Energy, WEC Energy, and Consolidated Edison quietly steering the ship. These stocks have been rising recently, giving the fund a gentle tailwind despite some lingering technical weakness. Evergy and Ameren add to that utility-heavy tilt, reinforcing the fund’s defensive, income-first posture. AFLAC brings a financial flavor that’s been more mixed, while CMS Energy has been lagging a bit, modestly holding back returns. Overall, it’s a U.S.-centric, utility-led story focused on reliability over excitement.
| Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEC Energy Group | 1.69% | $6.66M | $37.82B | 3.08% | 67Neutral | |
| Duke Energy | 1.66% | $6.55M | $99.33B | 1.74% | 70Outperform | |
| Consolidated Edison | 1.61% | $6.34M | $42.99B | 18.79% | 62Neutral | |
| Evergy | 1.58% | $6.24M | $19.81B | 10.52% | 62Neutral | |
| Alliant Energy | 1.58% | $6.23M | $18.58B | 5.48% | 70Outperform | |
| Nisource | 1.52% | $6.00M | $21.38B | 5.79% | 64Neutral | |
| AFLAC | 1.53% | $6.04M | $62.11B | 15.96% | 68Neutral | |
| Ameren | 1.52% | $6.00M | $30.60B | 7.60% | 72Outperform | |
| Southern Co | 1.53% | $6.02M | $107.80B | -1.43% | 68Neutral | |
| CMS Energy | 1.52% | $6.00M | $21.99B | -4.25% | 67Neutral |
TPHD Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPHD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.81, above the 50-day MA of 42.45, and above the 200-day MA of 41.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPHD.
TPHD Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
| Name | Price | Price Target | AUM | Expense Ratio | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $44.41 | $46.00(3.58% Upside) | $393.00M | 0.52% | 71Outperform | |
| $19.43 | $20.96(7.88% Upside) | $776.17M | 0.45% | 69Neutral | |
| $39.34 | $42.25(7.40% Upside) | $319.34M | 0.45% | 67Neutral | |
| $31.79 | $36.15(13.72% Upside) | $318.99M | 0.49% | 70Neutral | |
| $89.55 | $107.88(20.47% Upside) | $207.08M | 0.35% | 72Outperform | |
| $60.67 | $74.08(22.10% Upside) | $160.61M | 0.06% | 74Outperform |
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPHD | Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF | 44.41 | 7.19 | 19.33% | |
| DIV | Global X SuperDividend US ETF | 19.43 | 3.41 | 21.26% | |
| TBG | TBG Dividend Focus ETF | 39.34 | 7.70 | 24.34% | |
| ELCV | Eventide High Dividend ETF | 31.79 | 5.82 | 22.43% | |
| HIDV | AB US High Dividend ETF | 89.55 | 12.07 | 15.58% | |
| UDIV | Franklin LibertyQ Global Dividend ETF | 60.67 | 8.19 | 15.60% |
This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.