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TPHD

Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF (TPHD)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:$46.00â–²(3.58% Upside)

TPHD, the Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF, appears to offer solid quality and income potential, supported by strong holdings like Phillips 66 and NetApp, which bring robust financial performance, positive earnings outlooks, and growth in areas like cloud, AI, and energy infrastructure. However, several utility and energy names such as Evergy and Consolidated Edison face cash flow, debt, and bearish technical pressures, which likely temper the fund’s overall rating. The main risk factor is the ETF’s heavy exposure to utilities and similar sectors, where leverage, liquidity challenges, and negative momentum could weigh on future returns.

Positive Factors
Solid Year-to-Date PerformanceThe ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year, suggesting its dividend-focused strategy has been working well in the current market.
Stable Utility HoldingsMany of the top holdings are large U.S. utility companies with steady, positive performance, which can provide more predictable income and lower volatility than growth stocks.
Broad Sector MixExposure across several sectors, including utilities, financials, energy, and industrials, helps spread risk instead of relying on just one industry.
Negative Factors
Heavy U.S. ConcentrationAlmost all of the fund’s assets are in U.S. stocks, which means performance is highly tied to the U.S. economy and offers little international diversification.
Sector Tilt Toward Utilities and EnergyA large share of the portfolio is in utilities and energy, making the ETF more sensitive to changes in interest rates, regulation, and commodity prices.
Moderate Expense RatioThe fund’s fees are not extremely high but are above what some low-cost index ETFs charge, which can slightly reduce long-term returns for investors.

TPHD vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM
393.00M
Region
North America
Expense Ratio
0.52%
Beta
0.48
Issuer
Timothy
Inception Date
Apr 29, 2019
Dividend Yield
1.88%
Asset Class
Equity
Index Tracked
Victory US Large Cap High Dividend Volatility Weighted BRI Index

TPHD Summary

TPHD is the Timothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF, built to follow the Victory US Large Cap High Dividend Volatility Weighted BRI Index. It focuses on U.S. companies that pay relatively high and steady dividends, with big exposure to utilities, financials, and energy. Well-known holdings include Duke Energy and AFLAC. Investors might consider TPHD if they want regular income from dividends and broad diversification across many sectors, while also following an ethical investing approach. A key risk is that dividend-paying stocks can still fall in value and the fund can go up and down with the overall stock market.

How much will it cost me?

TPHD has an expense ratio of 0.52%, which means you’ll pay about $5.20 per year for every $1,000 invested. This cost is higher than the average ETF because it follows a more specialized, actively managed high-dividend strategy rather than a simple broad-market index.

What would affect this ETF?

TPHD focuses on U.S. high-dividend stocks, especially utilities, financials, and energy, so it can benefit if interest rates fall, investors seek income, and steady demand for essential services supports these companies’ profits and dividends. On the negative side, rising interest rates, stricter regulations on utilities or energy, or a broader U.S. economic slowdown could pressure these sectors and make the ETF’s dividend payouts and share prices less attractive.

TPHD Top 10 Holdings

TPHD is powered by a cluster of steady, dividend-rich U.S. utilities, with names like Duke Energy, WEC Energy, and Consolidated Edison quietly steering the ship. These stocks have been rising recently, giving the fund a gentle tailwind despite some lingering technical weakness. Evergy and Ameren add to that utility-heavy tilt, reinforcing the fund’s defensive, income-first posture. AFLAC brings a financial flavor that’s been more mixed, while CMS Energy has been lagging a bit, modestly holding back returns. Overall, it’s a U.S.-centric, utility-led story focused on reliability over excitement.

TPHD top ten holdings
NameCompany NameWeight %Market ValueMarket CapYearly GainOverall Rating
WECWECWEC Energy Group1.69%$6.66M$37.82B3.08%67Neutral
DUKDUKDuke Energy1.66%$6.55M$99.33B1.74%70Outperform
EDEDConsolidated Edison1.61%$6.34M$42.99B18.79%62Neutral
EVRGEVRGEvergy1.58%$6.24M$19.81B10.52%62Neutral
LNTLNTAlliant Energy1.58%$6.23M$18.58B5.48%70Outperform
NININisource1.52%$6.00M$21.38B5.79%64Neutral
AFLAFLAFLAC1.53%$6.04M$62.11B15.96%68Neutral
AEEAEEAmeren1.52%$6.00M$30.60B7.60%72Outperform
SOSOSouthern Co1.53%$6.02M$107.80B-1.43%68Neutral
CMSCMSCMS Energy1.52%$6.00M$21.99B-4.25%67Neutral

TPHD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price44.41

Price Trends

50DMA42.45Positive
100DMA42.57Positive
200DMA41.85Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.59Negative
RSI69.52Neutral
STOCH81.55Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPHD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 44.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.81, above the 50-day MA of 42.45, and above the 200-day MA of 41.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPHD.

TPHD Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

TPHD against its peer funds
NamePricePrice TargetAUMExpense RatioOverall Rating
TPHDTPHD$44.41$46.00(3.58% Upside)$393.00M0.52%71Outperform
DIVDIV$19.43$20.96(7.88% Upside)$776.17M0.45%69Neutral
TBGTBG$39.34$42.25(7.40% Upside)$319.34M0.45%67Neutral
ELCVELCV$31.79$36.15(13.72% Upside)$318.99M0.49%70Neutral
HIDVHIDV$89.55$107.88(20.47% Upside)$207.08M0.35%72Outperform
UDIVUDIV$60.67$74.08(22.10% Upside)$160.61M0.06%74Outperform

Performance Comparison

0%10%20%TPHDDIVTBGELCVHIDVUDIVDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TPHD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TPHDTimothy Plan High Dividend Stock ETF44.417.1919.33%
DIVGlobal X SuperDividend US ETF19.433.4121.26%
TBGTBG Dividend Focus ETF39.347.7024.34%
ELCVEventide High Dividend ETF31.795.8222.43%
HIDVAB US High Dividend ETF89.5512.0715.58%
UDIVFranklin LibertyQ Global Dividend ETF60.678.1915.60%
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.