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TOLL - ETF AI Analysis

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TOLL

Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF (TOLL)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
TOLL (Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF) has a solid overall rating, mainly because many of its largest holdings—like Lam Research, KLA, Keysight Technologies, and Broadcom—show strong financial performance, positive earnings commentary, and attractive long-term growth drivers in areas such as AI and advanced technologies. The fund also benefits from quality names like GE, Visa, and Cboe, though some positions such as Performance Food Group and ON Semiconductor introduce concerns around high valuation, leverage, or uneven revenue trends. The main risk is that many top holdings are in similar, high-growth tech and semiconductor areas, which can make the ETF more sensitive to downturns in those sectors or to changes in regulation and valuation sentiment.
Positive Factors
Strong Overall Year-to-Date Performance
The fund has delivered solid gains so far this year, suggesting its strategy has been working in the recent market environment.
Leading Semiconductor and Technology Holdings
Several major technology and semiconductor names in the top holdings have shown strong performance, helping drive the ETF’s returns.
Broad Sector Diversification
The ETF spreads its investments across technology, financials, health care, industrials, and other sectors, which can help reduce the impact of weakness in any single industry.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s fee is on the higher side for an ETF, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost alternatives.
Heavy U.S. Concentration
With most of its assets in U.S. companies and only small exposure to other countries, the ETF is highly tied to the performance of the U.S. market.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Some of the largest positions, including well-known industrial and financial names, have shown weak or negative performance this year, which can hold back the fund’s overall results.

TOLL vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TOLL Summary

The Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF (TOLL) invests in companies that dominate their industries, often facing only a few serious competitors. It doesn’t track a traditional index, but follows the theme of powerful, market-leading businesses across many sectors, mainly in the U.S. Well-known holdings include Visa and Broadcom. Someone might invest in TOLL to tap into the pricing power and potential long-term growth of these dominant companies, while also getting diversification across technology, financials, health care, and more. A key risk is that these stocks can still rise and fall sharply with the overall market and changes in regulation.
How much will it cost me?The Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF (TOLL) has an expense ratio of 0.55%, which means you’ll pay $5.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because the ETF is actively managed, focusing on a unique niche of companies with significant market power. Active management typically involves higher costs due to the research and expertise required.
What would affect this ETF?The Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF (TOLL) could benefit from economic stability and growth, as its focus on dominant companies with strong pricing power and high barriers to entry may allow these firms to thrive in favorable conditions. However, regulatory changes targeting monopolistic or oligopolistic practices, as well as rising interest rates that could impact sectors like technology and financials, may pose risks to the ETF's performance in the future.

TOLL Top 10 Holdings

TOLL leans heavily on tech and financial powerhouses, with chip makers like Lam Research, KLA, ON Semiconductor, and Broadcom doing much of the heavy lifting as AI and semiconductor demand keep their shares rising or at least steadily supportive. Fortinet has also been a bright spot, adding some cyber-fueled momentum. On the flip side, GE Aerospace and Visa have been more mixed, occasionally losing steam and tempering overall gains. While the fund is globally diversified, its story is really about concentrated bets on dominant, tech-driven franchises.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Lam Research6.76%$3.16M$486.37B298.60%
77
Outperform
KLA5.93%$2.77M$334.96B165.77%
77
Outperform
GE Aerospace4.97%$2.32M$357.09B49.20%
72
Outperform
Fortinet4.87%$2.27M$109.52B42.90%
71
Outperform
Visa4.44%$2.07M$610.12B-6.91%
70
Outperform
ON Semiconductor4.33%$2.02M$49.34B123.37%
73
Outperform
Cboe Global Markets4.29%$2.00M$30.65B17.67%
75
Outperform
Performance Food Group4.12%$1.92M$16.35B21.85%
65
Neutral
Applied Materials3.73%$1.74M$465.09B226.40%
77
Outperform
Keysight Technologies3.41%$1.59M$61.00B118.26%
77
Outperform

TOLL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
38.15
Positive
100DMA
36.72
Positive
200DMA
35.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.68
Negative
RSI
64.81
Neutral
STOCH
78.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TOLL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.52, equal to the 50-day MA of 38.15, and equal to the 200-day MA of 35.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TOLL.

TOLL Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$46.13M0.55%
66
Neutral
$97.07M1.02%
62
Neutral
$87.75M0.63%
69
Neutral
$84.81M0.73%
71
Outperform
$75.88M0.65%
68
Neutral
$70.97M0.75%
56
Neutral
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TOLL
Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF
40.86
7.57
22.74%
GINX
SGI Enhanced Global Income ETF
RJDI
RJ Eagle GCM Dividend Select Income ETF
GOP
Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading ETF
SAGP
Strategas Global Policy Opportunities ETF
MNVT
Moonvest ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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