FCTE - ETF AI Analysis

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SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE)

Rating:76Outperform

Price Target:―

FCTE, the SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF, earns a solid overall rating, mainly because it holds high-quality growth names like Arista Networks and Microsoft, which benefit from strong financial performance and long-term opportunities in AI and cloud computing. Other key holdings such as Lam Research, Ametek, and Amphenol further support the fund with solid earnings and positive outlooks, though many of these stocks trade at high valuations, which adds some risk. The main risk factor is that several top positions are richly priced and exposed to similar technology and AI-driven themes, which could increase volatility if market sentiment toward these areas weakens.

Positive Factors

Solid Recent Performance

The ETF has shown strong gains so far this year and over the last few months, indicating positive momentum.

Balanced Sector Mix

Holdings are spread across technology, industrials, health care, communication services, consumer sectors, and energy, helping reduce reliance on any single industry.

Strong Individual Winners in Top Holdings

Several major positions like Old Dominion Freight, Monolithic Power, Arista Networks, Apple, Johnson & Johnson, and Lockheed Martin have delivered strong performance, supporting the fund’s overall results.

Negative Factors

High Expense Ratio

The fund’s fee is relatively high for an ETF, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost options.

Concentration in a Few Large Positions

Each of the top holdings makes up a similar and meaningful slice of the portfolio, increasing the impact that any single stock’s weakness can have on the fund.

Mixed Results Among Top Tech and Consumer Names

Some key holdings such as Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and PepsiCo have shown weaker performance recently, which could drag on future returns if this trend continues.

FCTE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM240.23M

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.85%

Beta0.94

IssuerSMI Funds

Inception DateJul 02, 2024

Dividend Yield0.16%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedNo Underlying Index

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume15,310

30 Day Avg. Volume22,680

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

36.01

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusStrong Buy

Number of Analyst Covering20

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

FCTE Summary

The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) is a U.S. stock fund that focuses on large, well-established companies and follows a “full-cycle trend” strategy instead of a traditional index. It mainly invests in sectors like technology, industrials, and health care, with big names such as Apple and Meta Platforms among its top holdings. Someone might consider this ETF to seek growth and diversification across many leading companies, while the trend approach aims to adjust as markets change. However, it is still heavily tied to the stock market and can go up or down with overall market swings, especially in tech-related areas.

How much will it cost me?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (Ticker: FCTE) has an expense ratio of 0.85%, meaning you’ll pay $8.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, using trend-following strategies to optimize returns across market cycles.

What would affect this ETF?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) could benefit from positive trends in the technology sector, which makes up a significant portion of its holdings, as well as stable growth in large-cap companies like Visa and Costco. However, potential risks include economic slowdowns or interest rate hikes that could negatively impact consumer spending and financial sector performance, which are also key components of the ETF. Additionally, regulatory changes in the U.S., where the fund is geographically focused, could influence its top holdings and overall performance.

FCTE Top 10 Holdings

FCTE is leaning heavily on U.S. large-cap leaders, with a clear tilt toward tech and industrial strength. Apple and Arista Networks are doing much of the heavy lifting as their momentum in devices, cloud, and AI keeps the fund’s tech sleeve rising. Old Dominion Freight and Ametek add steady industrial muscle, benefiting from solid operations even as growth worries linger. On the flip side, Microsoft and Meta have been more mixed lately, occasionally taking the wind out of the fund’s sails despite their long-term growth stories.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
NDSN	Nordson	5.51%	$13.23M	$18.60B	47.37%	79 Outperform
LLY	Eli Lilly & Co	5.31%	$12.76M	$1.17T	67.61%	72 Outperform
LRCX	Lam Research	5.31%	$12.75M	$388.12B	203.64%	77 Outperform
JNJ	Johnson & Johnson	5.26%	$12.64M	$658.00B	54.76%	78 Outperform
HCA	HCA Healthcare	5.26%	$12.64M	$92.93B	6.67%	70 Neutral
MSFT	Microsoft	5.24%	$12.59M	$3.62T	-2.06%	79 Outperform
ANET	Arista Networks	5.22%	$12.54M	$237.30B	42.21%	83 Outperform
CAH	Cardinal Health	5.10%	$12.26M	$54.04B	61.31%	66 Neutral
LOW	Lowe's	5.10%	$12.25M	$121.66B	-16.93%	69 Neutral
META	Meta Platforms	5.06%	$12.17M	$1.42T	-24.41%	76 Outperform

FCTE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

29.16

Positive

100DMA

28.04

Positive

200DMA

26.84

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.12

Positive

RSI

50.88

Neutral

STOCH

18.93

Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCTE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.83, equal to the 50-day MA of 29.16, and equal to the 200-day MA of 26.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCTE.

FCTE Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
FCTE	―	―	$240.23M	0.85%	76 Outperform
FTQI	―	―	$944.54M	0.75%	71 Outperform
INFO	―	―	$862.87M	0.35%	74 Outperform
NBCR	―	―	$852.47M	0.29%	73 Outperform
AFLG	―	―	$756.70M	0.55%	74 Outperform
GSPY	―	―	$746.62M	0.50%	74 Outperform

Performance Comparison

FCTE

SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF

29.57

3.46

13.25%

FTQI

First Trust Hedged BuyWrite Income ETF

―

INFO

Harbor PanAgora Dynamic Large Cap Core ETF

―

NBCR

Neuberger Berman Core Equity ETF

―

AFLG

First Trust Active Factor Large Cap ETF

―

GSPY

Gotham Enhanced 500 ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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