FCTE - ETF AI Analysis
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SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Solid Recent Performance
The ETF has shown strong gains so far this year and over the last few months, indicating positive momentum.
Balanced Sector Mix
Holdings are spread across technology, industrials, health care, communication services, consumer sectors, and energy, helping reduce reliance on any single industry.
Strong Individual Winners in Top Holdings
Several major positions like Old Dominion Freight, Monolithic Power, Arista Networks, Apple, Johnson & Johnson, and Lockheed Martin have delivered strong performance, supporting the fund’s overall results.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s fee is relatively high for an ETF, which can eat into long-term returns compared with lower-cost options.
Concentration in a Few Large Positions
Each of the top holdings makes up a similar and meaningful slice of the portfolio, increasing the impact that any single stock’s weakness can have on the fund.
Mixed Results Among Top Tech and Consumer Names
Some key holdings such as Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and PepsiCo have shown weaker performance recently, which could drag on future returns if this trend continues.
FCTE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM244.47M
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.85%
Beta0.90
IssuerSMI Funds
Inception DateJul 02, 2024
Dividend Yield0.15%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedNo Underlying Index
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume22,202
30 Day Avg. Volume20,642
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
35.59Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering20
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
FCTE Summary
The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) is a U.S. stock fund that focuses on large, well-established companies and follows a “full-cycle trend” strategy instead of a traditional index. It mainly invests in sectors like technology, industrials, and health care, with big names such as Apple and Meta Platforms among its top holdings. Someone might consider this ETF to seek growth and diversification across many leading companies, while the trend approach aims to adjust as markets change. However, it is still heavily tied to the stock market and can go up or down with overall market swings, especially in tech-related areas.
How much will it cost me?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (Ticker: FCTE) has an expense ratio of 0.85%, meaning you’ll pay $8.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, using trend-following strategies to optimize returns across market cycles.
What would affect this ETF?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) could benefit from positive trends in the technology sector, which makes up a significant portion of its holdings, as well as stable growth in large-cap companies like Visa and Costco. However, potential risks include economic slowdowns or interest rate hikes that could negatively impact consumer spending and financial sector performance, which are also key components of the ETF. Additionally, regulatory changes in the U.S., where the fund is geographically focused, could influence its top holdings and overall performance.
FCTE Top 10 Holdings
FCTE is leaning hard into U.S. large-cap tech and industrials, with semiconductor names setting the tone. Applied Materials and Lam Research have been powerful engines year-to-date, even if their recent stretch has been a bit choppy, while Texas Instruments and Monolithic Power are still rising and helping keep the fund’s tech story intact. Apple adds a steadier Big Tech backbone, and Ametek provides industrial strength that’s quietly supporting returns. Overall, this is a U.S.-centric, chip-heavy ETF where a handful of tech leaders largely steer performance.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Pacific Land | 5.35% | $13.06M | $24.90B | 21.78% | 76 Outperform | |
| Cboe Global Markets | 5.33% | $13.02M | $31.76B | 24.29% | 75 Outperform | |
| Cisco Systems | 5.30% | $12.96M | $466.76B | 74.26% | 77 Outperform | |
| Jabil | 5.15% | $12.58M | $32.09B | 57.88% | 73 Outperform | |
| Arista Networks | 5.14% | $12.55M | $273.36B | 40.65% | 83 Outperform | |
| Factset Research | 5.14% | $12.55M | $10.21B | 1.43% | 78 Outperform | |
| eBay | 5.10% | $12.46M | $49.92B | 26.70% | 70 Outperform | |
| Paychex | 5.09% | $12.43M | $37.01B | -17.18% | 77 Outperform | |
| Monster Beverage | 5.06% | $12.36M | $85.49B | 25.37% | 80 Outperform | |
| Old Dominion Freight | 5.05% | $12.34M | $37.73B | 35.48% | 71 Outperform |
FCTE Technical Analysis
Positive
―
Price Trends
29.30
Positive
28.73
Positive
27.50
Positive
Market Momentum
0.23
Negative
60.55
Neutral
45.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCTE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.11, equal to the 50-day MA of 29.30, and equal to the 200-day MA of 27.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCTE.
FCTE Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
29.82
3.79
14.56%
INFO
Harbor PanAgora Dynamic Large Cap Core ETF
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NBCR
Neuberger Berman Core Equity ETF
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ROCY
JPMorgan Equity Premium Yield ETF
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AFLG
First Trust Active Factor Large Cap ETF
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SEIQ
SEI Enhanced U.S. Large Cap Quality Factor ETF
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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