FCTE - ETF AI Analysis
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SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:―
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has delivered strong gains so far this year and over the past month, showing solid recent momentum.
Leading Growth Companies in Top Holdings
Many of the largest positions, including well-known technology and industrial names, have shown strong year-to-date performance, helping drive the fund’s returns.
Sector Diversification Across Growth Areas
Holdings spread across technology, health care, industrials, and consumer sectors provide exposure to several key parts of the economy rather than relying on just one industry.
Negative Factors
High Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is relatively high for an ETF, which means more of the returns are eaten up by fees over time.
Heavy Tilt Toward Technology
A large portion of the portfolio is in technology stocks, which can increase risk if that sector experiences a downturn.
Concentration in a Small Group of Stocks
The top 10 holdings make up a significant share of the fund, so performance is heavily influenced by how this small group of companies performs.
FCTE vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
AUM242.25M
RegionNorth America
Expense Ratio0.85%
Beta0.90
IssuerSMI Funds
Inception DateJul 02, 2024
Dividend Yield0.16%
Asset ClassEquity
Index TrackedNo Underlying Index
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)N/A
Shares OutstandingN/A
10 Day Avg. Volume24,319
30 Day Avg. Volume21,884
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
34.87Price Target Upside― Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering20
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
FCTE Summary
The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) is an actively managed fund that follows a “full market cycle” theme, focusing on large U.S. companies and adjusting its holdings based on market trends. It leans heavily toward technology and health care stocks and owns well-known names like Alphabet (Google) and Nvidia, along with other big, established firms. Someone might invest in FCTE for growth potential and diversification across leading large-cap companies, while benefiting from its trend-following approach. A key risk is that it is heavily tilted toward tech-related stocks, so its price can swing up and down more than the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (Ticker: FCTE) has an expense ratio of 0.85%, meaning you’ll pay $8.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average because it is actively managed, using trend-following strategies to optimize returns across market cycles.
What would affect this ETF?The SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) could benefit from positive trends in the technology sector, which makes up a significant portion of its holdings, as well as stable growth in large-cap companies like Visa and Costco. However, potential risks include economic slowdowns or interest rate hikes that could negatively impact consumer spending and financial sector performance, which are also key components of the ETF. Additionally, regulatory changes in the U.S., where the fund is geographically focused, could influence its top holdings and overall performance.
FCTE Top 10 Holdings
FCTE is leaning heavily on U.S. industrial powerhouses, with names like Parker Hannifin, Hubbell, Dover, Trane, and Ametek doing much of the heavy lifting as their shares continue to trend higher. Applied Materials adds a tech tailwind, though its strong run-up could make it a bit frothy. On the health care side, steady players like Johnson & Johnson help balance the ride, but McKesson and HCA have been lagging, acting like a small anchor on an otherwise industrial-driven, U.S.-focused story.
Name | Company Name | Weight % | Market Value | Market Cap | Yearly Gain | Overall Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple | 5.42% | $13.23M | $4.53T | 47.93% | 79 Outperform | |
| HCA Healthcare | 5.36% | $13.08M | $91.07B | 12.05% | 70 Neutral | |
| Meta Platforms | 5.33% | $13.01M | $1.48T | -14.58% | 76 Outperform | |
| PepsiCo | 5.30% | $12.92M | $197.12B | 7.36% | 78 Outperform | |
| Lockheed Martin | 5.29% | $12.91M | $125.87B | 15.63% | 70 Outperform | |
| Microsoft | 5.19% | $12.65M | $2.90T | -22.12% | 79 Outperform | |
| McKesson | 5.19% | $12.65M | $92.06B | 11.49% | 62 Neutral | |
| Alphabet Class A | 5.14% | $12.53M | $4.34T | 110.50% | 85 Outperform | |
| Johnson & Johnson | 5.13% | $12.50M | $633.19B | 71.54% | 78 Outperform | |
| Arista Networks | 5.09% | $12.41M | $201.46B | 67.60% | 83 Outperform |
FCTE Technical Analysis
Positive
―
Price Trends
27.42
Positive
26.77
Positive
26.20
Positive
Market Momentum
0.52
Negative
62.71
Neutral
63.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FCTE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.28, equal to the 50-day MA of 27.42, and equal to the 200-day MA of 26.20, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.52 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FCTE.
FCTE Peer Comparison
Comparison Results
Performance Comparison
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
28.92
2.38
8.97%
DSPY
Tema S&P 500 Historical Weight ETF Strategy
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FTQI
First Trust Hedged BuyWrite Income ETF
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OMAH
VistaShares Target 15 Berkshire Select Income ETF
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NBCR
Neuberger Berman Core Equity ETF
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INFO
Harbor PanAgora Dynamic Large Cap Core ETF
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Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DisclaimerThis AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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