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Clear Secure (YOU) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q1, 2026
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Mar 31, 2026, filed May 06, 2026
Risk Change Over Time
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1We have incurred and will continue to incur substantial stock-based compensation expense related to the Founder PSUs, which may have an adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations and may result in substantial dilution.
We granted the founder performance-based restricted stock unit awards (the "Founder PSUs") following the pricing of our IPO. The Founder PSUs are eligible to vest over a five-year period based on the achievement of pre-determined stock price goals ranging from 1.5 to 3.0 times $31, our initial public offering price. The Founder PSUs will become vested based on the achievement of such stock price goals (measured as a volume-weighted average stock price over 180 days) during overlapping measurement periods that begin two years following the closing of our IPO and end five years following the closing of our IPO, or earlier in the event of a change of control. We have recorded, and will continue to record, substantial stock-compensation expense for the Founder PSUs. The aggregate grant date fair value of the Founder PSUs is estimated to be approximately $66.3 million, which will be recognized as compensation expense over a number of years following the closing of our IPO. Because the Founder PSUs that become vested will be settled in shares of Class A Common Stock, a potentially large number of shares of Class A Common Stock will be issuable if the applicable vesting conditions are satisfied, which would dilute your ownership of us. In addition, we may expend substantial funds to satisfy tax withholding and remittance obligations related to the Founder PSUs if and when they become vested.
- Corporate Activity and Growth - Risk 2If we cannot maintain our corporate culture as we grow, our business may be harmed.
We believe that our corporate culture has been a critical component to our success and that our culture creates an environment that drives and perpetuates our overall business strategy. We have invested substantial time and resources in building our team and we expect to continue to hire aggressively as we expand, including with respect to any potential international expansions we may pursue. As we grow and mature as a public company and grow internationally, we may find it difficult to maintain our corporate culture. Any failure to preserve our culture could negatively affect our future success, including our ability to recruit and retain personnel and effectively focus on and pursue our business strategy.
Risk Highlights Q1, 2026
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 49
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1If we are not able to meet stakeholder expectations or to maintain the value and reputation of our brand, our business and financial results may be harmed.
We believe that our brand is important to attracting and retaining Members and partners. Our business is dependent on our ability to build, maintain and expand trust in our brand and our platform from a variety of different stakeholders, which depends on our ability to provide consistent, accurate, high-quality services to our Members and partners, as well as protect the information that we gather (which may include personal information). It also requires us to understand the evolving expectations of our stakeholders, and to adjust our offerings to meet them. An inability to accurately understand or meet the expectations of, or forecast changes in, our stakeholders, could have a material adverse effect on our brand, and therefore on our business, results of operations and financial condition. Failure to meet these continuously evolving stakeholder expectations could diminish the trust in our brand and platform. While it is our mission to continue to build and expand the trust in our brand and our platform from all stakeholders, any actual or perceived failure to do so could result in a decreased number of Members, decreased use of our platform by our Members, slower growth in our platform and business than we expect, a discontinuation of our partnerships and relationships, and a negative impact on our ability to continue in, or expand into, other sectors or industries, any of which could have a material and adverse effect on our business, prospects, results of operations and financial condition. Our partners expect us to build and maintain a world-class secure technology infrastructure and accurately perform the services we offer, such as correctly identifying a Member and correctly connecting a Member with their information. Aviation industry stakeholders such as our airline, airport and governmental partners expect us to continue to enhance aviation security. As the use cases for our platform expand, we expect to see increased attempts to fraudulently utilize our platform, some of which in the past have been, and may in the future be, successful. Fraudulent activity and other actual or perceived failures to maintain the integrity of our platform may lead to reputational and financial damage to our brand, negative impacts to our partner relationships, and reduced usage of our products and services, all of which could have a material adverse impact on our business.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Our organizational structure, including the Tax Receivable Agreement, confers certain benefits upon the CLEAR Post-IPO Members that will not benefit holders of our Class A Common Stock to the same extent that it will benefit the CLEAR Post-IPO Members.
Our organizational structure, including the Tax Receivable Agreement, confers certain benefits upon the CLEAR Post-IPO Members that do not benefit the holders of our Class A Common Stock to the same extent that it benefits the CLEAR Post-IPO Members. In connection with the IPO, we entered into a Tax Receivable Agreement with the CLEAR Post-IPO Members that provides for the payment by us to the CLEAR Post-IPO Members of 85% of the amount of cash savings, if any, in U.S. federal, state and local income tax or franchise tax that we actually realize (computed using simplifying assumptions to address the impact of state and local taxes) as a result of (i) any increase in tax basis in Alclear's assets resulting from (a) exchanges by the CLEAR Post-IPO Members (or their transferees or other assignees) of Alclear Units (along with the corresponding shares of our Class C Common Stock or Class D Common Stock, as applicable) for shares of our Class A Common Stock or Class B Common Stock, as applicable, and purchases of Alclear Units and corresponding shares of Class C Common Stock or Class D Common Stock, as the case may be, from CLEAR Post-IPO Members (or their transferees or other assignees) or (b) payments under the Tax Receivable Agreement, and (ii) tax benefits related to imputed interest deemed arising as a result of payments made under the Tax Receivable Agreement. Although the Company retains 15% of the amount of such tax benefits, this and other aspects of our organizational structure may adversely impact the trading market for the Class A Common Stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3We are controlled by Caryn Seidman Becker, our co-founder, whose interests in our business may be different than yours.
As of December 31, 2025, Caryn Seidman Becker controls approximately 77.4% of the combined voting power of our outstanding shares of Common Stock as a result of her ownership of our Class B Common Stock and our Class D Common Stock, each share of which is entitled to 20 votes per share on all matters submitted to a vote of our stockholders. Ms. Seidman Becker has the ability to control our Company, including the ability to control any action requiring the general approval of our stockholders, including the election of our Board, the adoption of amendments to our Certificate of Incorporation and by-laws and the approval of any merger or sale of substantially all of our assets. This concentration of ownership and voting power may also delay, defer or even prevent an acquisition by a third-party or other change of control of our Company and may make some transactions more difficult or impossible without the support of Ms. Seidman Becker, even if such events are in the best interests of minority stockholders. This concentration of voting power with Ms. Seidman Becker may have a negative impact on the price of our Class A Common Stock. In addition, because shares of our Class B Common Stock and Class D Common Stock each have 20 votes per share on matters submitted to a vote of our stockholders, Ms. Seidman Becker is able to control our Company until such time that she no longer collectively beneficially owns a majority of the voting power of our outstanding shares of Common Stock. Further, even when Ms. Seidman Becker ceases to collectively own shares of our Common Stock representing a majority of the combined voting power of our outstanding shares of Common Stock, for so long as she continues to collectively own a significant percentage of our stock, she will still be able to significantly influence the composition of our Board and the approval of actions requiring stockholder approval through her voting power. Ms. Seidman Becker's interests may not be fully aligned with yours. Because Ms. Seidman Becker holds part of her economic interest in our business through Alclear, rather than through the public company, she may have conflicting interests with holders of shares of our Class A Common Stock. For example, Ms. Seidman Becker may have a different tax position from us, which could influence her decisions regarding whether and when we should dispose of assets or incur new or refinance existing indebtedness, especially in light of the existence of the Tax Receivable Agreement that we entered into in connection with our IPO, and whether and when we should undergo certain changes of control within the meaning of the Tax Receivable Agreement or terminate the Tax Receivable Agreement. In addition, the structuring of future transactions may take into consideration these tax or other considerations even where no similar benefit would accrue to us.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4The timing and amount of any repurchases under our stock repurchase program are subject to a number of uncertainties.
On May 13, 2022, our Board authorized a stock repurchase program, and in November 2023, March 2024, August 2024, and February 2025 our Board authorized an increase in such authorization, whereby we may purchase up to $600 million of the Company's Class A Common Stock on a discretionary basis from time to time through open market repurchases, privately negotiated transactions, or other means, including through Rule 10b5-1 trading plans. As of December 31, 2025, $126.5 million remained available under the repurchase authorization. The timing and actual number of shares repurchased will be determined by management depending on a variety of factors, including stock price, trading volume, market conditions, and other general business considerations. The repurchase program has no expiration date and may be modified, suspended, or terminated at any time, and we have no obligation to repurchase any amount of our Class A Common Stock under the repurchase program. The Inflation Reduction Act, enacted on August 16, 2022, imposes a 1% excise tax on net repurchases of shares by U.S. corporations whose stock is traded on an established securities market. The imposition of the excise tax on repurchases of our shares may increase the cost to us of making repurchases and may cause us to reduce the number of shares repurchased pursuant to the repurchase program.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5Substantial future sales of shares of our Class A Common Stock in the public market could cause our stock price to fall.
Sales of a substantial number of shares of our Class A Common Stock into the public market, particularly sales by our directors, executive officers and principal stockholders, or the perception that these sales might occur, could cause the market price of our Class A Common Stock to decline and could impair our ability to raise capital through the sale of additional equity securities.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6Provisions in our charter documents and certain rules imposed by regulatory authorities may delay or prevent our acquisition by a third-party.
Our Certificate of Incorporation and by-laws contain several provisions that make it more difficult or expensive for a third-party to acquire control of us without the approval of our Board. These provisions, which may delay, prevent or deter a merger, acquisition, tender offer, proxy contest or other transaction that stockholders may consider favorable, include the following, some of which only become effective the first date on which Ms. Seidman Becker and Mr. Cornick (the "Co-Founders"), together with the other persons in their permitted ownership groups (which include the Founder Post-IPO Members), collectively beneficially own, in aggregate, less than a majority of the combined voting power of our outstanding shares of Common Stock entitled to vote generally in the election of directors (the "Triggering Event"): - the 20 vote per share feature of our Class B Common Stock and Class D Common Stock;- after the Triggering Event, the sole ability of the Board to fill a vacancy on the board of directors;- prohibiting our stockholders from calling a special meeting of stockholders; after the Triggering Event, no ability for our stockholders to take action by written consent;- after the Triggering Event, certain amendments to our Certificate of Incorporation or amendments to our by-laws will require the approval of 66 2/3% of the combined voting power of our outstanding shares of Common Stock;- after the Triggering Event, removal of directors will require the approval of holders of at least 66 2/3% of the combined voting power of our outstanding shares of Common Stock; and - authorizing "blank check" preferred stock, the terms and issuance of which can be determined by our Board without any need for action by stockholders. Additionally, as a Delaware corporation, we are also subject to provisions of Delaware law, which may impede or discourage a takeover attempt that our stockholders may find beneficial. For example, Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law prohibits a publicly held Delaware corporation from engaging in a business combination with an interested stockholder, unless the business combination is approved in a prescribed manner. An interested stockholder includes a person, individually or together with any other interested stockholder, who within the last three years has owned 15% or more of our voting stock. We opted out of Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law, but our Certificate of Incorporation includes a similar provision that restricts us from engaging in any business combination with an interested stockholder for three years following the date that person becomes an interested stockholder. Such restrictions, however, do not apply to any business combination between (i) any Founder Post-IPO Member, (ii) any Co-Founder, (iii) any other person in any Co-Founder's permitted ownership group, (iv) any affiliate, successor or Related Party of any of the foregoing or (v) any Permitted Transferee of any of the foregoing. For purposes of this discussion, a person is a "Related Party" of another person if they are an affiliate or successor of such other person or are a "group," or member of any such group, to which such other person is a party under Rule 13d-5 of the Exchange Act. For purposes of this discussion, a person is a "Permitted Transferee" of another person if they (A) acquire (other than in connection with a registered public offering) our voting stock from such other person or any of such other person's Related Parties and (B) are designated in writing by a Founder Post-IPO Member or its successor or assignee as a "Permitted Transferee." These provisions of our Certificate of Incorporation and by-laws and Delaware law could discourage potential takeover attempts and reduce the price that investors might be willing to pay for shares of our Class A Common Stock in the future, which could reduce the market price of our Class A Common Stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 7Our stock price has been, and may in the future be, volatile, and your investment in our Common Stock could decline in value.
The market price of our Class A Common Stock has been, and may in the future be, subject to significant fluctuations in response to a number of factors, most of which we cannot control. These factors include, among others: - our operating and financial performance and prospects;- quarterly variations in the rate of growth (if any) of our financial or operational indicators, such as earnings per share, net income, revenues, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Free Cash Flow, Total Bookings, Total CLEAR Members, Total Cumulative Platform Uses, Annual CLEAR+ Gross Dollar Retention, Active CLEAR+ Members, and Annual CLEAR+ Member Usage;- the public reaction to our press releases, our other public announcements and our filings with the SEC;- strategic actions by our competitors or third parties;- changes in operating performance and the stock market valuations of other companies;- announcements related to litigation;- our failure to meet revenue or earnings estimates made by research analysts or other investors;- changes in revenue or earnings estimates, or changes in recommendations or withdrawal of research coverage, by equity research analysts;- speculation in the press or investment community;- sales of our Common Stock by us or our stockholders, or the perception that such sales may occur;- changes in accounting principles, policies, guidance, interpretations or standards;- additions or departures of key management personnel;- actions by our stockholders;- general market conditions;- domestic and international economic, legal and regulatory factors unrelated to our performance;- material weakness in our internal control over financial reporting; and - the realization of any risks described under this "Risk Factors" section, or other risks that may materialize in the future. Additionally, our operating and financial performance has historically varied from period to period, and we expect that they will continue to do so as a result of a number of factors, many of which are outside of our control and difficult to predict. This variability and unpredictability could result in our failing to meet the expectations of securities analysts or investors for any period. If we fail to meet or exceed such expectations for these or any other reasons, the market price of our Class A Common Stock could fall substantially. Furthermore, in recent years the stock market has experienced significant price and volume fluctuations. This volatility has had a significant impact on the market price of securities issued by many companies. The changes frequently appear to occur without regard to the operating performance of the affected companies. As such, the price of our Class A Common Stock could fluctuate based upon factors that have little or nothing to do with us, and these fluctuations could materially reduce the price of our Class A Common Stock and materially affect the value of your investment.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 8We may issue preferred securities, the terms of which could adversely affect the voting power or value of our Common Stock.
Our Certificate of Incorporation authorizes us to issue, without the approval of our stockholders, one or more classes or series of preferred securities having such designations, preferences, limitations and relative rights, including preferences over our Common Stock respecting dividends and distributions, as our Board may determine. The terms of one or more classes or series of preferred securities could adversely impact the voting power or value of our Common Stock. For example, we might grant holders of preferred securities the right to elect some number of our directors in all events or on the happening of specified events or the right to veto specified transactions. Similarly, the repurchase or redemption rights or liquidation preferences we might assign to holders of preferred securities could affect the residual value of the Common Stock.
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