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Xtant Medical Holdings (XTNT) AI Stock Analysis

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XTNT

Xtant Medical Holdings

(NYSE MKT:XTNT)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:$0.29▼(-4.33% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/29/26

XTNT’s score is primarily held back by unstable profitability and weak/volatile cash generation (including slightly negative TTM free cash flow). Technicals also remain a headwind with price below key moving averages and negative MACD. The latest earnings call adds risk due to reduced revenue guidance, margin pressure, and tighter liquidity, partially offset by credible commercial initiatives (Dilon/HEMOBLAST and salesforce expansion).

Positive Factors
Expanded Commercial CoverageThe Dilon agreement materially expands Xtant’s commercial reach and adds an experienced sales team that can promote HEMOBLAST alongside existing biologics. Broader hospital and materials-management access could support recurring cross-selling and improve adoption over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Revenue ContractionThe revenue decline and lower full-year guide show that current commercial execution is not yet offsetting biologics softness, amnio headwinds, and lost license reimbursements. Persistent top-line pressure can reduce operating leverage, constrain investment capacity, and delay the benefits expected from the expanded sales organization.

Xtant Medical Holdings (XTNT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%XTNT-60.58%SPY+10.42%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$42.09M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.69M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.6
Beta (1Y)
0.80
Revenue Growth
-14.27%
EPS Growth
-132.84%
Country
US
Employees
151
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Medical - Devices

Xtant Medical Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc., a company based in Belgrade, Montana, specializes in the development, production, and distribution of advanced regenerative medicine products and medical devices. The firm primarily serves orthopedic and neurological sur...

How the Company Makes Money

Xtant Medical makes money primarily by selling medical devices and biologic products used in spine and orthopedic procedures. Its key revenue streams generally include: (1) Orthobiologics/biologics revenue from the sale of graft materials and related...

Xtant Medical Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 10, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-32.74%|Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2019
Earnings Call SentimentNegative

The call presents meaningful strategic and commercial progress — notably the Dilon distribution agreement, integration of 17 new sales reps, product launches (Trivium Shaped) and expanded TAM — which position Xtant for future growth. However, the quarter showed significant near-term financial deterioration: sharp year-over-year revenue decline, gross margin compression, a swing to a net loss and negative adjusted EBITDA, reduced cash balances and a modestly reduced full-year revenue guide. Many negative results are tied to one-time transitions (asset sales, license cessation, Dilon integration) and strategic investments, but the immediate financial metrics are weak while visibility into near-term cash/earnings recovery remains uncertain.

Positive Updates

Strategic Dilon Distribution Agreement and Sales Team Integration
Acquired exclusive U.S. distribution rights to Dilon's HEMOBLAST Bellows and hired Dilon's U.S. team of 17 salespeople and 2 regional managers integrated into Xtant's commercial organization; this expands sales coverage and materials-management relationships and is positioned to drive cross-selling of Xtant's biologics portfolio.

Negative Updates

Significant Revenue Decline
Total revenue of $23.0M in Q2 2026 versus $35.4M in Q2 2025 (a decline of ~35%) and versus a pro forma Q2 2025 of $24.8M (a decline of ~7.3%); management cited asset sales to Companion Spine and cessation of certain license reimbursements as drivers.

Company Guidance

Xtant modestly lowered full‑year 2026 revenue guidance to $99 million–$103 million (from $101 million–$105 million previously), citing lower‑than‑expected biologics revenue in Q2 and persistent headwinds in its amnio line through the back half of the year; Q2 revenue was $23.0 million (vs. $35.4M GAAP / $24.8M pro forma in Q2 2025), gross margin was 57.9% (vs. 68.6% LY) and adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $2.7 million (vs. +$6.9M LY). Management stressed it still expects accelerating sequential biologics growth in H2 as the newly integrated Dilon team (17 reps + 2 regional managers) and an expanded field organization (now >25 reps and multiple national accounts) are fully deployed; HEMOBLAST contributed ~$1.5 million in Q2 (primarily recognized net—approximately $600k–$700k of additional revenue would have been recognized if shipped under Xtant POs), and the company continues to model HEMOBLAST transactional volume at over $1 million per month on a gross basis once transitions complete.

Xtant Medical Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are mixed with elevated volatility. Gross margins remain fairly solid, and leverage has improved versus prior periods, but TTM profitability deteriorated back to operating and net losses after a profitable 2025. Cash generation is the main weakness: TTM operating cash flow is modest and free cash flow turned slightly negative, limiting flexibility.

Income Statement

48Neutral

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

35Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue109.53M133.93M117.27M91.30M57.97M55.26M
Gross Profit65.05M84.27M68.22M55.47M32.14M32.49M
EBITDA-2.45M15.89M-7.88M5.08M-5.43M-2.52M
Net Income-11.14M4.97M-16.45M660.00K-8.48M-4.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets79.67M94.14M93.84M92.61M60.23M54.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.87M17.05M6.20M5.71M20.30M18.24M
Total Debt26.01M28.72M35.14M23.56M17.07M16.84M
Total Liabilities39.65M43.19M50.87M41.26M26.06M23.81M
Stockholders Equity40.02M50.95M42.96M51.35M34.17M30.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-696.00K10.16M-16.01M-10.97M-7.11M-1.68M
Operating Cash Flow570.00K12.55M-11.90M-9.52M-5.34M439.00K
Investing Cash Flow14.39M7.90M-3.73M-24.78M-1.56M-1.89M
Financing Cash Flow-12.03M-9.57M16.07M19.69M9.02M17.50M

Xtant Medical Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price0.30

Price Trends

50DMA0.33Negative
100DMA0.37Negative
200DMA0.45Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.01Negative
RSI46.87Neutral
STOCH36.78Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XTNT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.30 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.30, below the 50-day MA of 0.33, and below the 200-day MA of 0.45, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XTNT.

Xtant Medical Holdings Risk Analysis

Xtant Medical Holdings disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xtant Medical Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

1 New Risk
1.In April 2026, we entered into a Distribution Agreement with Dilon Technologies, Inc. and hired sales personnel in connection therewith, which will result in increased sales and marketing costs and involves other risks, which could adversely affect our business, operating results, and financial condition.Q2, 2026

Xtant Medical Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

XTNT against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
SYKSYK75Outperform$129.30B35.4615.61%1.05%7.87%22.82%
ZBHZBH69Neutral$21.01B26.916.05%0.90%6.98%-2.22%
BVSBVS66Neutral$962.26M12.6227.23%―3.87%623.68%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
OFIXOFIX50Neutral$395.92M-5.81-14.05%―2.99%51.77%
IARTIART47Neutral$1.15B84.151.24%―0.84%―
XTNTXTNT44Neutral$41.53M-3.65-23.45%―-14.27%-132.84%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%XTNTIARTOFIXSYKZBHBVSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
XTNT and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
XTNTXtant Medical Holdings Inc0.30-0.45-60.11%
IARTIntegra Lifesciences14.122.0817.28%
OFIXOrthofix Medical Inc.8.92-6.04-40.37%
SYKStryker Corp335.08-17.05-4.84%
ZBHZimmer Biomet Holdings106.8519.2922.03%
BVSBioventus, Inc.10.683.2343.36%

Xtant Medical Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Xtant Medical Stockholders Approve Governance and Leadership Items

Positive
Aug 7, 2026

On August 7, 2026, Xtant Medical Holdings, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, with a quorum of 74.47% of outstanding common shares present or represented by proxy. Six board nominees were elected to serve until the next annual meeting, wit...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2026