Exxon Mobil (XOM) Risk Analysis

To maintain our competitive position, especially in light of the technological nature of our businesses, the dynamic and rapidly evolving technological landscape, and the need for continuous efficiency improvement, ExxonMobil's technology, research, and development organizations must be successful and able to adapt to a changing market, regulatory, and policy environment, both nationally and internationally, including continuous improvement in the efficiency of hydraulic fracturing technology and developing technologies to help reduce greenhouse gas emissions. To remain competitive, we must also continuously adapt and capture the benefits of new and emerging technologies, such as AI, including successfully applying advances in the ability to process and integrate large amounts of data to our businesses and decision-making processes.

Even in countries with well-developed legal systems where ExxonMobil does business, we remain exposed to changes in law or interpretation or enforcement of settled law, including changes that result from concerted efforts to increase our legal exposure by groups opposed to the products we provide or international treaties and accords or changes by local jurisdictions encroaching on national regulatory frameworks or global issues or changes resulting from imposition of extraterritorial laws and regulations, and changes in government policy or priorities that could adversely affect our results, such as: - increases or changes in taxes, duties, or government royalty rates, including retroactive claims, punitive taxes on oil, gas and petrochemical operations, windfall profit taxes, or global minimum taxes;- price controls;- changes in environmental, advertising, insurance or other regulations or laws that penalize us for past or current production of legal and/or permitted products and operations, increase our cost of operation or compliance or reduce or delay available business opportunities, including changes in laws or regulations affecting offshore drilling operations, standards to complete decommissioning, standards for water use or availability, production of our products, emissions, hydraulic fracturing, or production or use of new or recycled plastics, as well as laws and regulations affecting trading, carbon capture and storage, hydrogen and ammonia, lower-emission fuels, ProxximaTM resin systems, carbon materials, low-carbon data centers, or lithium;- actions by governments, policy-makers, regulators, or other actors to delay or deny necessary licenses and permits, restrict the availability of oil and gas leases, investment opportunities, or the transportation or export of our products, pause, reduce, or retract government incentives for emissions reductions, disrupt or impact reliability as a result of policy decisions on types and pricing of energy available, or otherwise require changes in the Company's business or strategy that could result in reduced returns;- regulatory interpretations that exclude or disfavor our products under government policies or programs intended to support new or developing markets or technologies, or that otherwise are not technology-neutral;- adoption of regulations mandating efficiency standards, emission standards, procurement standards, the use of alternative fuels, or uncompetitive fuel components;- use of regulatory or legal standards by any nation or supranational body as a foreign policy tool;- unstable policies or shifting regulations impacting new or emerging markets;- adoption of disclosure regulations that could create competitive disadvantages, require us to incur disproportionate costs, increase legal risk due to a need to rely on uncertain estimates or extrapolations (such as emissions of third parties) and lack of uniform standards across jurisdictions, require us to make statements we disagree with, or require us to disclose competitively sensitive commercial information or to violate the non-disclosure laws of other countries; and - government actions to cancel contracts, redenominate the official currency, renounce or default on obligations, impose unwarranted penalties, renegotiate terms unilaterally, expropriate assets, or compel a change in production plans. Legal remedies available to compensate us for expropriation or other takings may be inadequate. We also may be adversely affected by the outcome of litigation, including class actions or arbitrations, especially in countries such as the United States that permit large and unpredictable punitive and non-economic damage awards. Other jurisdictions adopting similar models to impose liability schemes on our products or operations may present similar risks. We also may be adversely affected by government investigations or enforcement proceedings alleging non-compliance with applicable laws or regulations, or by state and local government actors as well as private plaintiffs acting in parallel that attempt to use the legal system to promote public policy agendas (including seeking to reduce the production and sale of hydrocarbon products through litigation targeting the Company or other industry participants), gain political notoriety, or obtain monetary awards from the Company. The continued adoption of similar legal practices in the European Union or elsewhere would broaden this risk.

Our results depend on management's ability to minimize the inherent risks of oil, gas, and petrochemical operations, as well as potential risks related to new energy and other technologies, to effectively control our business activities, including trading, and to minimize the potential for human error. We apply rigorous management systems and continuous focus on workplace safety, spills avoidance, and other adverse environmental events. For example, we work to minimize spills through a combined program of effective operations integrity management, ongoing upgrades, key equipment replacements, and comprehensive inspection and surveillance. Similarly, we are implementing cost-effective new technologies and adopting new operating practices to reduce emissions, not only in response to government requirements but also to address community priorities. We employ a robust and actively evolving enterprise risk management system to identify and manage risk across our businesses. We also maintain a disciplined framework of internal controls and apply a controls management system for monitoring compliance with this framework. Substantial liabilities and other adverse impacts could result if we do not timely identify and mitigate applicable risks, or if our management systems and controls do not function as intended.

Other factors that may affect the demand for oil, gas, petrochemicals or our other products, and therefore our results, include technological improvements in energy efficiency; seasonal weather patterns; increased competitiveness of, or government policy support for, alternative energy sources or potential substitutes for our products; changes in technology that alter fuel choices, such as technological advances in energy storage or other critical areas that make wind, solar, nuclear, or other alternatives more competitive for power generation; government actions to increase strategic reserves to enhance energy security; increased demand for artificial intelligence (AI), including the construction and expansion of AI data centers; changes in customer or consumer preferences for our products, including consumer demand for alternative-fueled or electric transportation or alternatives to plastic products; and broad-based changes in personal income levels. See also "Climate Change and Energy Transition" below.

The long-term success of ExxonMobil's Upstream and Product Solutions businesses, as well as the future success of LCS and other emerging investments, depends on complex, long-term, capital-intensive projects. These projects in turn require a high degree of project management expertise to maximize efficiency. Specific factors that can affect the performance of major projects include our ability to: negotiate successfully with joint venturers, partners, governments, suppliers, customers, or others; protect and enforce our contractual and legal rights, including with our joint venture partners, host governments, and others; model and optimize reservoir performance and production reliability; develop markets for project outputs, whether through long-term contracts or the development of effective spot markets; qualify for certain incentives available under supportive government policies for emerging markets and technologies; manage changes in operating conditions and costs, including costs of third-party equipment or services such as drilling rigs and shipping, supply chain disruptions, and inflationary cost pressures; prevent, to the extent possible, and respond effectively to unforeseen technical difficulties that could delay project start-up, incur or escalate costs, or cause unscheduled project downtime; and influence the performance of project operators where ExxonMobil does not perform that role. In addition to the effective management of individual projects, ExxonMobil's success, including our ability to mitigate risk and provide attractive returns to shareholders, depends on our ability to successfully manage our overall portfolio, including diversification among types and locations of our projects, products produced, and strategies to acquire or divest assets. We may not be able to acquire or divest assets at a price or on the timeline we contemplate in our strategies. Additionally, we may retain certain liabilities following a divestment and could be held liable for past use or for different liabilities than anticipated, including reversion of decommissioning or other liabilities upon bankruptcy or other default of successors in title. The term "project" as used in this report can refer to a variety of different activities and does not necessarily have the same meaning as in any government payment transparency reports.