Viewray (VRAYQ) Risk Analysis
Risk Overview Q1, 2023
Source: the company's latest filing for the period ended Mar 31, 2023, filed May 11, 2023
Risk Change Over Time
- Accounting & Financial Operations - Risk 1The Company's ability to operate as a going concern is in doubt.
Management must evaluate whether there are conditions or events, considered in the aggregate, that raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern each reporting period. We have a history of significant net losses, including $28.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023, and net cash used in operations of $53.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023. Our current operating plan indicates we will continue to incur net losses and generate negative cash flows from operating activities. On April 13, 2023, we announced we have retained Goldman Sachs and Co. LLC as a financial advisor to undertake an evaluation of strategic alternatives, including a corporate sale, merger, or business combination. Effective May 10, 2023 the Company entered into a Standstill Agreement with the Lender, pursuant to which the Company agreed to: (i) a prepayment of the term loan in the principal amount of $17,500,000 and the revolving credit facility in a principal amount of $3,540,480, respectively; and (ii) certain information rights regarding the status and prospects for completion by the Company of a strategic transaction. Lender agreed to refrain from exercising certain of their rights and remedies against the Company during a standstill period from May 10, 2023 through August 31, 2023, or longer if the Company has received sufficient additional funding following consummation of a strategic transaction, subject to additional covenants concerning: (i) achievement of strategic transaction milestones and (ii) maintenance of a minimum cash balance. The Company paid the $17,500,000 term loan amount and $3,540,480 revolving credit facility amount on May 10, 2023. Additionally, we are already undertaking a number of actions in order to improve our financial position and stabilize our working capital, including, but not limited to, cost reduction efforts and cash conversion initiatives; however, no assurance can be provided as to the effectiveness of those initiatives. If we are unable to obtain additional capital or engage in a strategic alternative, we will assess our capital resources and may be required to delay, pivot, reduce the scope of, or eliminate some or all of our operations, or downsize our organization, any of which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and ability to operate as a going concern. Although we have been reviewing a number of potential alternatives to improve our working capital, such alternatives may not be achievable under favorable conditions, or at all, and therefore we may be unable to meet our obligations as they become due within twelve months after the date that our financial statements as of and for the period ended March 31, 2023 are issued, or at all, and these conditions and events in the aggregate raise substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going concern within twelve months after the date that such financial statements are issued. The Company's condensed consolidated financial statements do not include any adjustments that may result from the outcome of this uncertainty and have been prepared assuming we will continue as a going concern.
- Debt & Financing - Risk 2Adverse developments affecting the financial services industry could adversely affect our current and projected business operations and our financial condition and results of operations.
Substantially all of our cash and cash equivalents were held in accounts with SVB at the time it was closed by state regulators, and the FDIC was appointed receiver for SVB, on March 10, 2023. The FDIC created a successor bridge bank for SVB and all deposits of SVB were transferred to the bridge bank under a systemic risk exception approved by the United States Department of the Treasury, the Federal Reserve and the FDIC. Beginning Monday, March 13, 2023, we moved the majority of our cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments held at SVB to other financial institutions. At present, we hold less than 5% of our cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments with SVB and intend to hold a de minimus amount with SVB going forward, pending the resolution of SVB's closure and receivership under the FDIC. If financial institutions in which we hold funds for working capital and operating expenses were to fail or become subject to significant adverse conditions in the financial or credit markets, we could be subject to a risk of loss of all or a portion of our uninsured funds or be subject to a delay in accessing all or a portion of our uninsured funds, and we cannot provide any assurances that governmental agencies would take action to protect our uninsured deposits in a similar manner. Any loss or lack of access to these funds could adversely impact our short-term liquidity and ability to meet our operating expense obligations. In addition, widespread investor concerns regarding the U.S. or international financial systems could result in less favorable commercial financing terms, including higher interest rates or costs and tighter financial and operating covenants, or systemic limitations on access to credit and liquidity sources, thereby making it more difficult for us to acquire financing on acceptable terms or at all. Any decline in available funding or access to our cash and liquidity resources could, among other risks, adversely impact our ability to meet our operating expenses, financial obligations or fulfill our other obligations, and/or result in breaches of our financial and/or contractual obligations. Any of these impacts, or any other impacts resulting from the factors described above or other related or similar factors not described above, could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity and our current and/or projected business operations and financial condition and results of operations. Further, we are party to a Credit Agreement with First-Citizens and MidCap. If we are unable to access the remaining incremental funds under our revolving credit facility, it could also adversely impact our operating liquidity and financial performance. In addition, if any parties with whom we conduct business are unable to access funds pursuant to such instruments or lending arrangements with such a financial institution, such parties' ability to pay their obligations to us or to enter into new commercial arrangements requiring additional payments to us could be adversely affected.
Risk Highlights Q1, 2023
Risk Word Cloud
Risk Factors Full Breakdown - Total Risks 75
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 1If securities or industry analysts do not publish research, or publish inaccurate or unfavorable research, about our business, our stock price and trading volume could decline.
The trading market for our common stock will depend, in part, on the research and reports that securities or industry analysts publish about us or our business. If one or more of the analysts who cover us downgrade our common stock or publish inaccurate or unfavorable research about our business, our stock price could decline. In addition, if our operating results fail to meet the forecast of analysts, our stock price could decline. If one or more of these analysts cease coverage of the Company or fail to publish reports on us regularly, demand for our common stock could decrease, which might cause our stock price and trading volume to decline.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 2Provisions of our charter documents or Delaware law could delay or prevent an acquisition of the Company, even if such an acquisition would be beneficial to our stockholders, which could make it more difficult for you to change management.
Provisions in our certificate of incorporation and our bylaws may discourage, delay or prevent a merger, acquisition or other change in control that stockholders may consider favorable, including transactions in which stockholders might otherwise receive a premium for their shares. In addition, these provisions may frustrate or prevent any attempt by our stockholders to replace or remove our current management by making it more difficult to replace or remove our board of directors. These provisions include: - a classified board of directors, so that not all directors are elected at one time;- a prohibition on stockholder action through written consent;- no cumulative voting in the election of directors;- the exclusive right of our board of directors to elect a director to fill a vacancy created by the expansion of the board of directors or the resignation, death or removal of a director;- a requirement that special meetings of stockholders be called only by the board of directors, the chairman of the board of directors, the chief executive officer or, in the absence of a chief executive officer, the president;- an advance notice requirement for stockholder proposals and nominations;- the authority of our board of directors to issue preferred stock with such terms as our board of directors may determine; and - a requirement of approval of not less than 66 2/3% of all outstanding shares of our capital stock entitled to vote to amend any bylaws by stockholder action, or to amend specific provisions of our certificate of incorporation. In addition, Delaware law prohibits a publicly held Delaware corporation from engaging in a business combination with an interested stockholder, generally a person who, together with its affiliates, owns, or within the last three years has owned, 15% or more of our voting stock, for a period of three years after the date of the transaction in which the person became an interested stockholder, unless the business combination is approved in a prescribed manner. Accordingly, Delaware law may discourage, delay or prevent a change in control of the Company. Furthermore, our certificate of incorporation specifies that the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware will be the sole and exclusive forum for most legal actions involving actions brought against us by stockholders. We believe this provision benefits us by providing increased consistency in the application of Delaware law by chancellors particularly experienced in resolving corporate disputes, efficient administration of cases on a more expedited schedule relative to other forums and protection against the burdens of multi-forum litigation. However, the provision may have the effect of discouraging lawsuits against our directors and officers. The enforceability of similar choice of forum provisions in other companies' certificates of incorporation has been challenged in legal proceedings, and it is possible that, in connection with any applicable action brought against us, a court could find the choice of forum provisions contained in our certificate of incorporation to be inapplicable or unenforceable in such action. Provisions in our charter documents and other provisions of Delaware law could limit the price that investors are willing to pay in the future for shares of our common stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 3Our principal stockholders and management own a significant percentage of our stock and will be able to exert significant control over matters subject to stockholder approval.
Based on the beneficial ownership of our common stock at December 31, 2022, our officers and directors, together with holders of 5% or more of our outstanding common stock and their respective affiliates, beneficially own approximately 57% of our common stock. Accordingly, these stockholders will continue to have significant influence over the outcome of corporate actions requiring stockholder approval, including the election of directors, merger, consolidation or sale of all or substantially all of our assets or any other significant corporate transaction. Further, Fosun International Limited (Fosun) has the right pursuant to certain securities purchase agreements to request appointment of a representative of Fosun as a non-voting observer to our board of directors, subject to meeting certain continuing stock ownership thresholds. Currently, no such non-voting observer has been appointed by Fosun. The interests of these stockholders may not be the same as or may even conflict with your interests. For example, these stockholders could delay or prevent a change in control of the Company, even if such a change in control would benefit our other stockholders, which could deprive our stockholders of an opportunity to receive a premium for their common stock as part of a sale of the Company or our assets and might affect the prevailing price of our common stock. The significant concentration of stock ownership may negatively impact the price of our common stock due to investors' perception that conflicts of interest may exist or arise.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 4You may experience dilution of your ownership interests because of the future issuance of additional shares of our common or preferred stock or other securities that are convertible into or exercisable for our common or preferred stock.
In the future, we may issue our authorized but previously unissued equity securities, resulting in the dilution of the ownership interests of our present stockholders and the purchasers of our common stock. We are authorized to issue an aggregate of 300,000,000 shares of common stock and 10,000,000 shares of "blank check" preferred stock. We may issue additional shares of our common stock or other securities that are convertible into or exercisable for our common stock in connection with hiring or retaining employees, future acquisitions, future sales of our securities for capital raising purposes, or for other business purposes. The future issuance of any such additional shares of our common stock may create downward pressure on the trading price of the common stock. We may need to raise additional capital in the near future to meet our working capital needs, and there can be no assurance that we will not be required to issue additional shares, warrants or other convertible securities in the future in conjunction with these capital raising efforts, including at a price (or exercise prices) below the price you paid for your stock.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 5Future sales of our common stock or securities convertible or exchangeable for our common stock may cause our stock price to decline.
If our existing stockholders or option holders sell, or indicate an intention to sell, substantial amounts of our common stock in the public market after any applicable legal restrictions on resale lapse, the price of our common stock could decline. The perception in the market that these sales may occur could also cause the price of our common stock to decline. At December 31, 2022, we have outstanding a total of 181,586,944 shares of common stock. In addition, at December 31, 2022, 15.3 million shares of our common stock were issuable upon exercise of options or vesting of restricted stock units, performance stock units, and deferred stock units issued under our stock incentive plans and there were 8.8 million shares of our common stock available for issuance under our stock incentive plans and employee stock purchase plan. These shares will become eligible for sale in the public market to the extent permitted by the provisions of various vesting schedules and Rule 144 under the Securities Act, which includes, for shares held by directors, executive officers and other affiliates, volume limitations under Rule 144 under the Securities Act. From time to time, we may request additional shares if we anticipate that equity-based compensation needs may exceed the remaining shares available under the 2015 Equity Incentive Award Plan (as amended and restated, the "2015 Plan"). If the shares we may issue from time to time under the 2015 Plan, the 2018 Inducement Plan (the "2018 Plan") or the 2015 Employee Stock Purchase Plan (as amended and restated, the "ESPP") are sold, or if it is perceived that they will be sold, by the award recipients in the public market, the price of our common stock could decline.
- Share Price & Shareholder Rights - Risk 6The price of our common stock may be volatile and may be influenced by numerous factors, some of which are beyond our control.
Factors that could cause volatility in the market price of our common stock include, but are not limited to: - impacts to our business operations caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and its follow-on effects;- actual or anticipated fluctuations in our financial condition and operating results;- actual or anticipated changes in our growth rate relative to our competitors or market expectations;- commercial success and market acceptance of MRIdian;- success of our competitors in discovering, developing or commercializing products;- ability to commercialize or obtain regulatory approvals for MRIdian, or delays in commercializing or obtaining regulatory approvals;- strategic transactions undertaken by us;- additions or departures of key personnel;- product liability claims;- prevailing economic conditions;- disputes concerning our intellectual property or other proprietary rights;- FDA or other U.S. or foreign regulatory actions affecting us or the healthcare industry;- healthcare reform measures in the United States;- sales of our common stock by our officers, directors or significant stockholders;- future sales or issuances of equity or debt securities by us;- business disruptions caused by earthquakes, tornadoes or other natural disasters; and - changes in the manner that investors and securities analysts who provide research on us to the marketplace analyze the value of our common stock. In addition, the stock markets in general, and the markets for medical device companies in particular, have experienced extreme volatility that have been often unrelated to the operating performance of the issuer. These broad market fluctuations may negatively impact the price or liquidity of our common stock. In the past, when the price of a stock has been volatile, holders of that stock have sometimes instituted securities class action litigation against the issuer. In the past, we have incurred substantial costs in defending such litigation matters, and any future lawsuits of this type could cause us to incur substantial defense costs and could divert our management's attention from the operation of our business.
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