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Verde Clean Fuels (VGAS) AI Stock Analysis

VGAS

Verde Clean Fuels

(NASDAQ:VGAS)

Select Model
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:$0.96â–¼(-2.63% Downside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/11/26

The score is driven mainly by weak financial performance, especially the lack of revenue and persistent cash burn. Technicals are only mildly supportive, while valuation offers little help because profitability remains negative.

Positive Factors
Very Low LeverageVery low leverage limits mandatory debt-service demands and reduces near-term solvency pressure while the company develops its technology. This balance-sheet flexibility can preserve strategic options and make it easier to direct capital toward commercialization rather than refinancing obligations.
Negative Factors
No Revenue and Persistent LossesThe absence of reported revenue means commercialization has not yet translated into an operating business, while persistent net and EBIT losses show substantial ongoing costs. Without a revenue base, profitability and margin durability remain unproven over the next several quarters.

Verde Clean Fuels (VGAS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%VGAS-69.52%SPY+13.13%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$45.22M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
140.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-3.1
Beta (1Y)
1.44
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
19.55%
Country
US
Employees
12
Sector
Utilities
Sector Strength
66
Industry
Renewable Utilities

Verde Clean Fuels Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. is primarily engaged in providing gasoline and various other fuels, which it produces from either sustainable resources or natural gas. The company excels at transforming synthesis gas (syngas) — originating from diverse mater...

How the Company Makes Money

Verde Clean Fuels’ intended revenue model is centered on commercializing its proprietary STG technology rather than primarily earning revenue from selling large volumes of fuel. Key potential revenue streams include: (1) Licensing fees: payments from...

Verde Clean Fuels Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The financial profile is very weak overall. The balance sheet is the strongest point because debt is very low, but this is outweighed by no reported revenue, persistent operating losses, and continued negative operating and free cash flow.

Income Statement

18Very Negative

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

22Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue000000
Gross Profit-195.56K-368.00K-322.09K-544.47K-247.88K0
EBITDA-9.45M-13.66M-10.14M-9.55M2.97M-225.43K
Net Income-6.57M-14.13M-3.33M-2.74M2.72M-12.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets56.82M60.25M23.57M31.93M6.36M2.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.45M57.22M19.04M28.78M463.48K87.64K
Total Debt359.00K186.00K232.16K939.15K334.34K312.28K
Total Liabilities2.08M2.11M2.89M3.10M5.25M9.32M
Stockholders Equity28.83M29.86M10.25M11.10M1.10M-6.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.57M-16.57M-11.43M-9.18M-3.28M-2.63M
Operating Cash Flow-6.45M-8.89M-8.88M-9.12M-3.28M-2.63M
Investing Cash Flow-2.15M-2.39M-854.93K-58.59K-4,411-290.10K
Financing Cash Flow-10849.45M037.52M3.66M1.95M

Verde Clean Fuels Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.99

Price Trends

50DMA1.17Negative
100DMA1.20Negative
200DMA1.44Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Negative
RSI42.29Neutral
STOCH53.35Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VGAS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.99 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.03, below the 50-day MA of 1.17, and below the 200-day MA of 1.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VGAS.

Verde Clean Fuels Risk Analysis

Verde Clean Fuels disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Verde Clean Fuels reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Verde Clean Fuels Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

VGAS against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *66Neutral$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
NRGVNRGV46Neutral$561.88M-4.83-236.75%―336.76%31.16%
WAVEWAVE44Neutral$29.64M-7.94-56.33%―-77.09%-15.59%
NXXTNXXT42Neutral$4.63M-0.07312.90%―90.34%89.86%
VGASVGAS40Underperform$44.76M-3.11-21.80%――19.55%
HTOOHTOO31Underperform$12.78M-21.90-11.34%―75.69%84.18%

* Utilities Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%50%100%VGASHTOONRGVWAVENXXTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
VGAS and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
VGASVerde Clean Fuels, Inc.1.01-2.17-68.08%
HTOOFusion Fuel Green Plc1.70-1.87-52.38%
NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc.3.09-0.10-3.13%
WAVEEco Wave Power Global Ab4.75-2.17-31.36%
NXXTNextnrg, Inc.2.75-176.25-98.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2026