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TherapeuticsMD (TXMD) AI Stock Analysis

TXMD

TherapeuticsMD

(NASDAQ:TXMD)

Select Model
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:$2.00â–²(11.11% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/26/26

TXMD scores below average, driven primarily by weak fundamentals: TTM revenue of only $3.3M, continued operating losses, and a business that has effectively wound down to a royalty-collection vehicle. Offsetting strengths include a de-levered balance sheet ($5.6M debt versus $27.1M equity), positive operating cash flow of $3.1M TTM, and $9.2M of cash. Valuation provides no cushion given negative earnings and no dividend. Technicals are the brightest spot, with price above all key moving averages, though an RSI above 74 signals the move is overbought. The pending strategic alternatives review introduces meaningful uncertainty — it could unlock value through a transaction, but declining royalty revenue and rising expenses in the interim keep the risk profile elevated.

Positive Factors
Improved Cash GenerationPositive operating and free cash flow mark a meaningful recovery from deeply negative operating cash flow in 2023. This improves the company’s ability to fund obligations internally and provides greater resilience while the royalty-focused model remains under pressure.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue BaseThe small and declining revenue base limits the company’s ability to support its operating structure and sustain investment in future growth. Continued contraction also increases dependence on existing licensed products and makes earnings more vulnerable to changes in royalty-related sales.

TherapeuticsMD (TXMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%TXMD+53.85%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$20.83M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
23.67K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-95.7
Beta (1Y)
1.08
Revenue Growth
27.78%
EPS Growth
52.88%
Country
US
Employees
1
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

TherapeuticsMD Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TherapeuticsMD, Inc. is a U.S.-based pharmaceutical company dedicated to women's health. Its marketed portfolio includes IMVEXXY, prescribed for moderate to severe dyspareunia; BIJUVA, a bio-identical hormone replacement therapy combining 17ß-estradi...

How the Company Makes Money

TherapeuticsMD has generated revenue primarily through out-licensing/partnering arrangements for its product portfolio rather than through building a fully integrated, long-term direct commercial sales model. Under these types of agreements, the comp...

TherapeuticsMD Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials reflect a micro-cap in the final stage of a wind-down. The income statement is the weakest link (score 25): TTM revenue of just $3.3M versus $70M in 2022, with operating margins deeply negative (-142% EBIT margin), though losses have narrowed sharply to -$217K TTM. The balance sheet is the strongest element (score 55), with equity restored to $27.1M from -$93.6M in 2021, debt cut from $197.7M to $5.6M, and a conservative 0.20 debt-to-equity ratio. Cash flow (score 48) has flipped positive at $3.1M TTM after massive historical outflows. The de-risking and improving trajectory are genuine positives, but the tiny revenue base, lack of operating profitability, and shrinking asset base cap the score well below average.

Income Statement

25Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.27M3.02M1.76M1.30M69.96M2.57M
Gross Profit2.94M3.02M1.76M1.30M68.57M1.17M
EBITDA-3.96M-3.02M-4.33M-7.60M11.86M-78.84M
Net Income-217.00K-569.00K-2.18M-10.28M112.00M-172.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.53M37.66M38.82M43.31M90.46M169.47M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.19M7.48M5.06M4.33M38.07M64.91M
Total Debt5.56M6.10M7.17M8.01M8.76M197.69M
Total Liabilities10.40M10.78M11.45M14.02M55.31M263.09M
Stockholders Equity27.13M26.88M27.37M29.29M35.14M-93.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.12M2.42M732.00K0-4.43M-147.84M
Operating Cash Flow3.12M2.42M732.00K-48.14M-4.08M-147.81M
Investing Cash Flow0000223.48M-2.22M
Financing Cash Flow0003.15M-235.21M134.67M

TherapeuticsMD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.80

Price Trends

50DMA2.05Negative
100DMA2.05Negative
200DMA2.12Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.07Positive
RSI33.34Neutral
STOCH25.80Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TXMD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.80 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.91, below the 50-day MA of 2.05, and below the 200-day MA of 2.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TXMD.

TherapeuticsMD Risk Analysis

TherapeuticsMD disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TherapeuticsMD reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

TherapeuticsMD Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

TXMD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
AYTUAYTU62Neutral$20.98M-1.41-52.89%―-13.27%27.11%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
TXMDTXMD47Neutral$20.83M-95.74-0.80%―27.78%52.88%
PRPHPRPH41Neutral$139.52K-0.00-1358.66%―――
RDHLRDHL41Neutral$3.45M-2.85206.75%―――

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-100%-50%0%50%100%TXMDPRPHRDHLAYTUGELSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TXMD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TXMDTherapeuticsmd Inc1.800.6556.52%
PRPHProphase Labs0.01-3.24-99.69%
RDHLRedHill Biopharma Ltd0.39-0.88-69.53%
AYTUAytu BioScience1.93-0.28-12.67%
GELSGelteq Limited0.49-0.63-56.25%

TherapeuticsMD Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

TherapeuticsMD Q2 Results and Strategic Alternatives Review

Negative
Aug 11, 2026

On August 11, 2026, TherapeuticsMD reported second quarter 2026 results for the period ended June 30, highlighting net income from continuing operations of $164 thousand, down from $545 thousand a year earlier. License revenue slipped to $869 thousan...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2026