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Shin Shin Natural Gas Co., Ltd. (9918) AI Stock Analysis

TW:9918

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co., Ltd.

(TWSE:9918)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:TWD 44.00▲(5.64% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

Shin Shin Natural Gas scores in the middle of the range. The dominant positive is an exceptionally safe balance sheet — essentially no debt, equity funding 57% of assets — combined with the steady revenue and ~30% gross margins typical of a regulated gas distributor, plus a reasonable 15.4x P/E and a 3.62% dividend yield. The main drags are deteriorating profitability (net income -28%, net margin down to 13.9%, ROE at 8.6%), a 30% decline in operating cash flow, and thin, volatile free cash flow caused by sustained infrastructure spending. Technicals add further caution, with the shares below all major moving averages and MACD negative. This profile suits investors prioritising stability and income over growth, with earnings volatility and capital efficiency the key risks to monitor.

Positive Factors
Very Low LeverageThe exceptionally low debt burden reduces financial strain and gives the company substantial flexibility through changing operating conditions. A strong equity-funded balance sheet can support infrastructure needs, protect resilience during earnings volatility, and preserve capacity for future investment or shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue DeclineThe latest revenue contraction interrupts the company's previously broad stability and raises concern about the durability of near-term demand, pricing, or customer mix. If the weaker top-line trend persists, it could reduce operating leverage, constrain reinvestment, and weaken the earnings base supporting the utility business.

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co., Ltd. (9918) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%TW:9918+8.25%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 7.40B
Dividend Yield
3.60%
Average Volume (3M)
20.97K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.2
Beta (1Y)
-0.15
Revenue Growth
-1.20%
EPS Growth
39.54%
Country
TW
Employees
184
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Regulated Gas

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shin Shin Natural Gas Company Limited functions as a primary provider of natural gas services throughout Taiwan. Beyond its core distribution activities, the enterprise is also engaged in the manufacturing, sale, and international trade (import and e...

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A blend of the Income Statement (64), Balance Sheet (82) and Cash Flow (63) scores. The balance sheet is the clear strength: total debt of just NT$60.8 million against NT$3.31 billion of equity (debt/equity of 0.02) leaves the company effectively debt-free with ample capacity to fund network investment. Revenue grew about 3% to NT$2.05 billion and gross margin of 29.8% was the best in five years, reflecting the predictability of regulated gas distribution. Offsetting this, profitability weakened sharply: net income fell roughly 28% to NT$285.8 million, net margin compressed from 19.9% to 13.9%, ROE slipped to 8.6%, and operating cash flow declined about 30% to NT$421.8 million. Free cash flow returned to positive at NT$104.4 million but converts only a quarter of net income due to heavy pipeline capex, and has been erratic year to year. Net result: very low financial risk and dependable revenue, but declining returns and modest capital efficiency.

Income Statement

64Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.02B2.05B1.99B1.93B1.95B1.79B
Gross Profit576.21M612.06M591.52M564.93M571.82M495.60M
EBITDA652.48M621.20M738.05M669.19M457.56M634.87M
Net Income474.76M285.84M397.41M355.88M143.86M342.39M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.10B5.86B5.97B5.75B5.33B5.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B1.77B1.99B2.49B2.02B1.33B
Total Debt41.35M60.83M65.44M25.81M35.85M24.81M
Total Liabilities2.72B2.55B2.67B2.58B2.34B2.20B
Stockholders Equity3.38B3.31B3.31B3.17B2.99B3.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow107.47M104.39M-293.87M208.41M281.42M241.84M
Operating Cash Flow466.60M421.75M598.54M498.88M572.30M504.09M
Investing Cash Flow-99.34M-286.36M-207.47M-501.54M-328.74M-171.16M
Financing Cash Flow-308.46M-289.28M-270.95M-176.17M-305.61M-288.29M

Shin Shin Natural Gas Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:9918 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:8917TW:891766NeutralTWD 8.43B20.80―4.05%-0.67%16.86%
TW:9918TW:991863NeutralTWD 7.41B15.24―3.60%-1.20%39.54%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%TW:9918TW:8917Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:9918 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:9918Shin Shin Natural Gas Co., Ltd.41.653.278.52%
TW:8917Hsin Tai Gas Co., Ltd.51.80-4.33-7.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026