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Ta-Yuan Cogeneration Co. Ltd. (8931) AI Stock Analysis

TW:8931

Ta-Yuan Cogeneration Co. Ltd.

(TPEx:8931)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:TWD 41.00â–¼(-2.03% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

The score reflects a stable but pressured utility. Dependable operating cash flow and double-digit return on equity (11.3%) are genuine strengths, but three consecutive years of revenue decline, clear margin erosion, rising leverage (1.37x debt-to-equity) and persistently negative free cash flow weigh on the financial profile. Technicals add to the caution, with the price below all key moving averages and a negative MACD indicating weak momentum. Valuation is mixed: a near-4% dividend yield is appealing, but a 35.5x P/E looks rich relative to declining earnings. Low beta suggests defensive characteristics, yet the fundamental and technical trends keep the overall assessment near the middle of the range.

Positive Factors
Stable ProfitabilityStable net margins of roughly 9–13% and EBITDA margins near 20–25% indicate a resilient operating model. For a regulated utility, this profitability base can support ongoing operations and help preserve earnings capacity even as growth has weakened.
Negative Factors
Multi-Year Revenue DeclineSeveral consecutive years of revenue decline point to weakening business momentum rather than a temporary quarterly fluctuation. If the trend persists, it could reduce operating scale, constrain earnings growth, and make it harder to sustain the company’s current profitability profile.

Ta-Yuan Cogeneration Co. Ltd. (8931) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%TW:8931-12.48%SPY+10.92%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 5.17B
Dividend Yield
3.82%
Average Volume (3M)
65.40K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
36.4
Beta (1Y)
0.22
Revenue Growth
0.74%
EPS Growth
-57.93%
Country
TW
Employees
195
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Regulated Electric

Ta-Yuan Cogeneration Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Based in Taoyuan City, Taiwan, Ta-Yuan Cogeneration Company Ltd. specializes in the cogeneration business. Established in 1993, its operations also extend to equipment maintenance and management, waste disposal services, the oversight of incinerators...

Ta-Yuan Cogeneration Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Ta-Yuan Cogeneration is consistently profitable and generates strong operating cash flow of about NT$679 million (up ~42% and nearly 3x net income), reflecting high earnings quality typical of a capital-intensive power producer. However, revenue has declined for three straight years to roughly NT$2.47 billion, and margins have compressed across the board (gross 21.9% to 16.7%, net 11.3% to 9.2%), cutting net income ~19% to about NT$229 million. Leverage has risen materially, with debt-to-equity climbing from 0.89 to 1.37 against a flat-to-lower equity base, while heavy capital spending keeps free cash flow slightly negative at about -NT$27 million. The result is a steady but moderately strained financial profile.

Income Statement

53Neutral

Balance Sheet

52Neutral

Cash Flow

58Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.56B2.47B2.52B2.72B2.86B2.00B
Gross Profit327.73M413.14M551.05M536.91M602.03M363.76M
EBITDA507.89M568.10M632.40M624.89M701.09M435.27M
Net Income142.59M228.70M283.83M283.34M368.07M170.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.19B5.12B4.93B4.57B4.46B4.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments318.00M346.53M324.97M313.43M348.76M520.31M
Total Debt2.72B2.78B2.49B2.06B1.93B2.11B
Total Liabilities3.22B3.10B2.87B2.40B2.28B2.37B
Stockholders Equity1.98B2.03B2.06B2.17B2.18B2.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.67M-27.11M-48.18M202.95M264.13M-162.94M
Operating Cash Flow511.78M678.97M479.23M713.87M541.76M216.80M
Investing Cash Flow-555.13M-693.69M-626.65M-571.33M-352.08M-138.18M
Financing Cash Flow42.06M36.28M158.96M-177.87M-361.23M-172.42M

Ta-Yuan Cogeneration Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:8931 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:1535TW:153569NeutralTWD 5.55B12.29―6.69%-23.64%-8.34%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:8931TW:893150NeutralTWD 5.12B36.41―3.82%0.74%-57.93%
TW:6179TW:617937UnderperformTWD 6.25B54.68―2.84%23.71%-25.55%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%-25%0%25%TW:8931TW:1535TW:6179TW:7740TW:7752TW:7911Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:8931 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:8931Ta-Yuan Cogeneration Co. Ltd.41.85-6.25-13.00%
TW:1535China Ecotek Corp.44.85-6.59-12.81%
TW:6179ATE Energy International Co. Ltd.35.254.9916.51%
TW:7740Seetel New Energy Co., Ltd.97.00-42.14-30.29%
TW:7752Century Huaxin Wind Energy Co Ltd23.45-45.25-65.87%
TW:7911Apollo Power Co. Ltd.90.00-41.84-31.74%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026