Skip to main content
TipRanks
Go Ultimate75% OFF

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd. (8488) AI Stock Analysis

TW:8488

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd.

(TWSE:8488)

Select Model
Rating:35Underperform
Price Target:TWD 8.00â–¼(-3.26% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

Jiyuan Packaging scores poorly, driven primarily by deteriorating fundamentals: four straight years of revenue decline, razor-thin 3.6% gross margins, a widening net loss, and negative returns on a shrinking equity base alongside debt that has roughly doubled since 2023. Technicals reinforce the caution, with the share price below all major moving averages, a negative MACD and weak momentum readings. Valuation provides no cushion given negative earnings and no dividend. The main offsetting positive is that the business remains free-cash-flow positive with disciplined capital spending, which buys time to restructure, but a recovery requires revenue stabilization, margin repair and debt reduction.

Positive Factors
Positive cash generationPositive operating and free cash flow in each of the last three reported years provides a liquidity source despite accounting losses. This can help fund ongoing operations and reduce reliance on external financing, although the benefit is tempered by the sharp decline in free cash flow during 2025.
Negative Factors
Sustained losses and weak marginsThe shift from profitability in 2020–2021 to sustained losses through 2025 signals a material deterioration in earnings power. A deeper 2025 net loss margin and negative operating margin reduce internal funding capacity and make a durable recovery dependent on restoring operating profitability.

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd. (8488) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-10%0%10%20%TW:8488-18.92%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 599.02M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
69.91K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-14.8
Beta (1Y)
0.39
Revenue Growth
28.79%
EPS Growth
51.37%
Country
TW
Employees
538
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Packaging & Containers

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company primarily engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of three-piece tin and two-piece aluminum cans throughout China. Its tinplate cans are specifically designed for packa...

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are weak across the board. Revenue has declined four consecutive years to NT$3.08 billion (down ~24% from the 2021 peak), gross margin has compressed to just 3.6%, and the company swung to an operating loss of NT$129 million and a widened net loss of NT$151 million (-4.9% net margin). The balance sheet is serviceable but deteriorating: debt remains elevated at NT$2.13 billion after more than doubling since 2023, equity has eroded for two straight years, and ROE is -6.4%, raising interest-coverage risk. The relative bright spot is positive free cash flow of NT$75 million with modest capex, but that figure fell ~41% year over year and represents only ~3% of revenue — thin against the debt load.

Income Statement

20Very Negative

Balance Sheet

42Neutral

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.84B3.08B3.32B3.83B3.93B4.05B
Gross Profit191.65M110.76M163.67M234.60M156.37M281.44M
EBITDA162.10M64.41M260.19M208.67M192.89M316.65M
Net Income-27.79M-150.73M-28.60M-118.05M-68.35M50.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.56B5.16B5.50B5.30B5.78B6.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.11B1.12B1.16B954.46M778.65M1.00B
Total Debt2.39B2.13B2.33B942.16M1.24B2.85B
Total Liabilities3.10B2.79B2.95B2.94B3.29B3.63B
Stockholders Equity2.46B2.35B2.55B2.36B2.49B2.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-35.37M74.94M112.76M556.11M-130.15M253.72M
Operating Cash Flow-1.64M96.41M168.12M712.82M28.96M512.85M
Investing Cash Flow-141.77M-136.03M122.76M-218.75M-69.02M-533.99M
Financing Cash Flow406.31M-190.31M-64.26M-183.17M-172.76M53.84M

Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:8488 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:4702TW:470248NeutralTWD 676.32M3.56―5.36%-30.82%387.63%
TW:8921TW:892146NeutralTWD 766.44M-34.85―1.66%1.69%-114.61%
TW:1324TW:132443NeutralTWD 709.90M-21.55―2.12%-12.03%25.26%
TW:8929TW:892939UnderperformTWD 629.73M34.38――-3.17%36.93%
TW:8488TW:848835UnderperformTWD 606.38M-14.77――28.79%51.37%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%-10%0%10%TW:8488TW:1324TW:2940TW:4702TW:8921TW:8929Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:8488 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:8488Jiyuan Packaging Holdings Ltd.8.27-2.08-20.10%
TW:1324Globe Industries Corp. Ltd.9.27-1.38-12.96%
TW:2940Sun Own Industrial Co., Ltd.23.95-0.44-1.78%
TW:4702Allied Industrial Corp., Ltd.9.32-0.19-2.02%
TW:8921Shen's Art Printing Co., Ltd.16.00-0.75-4.49%
TW:8929Fu Burg Industrial Co., Ltd.12.45-4.15-25.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026