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Redwood Group Ltd. (8426) AI Stock Analysis

TW:8426

Redwood Group Ltd.

(TPEx:8426)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:TWD 20.00â–²(4.99% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

Redwood Group earns a middling score. The dominant drag is deteriorating operating performance: revenue turned negative in FY2025 and margins compressed across every line, cutting net income by roughly two-thirds and ROE to 7.3%. This is partly offset by genuine financial resilience — modest leverage, a largely equity-funded asset base, and free cash flow that more than covers reported earnings. Technicals reinforce caution, with the price below all key moving averages and negative MACD, albeit at oversold levels that could invite a short-term bounce. The offset is valuation: a 9.3x P/E, 4.1% dividend yield and low beta provide downside cushion and income. Until gross margin stabilises and revenue growth resumes, the shares look fundamentally sound but cyclically challenged.

Positive Factors
Improving leverageLower leverage gives Redwood a healthier capital structure and greater resilience than earlier in the cycle. Reduced debt relative to equity can preserve financial flexibility, support investment, and lessen the pressure of financing costs during periods of weaker operating performance.
Negative Factors
Revenue contractionRevenue contraction signals weaker demand or reduced business activity and limits the company’s ability to spread fixed costs across a growing sales base. If the decline persists, it could constrain reinvestment, weaken operating leverage, and delay a return to stronger earnings growth.

Redwood Group Ltd. (8426) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%TW:8426-30.73%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 957.13M
Dividend Yield
4.20%
Average Volume (3M)
23.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.9
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
-4.61%
EPS Growth
-22.18%
Country
TW
Employees
1,252
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Redwood Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Redwood Group Ltd, along with its various divisions, specializes in providing interior design and fit-out services for luxury retail boutiques across Asia, the Middle East, the United States, and Europe. The company also serves as a bespoke manufactu...

Redwood Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A solid balance sheet (score 70) is the anchor: debt-to-equity has fallen to 0.40 from 0.94 in 2021, equity funds half of the NT$2.54bn asset base, and the company retains flexibility to ride out a weak cycle. Cash flow (64) is still healthy in absolute terms — NT$243m operating cash flow covered net income 2.6x and free cash flow of NT$162m is self-funding capex — though both metrics more than halved versus 2024. The income statement (52) is the weak link: FY2025 revenue fell 6.6% to NT$2.71bn, gross margin compressed to 26.6% from 32.1%, operating margin halved to 5.9%, and net income dropped ~63% to NT$93m, dragging ROE down to 7.3% from 30.6% in 2023. Financially resilient, but operationally deteriorating.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

64Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.70B2.71B2.87B2.86B1.70B1.42B
Gross Profit682.85M720.49M905.20M919.18M444.27M306.53M
EBITDA254.70M246.83M453.07M524.87M163.35M106.01M
Net Income107.14M93.00M252.69M329.03M32.32M5.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.28B2.54B2.36B2.31B2.21B1.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments321.35M504.47M474.37M335.99M391.11M293.20M
Total Debt505.94M510.64M493.57M599.56M655.05M675.69M
Total Liabilities1.12B1.27B1.07B1.23B1.43B1.13B
Stockholders Equity1.16B1.27B1.29B1.08B779.77M716.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.21M162.37M373.81M19.66M143.46M-15.17M
Operating Cash Flow131.59M243.48M415.00M79.25M179.82M82.41M
Investing Cash Flow-117.40M-82.13M-37.23M-73.90M-25.27M-89.86M
Financing Cash Flow-87.67M-118.29M-253.57M-67.48M-20.68M-20.50M

Redwood Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:8426 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:8426TW:842658NeutralTWD 994.80M8.94―4.20%-4.61%-22.18%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:8429TW:842954NeutralTWD 1.04B64.52――-5.49%6.64%
TW:4440TW:444048NeutralTWD 1.10B8.50―5.97%6.71%77.95%
TW:4433TW:443339UnderperformTWD 971.60M14.03―6.31%-1.86%―
TW:2939TW:293938UnderperformTWD 1.11B-15.95――-14.02%63.19%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-30%-20%-10%0%10%TW:8426TW:2939TW:4433TW:4440TW:7840TW:8429Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:8426 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:8426Redwood Group Ltd.19.05-5.95-23.81%
TW:2939Yong Yi International Group Co., Ltd.24.25-0.30-1.22%
TW:4433Singtex Industrial Co., Ltd.15.85-3.73-19.05%
TW:4440Yi Shin Textile Industrial Co., Ltd.16.75-0.98-5.52%
TW:7840Nice Garden Industrial Co., Ltd.30.50-6.45-17.45%
TW:8429Jinli Group Holdings Ltd.5.57-2.19-28.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026