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Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd. (8421) AI Stock Analysis

TW:8421

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd.

(TPEx:8421)

Select Model
Rating:38Underperform
Price Target:TWD 12.50▼(-4.21% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

The score is held down primarily by weak fundamentals: six years of flat revenue, compressing margins, a return to operating and net losses, and negative free cash flow for a second consecutive year while debt edges higher and equity shrinks. Technicals add little support, with the price below all major moving averages, though an oversold stochastic hints at possible short-term stabilisation. Valuation is unattractive at roughly 32x earnings with no dividend, leaving limited margin of safety. The main positives — consistently positive operating cash flow and EBITDA, plus leverage well below 2020-2021 extremes — are not yet enough to offset the lack of growth or an acceptable return on the asset base.

Positive Factors
Revenue GrowthThe 30.5% increase in 2025 revenue shows strong demand and improved commercial traction across the company’s packaging activities. If sustained, this expansion can broaden the customer base, increase operating scale, and provide a foundation for restoring profitability over subsequent reporting periods.
Negative Factors
Profitability PressureThe decline in gross margin, combined with a return to a net loss, shows that higher revenue is not currently translating into stronger earnings. Continued margin pressure would weaken internal funding capacity and make future results more dependent on a successful recovery in operating efficiency.

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd. (8421) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%TW:8421+8.00%SPY+8.82%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 899.58M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
162.64K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
31.6
Beta (1Y)
0.08
Revenue Growth
5.58%
EPS Growth
―
Country
TW
Employees
220
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd., a company based in Hsinchu City, Taiwan, specializes in the global manufacturing and distribution of various plastic packaging materials. Established in 1993, its primary focus is on heat-shrinkable films and t...

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak across the board. Revenue has been flat for six years and declined to NT$1.175bn in the latest period, while gross margin slipped to 16.5% and the company swung back to an operating loss and a net loss of NT$21.5m (net margin -1.8%), its fourth loss year in six. The balance sheet has improved from 2020-2021 distress but leverage is creeping back up to 1.31x debt/equity as equity erodes to NT$726m, leaving equity funding only ~38% of assets with negative ROE of -3.0%. Cash flow is the relative bright spot — operating cash flow stayed positive at NT$65m and EBITDA remains positive — but it halved year-over-year and heavy capital spending left free cash flow negative for a second straight year.

Income Statement

27Negative

Balance Sheet

40Negative

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.27B1.18B1.22B1.18B1.27B1.29B
Gross Profit227.17M193.99M237.71M200.03M144.99M169.24M
EBITDA124.05M127.76M147.20M137.25M627.24M33.16M
Net Income17.11M-21.51M816.00K-24.62M475.15M-113.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.99B1.92B1.91B1.97B1.98B2.26B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments110.99M173.51M142.06M223.80M200.26M186.30M
Total Debt932.26M949.99M891.04M856.12M761.45M1.51B
Total Liabilities1.22B1.15B1.10B1.06B991.80M1.77B
Stockholders Equity730.22M726.32M775.90M786.16M874.82M395.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.68M-8.51M-4.73M23.81M39.21M5.58M
Operating Cash Flow27.43M64.67M133.22M106.58M113.02M77.58M
Investing Cash Flow-28.28M-82.92M-42.82M-193.73M785.88M-54.87M
Financing Cash Flow1.43M38.25M-96.35M-18.28M-854.85M-20.75M

Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:8421 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:8410TW:841064NeutralTWD 841.55M5.34―6.96%-17.97%34.57%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:8921TW:892146NeutralTWD 789.74M-36.76―1.57%1.69%-114.61%
TW:1324TW:132443NeutralTWD 748.21M-30.52―2.01%-12.03%25.26%
TW:6593TW:659342NeutralTWD 965.67M-11.72―1.45%-21.61%-574.27%
TW:8421TW:842138UnderperformTWD 816.24M31.62――5.58%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-40%-20%0%20%TW:8421TW:1324TW:2245TW:6593TW:8410TW:8921Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:8421 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:8421Xu Yuan Packaging Technology Co., Ltd.13.050.978.00%
TW:1324Globe Industries Corp. Ltd.9.96-0.54-5.14%
TW:2245Nww Manufacturing Co. Ltd.22.65-1.86-7.59%
TW:6593Taiwan Name Plate Co., Ltd.30.90-11.20-26.60%
TW:8410Sentien Printing Factory Co., Ltd.23.00-15.09-39.62%
TW:8921Shen's Art Printing Co., Ltd.16.950.452.70%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026