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Union Bank of Taiwan (2838) AI Stock Analysis

TW:2838

Union Bank of Taiwan

(TWSE:2838)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:TWD 20.50â–²(4.59% Upside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

Union Bank of Taiwan earns a middling score. Record profits, expanding margins and improving return on equity are genuine positives, but they are weighed down by sharply higher leverage (debt-to-equity rising to about 1.45 from 0.10) and persistently negative operating and free cash flow. Technicals add to the caution, with the price below its key short- and medium-term moving averages and a negative MACD, although oversold RSI and stochastic readings hint at possible stabilisation. A moderate 13.6 P/E, a 2.34% dividend yield and a very low beta provide some valuation and stability support, leaving the overall profile balanced but tilted toward caution.

Positive Factors
Steady Revenue ExpansionSustained revenue expansion indicates that Union Bank of Taiwan is continuing to grow its banking franchise across its customer base and service channels. The acceleration in 2025 provides a stronger operating foundation for continued earnings generation over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Sharp Leverage IncreaseThe sharp increase in leverage is a material deterioration from Union Bank of Taiwan’s own historical balance-sheet profile. Higher debt relative to equity reduces financial flexibility, increases sensitivity to funding and credit conditions, and may constrain the bank’s ability to absorb shocks or pursue growth.

Union Bank of Taiwan (2838) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%TW:2838+12.18%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 91.00B
Dividend Yield
2.35%
Average Volume (3M)
1.95M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
14.2
Beta (1Y)
0.22
Revenue Growth
-6.39%
EPS Growth
27.60%
Country
TW
Employees
4,012
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Banks - Regional

Union Bank of Taiwan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Established in 1989 and headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan, Union Bank of Taiwan delivers a wide spectrum of banking and financial solutions complemented by diverse business ventures. The institution offers a comprehensive range of traditional banking s...

Union Bank of Taiwan Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Earnings momentum is the strength: revenue has nearly doubled since 2020 to about NT$34.7 billion, net income hit a record NT$6.08 billion in 2025 (+16.6%), and operating and net margins both widened. The balance sheet is expanding with assets above NT$1 trillion and equity up roughly 10%, but debt-to-equity jumped to about 1.45 from 0.10 and the equity cushion is a thin ~8% of assets. Cash flow is the clear weak spot, with operating cash flow of negative NT$10.8 billion and free cash flow of negative NT$12.2 billion in 2025, negative in four of the last six years. Solid profitability is therefore offset by rising funding reliance and inconsistent cash generation.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

36Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.67B34.74B32.75B29.35B22.06B19.64B
Gross Profit22.94B20.20B18.83B17.73B16.93B16.67B
EBITDA10.29B10.03B8.93B7.90B7.26B7.85B
Net Income7.06B6.08B5.22B4.32B3.54B4.46B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.06T1.06T995.46B939.15B845.00B841.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments52.45B103.15B52.68B43.30B37.22B43.32B
Total Debt108.83B123.80B7.63B7.74B7.66B10.64B
Total Liabilities966.37B970.36B916.00B868.50B781.88B775.72B
Stockholders Equity87.28B85.28B77.23B68.43B61.07B65.14B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.06B-12.24B-3.28B17.78B-5.27B-3.13B
Operating Cash Flow-20.75B-10.79B-1.76B21.44B-3.06B-2.70B
Investing Cash Flow11.90B-803.95M-2.63B-3.84B-4.40B-3.55B
Financing Cash Flow-9.62B-1.04B51.13M404.18M-8.92B5.60B

Union Bank of Taiwan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:2838 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:2812TW:281264NeutralTWD 109.87B11.61―2.25%2.05%8.92%
TW:6005TW:600563NeutralTWD 66.78B5.70―1.45%80.75%158.29%
TW:2838TW:283859NeutralTWD 88.70B14.20―2.35%-6.39%27.60%
TW:2845TW:284558NeutralTWD 61.30B12.45―4.08%-13.12%18.06%
TW:2855TW:285556NeutralTWD 80.07B5.27―4.13%592.27%347.85%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:2889TW:288955NeutralTWD 57.76B13.10―3.13%65.79%174.93%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%TW:2838TW:2812TW:2845TW:2855TW:2889TW:6005Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:2838 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:2838Union Bank of Taiwan19.602.0411.59%
TW:2812Taichung Commercial Bank Co., Ltd.17.35-2.42-12.24%
TW:2845Far Eastern International Bank12.600.524.33%
TW:2855President Securities Corp.51.1027.31114.77%
TW:2889IBF Financial Holdings Co., Ltd.15.950.684.49%
TW:6005Capital Securities Corp.27.606.0227.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026