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Cheng Loong Corp. (1904) AI Stock Analysis

TW:1904

Cheng Loong Corp.

(TWSE:1904)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:TWD 23.50â–¼(-0.42% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance: severe multi-year margin compression, a return on equity under 3%, rising leverage at roughly 1.05x equity, and free cash flow that has been negative in five of the past six years as capital spending outpaced internal cash generation. Supporting the score are early recovery signals — improving gross margin, higher operating profit and net income, and a strong 65% rebound in operating cash flow to NT$5.11 billion — alongside an inexpensive 10.9x P/E and a 1.9% dividend yield. Technically, the stock retains a positive longer-term trend above its 200-day average but has lost short-term momentum, with price below the 20- and 50-day averages and a negative MACD. Overall, this is a stable but low-return business whose rerating depends on sustained pricing improvement and moderating capital expenditure.

Positive Factors
Integrated packaging businessExposure to both paper production and downstream converting gives the company an integrated role in packaging supply chains. Serving logistics and retail distribution creates a durable end-market base and allows offerings to cover both material and finished packaging needs.
Negative Factors
Weak revenue and profitability trendThe sharp 2025 revenue decline and substantial margin compression indicate weakened demand, pricing, or operating leverage within the reported business. Persistently lower profitability reduces the earnings cushion available to absorb cost pressure and makes a durable recovery more dependent on renewed growth.

Cheng Loong Corp. (1904) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%TW:1904+27.69%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 26.32B
Dividend Yield
1.91%
Average Volume (3M)
1.84M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
10.9
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
-3.09%
EPS Growth
1111.63%
Country
TW
Employees
9,680
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Cheng Loong Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cheng Loong Corporation, founded in 1959 and headquartered in New Taipei City, Taiwan, operates as a diversified enterprise with a significant presence in paper product manufacturing and sales across Taiwan, Mainland China, and Southeast Asia. Its ex...

Cheng Loong Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cheng Loong shows the profile of a capital-intensive cyclical paper producer in a margin trough. Revenue has stagnated near NT$43 billion (down 4.9% year over year) while net margin has compressed to 1.9% from 9.3% in 2020, pulling net income down to NT$823 million and return on equity to roughly 2.8%. Leverage has risen to about 1.05x equity after years of heavy capacity spending, and free cash flow has been negative in five of the past six years, including a NT$1.04 billion shortfall this year. Offsetting this, the latest year shows genuine signs of bottoming: gross margin improved to 18.0%, operating profit rose about 21%, net income rose about 36%, and operating cash flow rebounded 65% to NT$5.11 billion — well above reported earnings and evidence of high-quality, depreciation-backed cash generation. Equity still funds about 41% of assets, keeping the balance sheet intact.

Income Statement

41Neutral

Balance Sheet

47Neutral

Cash Flow

45Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.04B42.98B45.18B42.17B43.92B44.99B
Gross Profit8.61B7.73B7.37B7.66B7.33B10.20B
EBITDA6.73B5.76B5.87B5.68B6.62B8.06B
Net Income2.40B823.02M605.11M922.12M2.52B3.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets76.59B71.98B72.51B70.63B70.01B66.44B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.65B5.96B7.36B6.05B7.36B7.08B
Total Debt32.33B30.81B31.02B28.91B27.97B24.59B
Total Liabilities45.13B41.95B42.04B40.93B40.71B38.04B
Stockholders Equity30.61B29.30B29.53B28.85B28.34B27.25B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow202.40M-1.04B-258.95M-313.46M-2.19B-3.19B
Operating Cash Flow5.59B5.11B3.09B4.13B4.90B3.69B
Investing Cash Flow-4.86B-6.26B-2.77B-4.57B-5.84B-6.24B
Financing Cash Flow3.25B-787.78M1.37B-394.73M742.28M1.64B

Cheng Loong Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:1904 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:9907TW:990769NeutralTWD 21.63B21.09―8.46%-11.46%-52.40%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:1904TW:190450NeutralTWD 25.82B10.93―1.91%-3.09%1111.63%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%TW:1904TW:9907Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:1904 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:1904Cheng Loong Corp.23.605.7131.89%
TW:9907Ton Yi Industrial Corp.13.95-3.20-18.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026