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Shihlin Paper Corporation (1903) AI Stock Analysis

TW:1903

Shihlin Paper Corporation

(TWSE:1903)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:TWD 44.00▼(-1.35% Downside)
Action:initiatedcoverage
Date:11/09/26

Shihlin Paper scores low primarily because of weak operating fundamentals: revenue has more than halved since 2021, EBIT remains negative, and free cash flow has been negative in four of the last six years, meaning the company cannot self-fund its heavy capital spending. The 2025 return to profit rests on non-operating gains rather than core performance. A solid balance sheet — 52% equity-to-assets and moderate 0.60x debt-to-equity — provides genuine downside support and is the main reason the score isn't lower. Technicals add further pressure, with the price below all key moving averages and negative MACD, though oversold RSI and Stochastic readings hint at scope for a near-term bounce. A P/E of 33.7 on low-quality earnings, with no dividend, leaves little valuation cushion. Value here rests more on asset backing than on business performance.

Positive Factors
2025 Profit ReboundThe return to positive net income provides a near-term earnings recovery after the 2024 loss and shows that the business can still generate profit when gross profitability is favorable. If maintained, this rebound can support reinvestment and improve financial resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Shrinking Revenue BaseA shrinking revenue base is a durable concern because it can reduce operating leverage, weaken the company’s market position, and make fixed costs harder to absorb. The sharp 2025 decline is especially important because it limits the durability of the reported profit rebound and future earnings growth.

Shihlin Paper Corporation (1903) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%TW:1903-20.07%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
TWD 11.58B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
95.01K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
32.8
Beta (1Y)
0.34
Revenue Growth
-1.63%
EPS Growth
―
Country
TW
Employees
24,964
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Paper, Lumber & Forest Products

Shihlin Paper Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shihlin Paper Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and sales of paper-related products in Taiwan, Europe, and Asia. It sells paper processed products, wet wipes, facial masks, skin care products, and bath products. T...

Shihlin Paper Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed and lean weak. The balance sheet is the clear strength (score 60): a 52% equity cushion, moderate debt at 0.60x equity, and shareholders' funds rebuilding to NT$5.5 billion. However, the income statement (score 40) shows revenue shrinking from NT$326 million in 2021 to NT$153 million in 2025, with EBIT negative in 2025 and in four of the last six years — the NT$336 million profit came almost entirely from non-operating items. Cash flow is the weakest link (score 27): operating cash flow of NT$109 million covers only a fraction of reported earnings, and heavy capex of NT$293 million left free cash flow at -NT$184 million, the fourth negative year in six. Overall, this resembles an asset-holding company with a solid balance sheet but an operationally weak, non-cash-generative core business.

Income Statement

40Negative

Balance Sheet

60Neutral

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue152.51M153.29M155.77M171.10M165.06M326.02M
Gross Profit97.54M99.94M93.49M84.95M76.14M176.50M
EBITDA194.51M407.70M36.05M141.99M254.46M126.97M
Net Income352.48M335.74M-21.01M86.35M211.78M84.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.60B10.56B10.27B8.71B9.30B12.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.38B3.54B3.47B2.33B3.24B6.62B
Total Debt2.64B3.29B3.19B2.66B2.44B2.33B
Total Liabilities5.09B5.03B4.99B4.41B4.13B3.98B
Stockholders Equity5.51B5.53B5.27B4.30B5.16B8.46B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-121.98M-184.13M-327.93M-124.58M113.61M171.83M
Operating Cash Flow141.40M109.06M28.30M136.87M276.50M176.99M
Investing Cash Flow-188.82M73.85M-468.52M-303.56M-222.84M-7.11M
Financing Cash Flow68.40M104.45M480.06M178.02M83.23M-155.69M

Shihlin Paper Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TW:1903 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TW:6790TW:679068NeutralTWD 9.84B11.95―7.17%-3.83%17.72%
TW:1708TW:170865NeutralTWD 11.22B11.02―3.52%3.55%34.35%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TW:1718TW:171842NeutralTWD 12.37B16.17――-11.78%―
TW:1903TW:190342NeutralTWD 11.73B32.79――-1.63%―
TW:1905TW:190540UnderperformTWD 12.55B-22.75――-6.94%23.37%
TW:1909TW:190933UnderperformTWD 11.92B39.46――3.63%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TW:1903TW:1708TW:1718TW:1905TW:1909TW:6790Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TW:1903 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TW:1903Shihlin Paper Corporation44.60-11.20-20.07%
TW:1708Sesoda Corporation45.4014.4546.66%
TW:1718China Man-Made Fiber Corporation9.542.5837.07%
TW:1905Chung Hwa Pulp Corp.11.60-0.80-6.45%
TW:1909Longchen Paper & Packaging Co. Ltd.9.04-0.79-8.04%
TW:6790Yuen Foong Yu Consumer Products Co., Ltd.36.951.293.62%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 09, 2026