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Thermal Energy International (TSE:TMG)
:TMG

Thermal Energy International (TMG) AI Stock Analysis

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Thermal Energy International

(TMG)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.00
▼(-100.00%Downside)
Thermal Energy International's overall stock score is driven primarily by its solid growth trajectory and strategic initiatives to reduce leverage, as well as promising corporate actions like share buybacks and securing new orders. However, profitability challenges and high valuation remain significant concerns. Technical indicators suggest a neutral outlook, while the earnings call provides mixed signals about current performance and future growth potential.

Thermal Energy International (TMG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Thermal Energy International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThermal Energy International Inc. engages in the development, engineering, and supply of pollution control products, heat recovery systems, and condensate return solutions in North America, Europe, and internationally. Its products include GEM steam traps; FLU-ACE, a direct contact condensing heat recovery system that recycles the heat lost through the boiler flue gas exhaust; DRY-REX, a low temperature biomass dryer; indirect contact heat recovery equipment; boiler economizers under the HeatSponge brand; wet and dry steam accumulators; electricity co-generation solutions; turn-key thermal energy solutions; and water treatment products and services. It serves food and beverage, pulp and paper, hospital, pharmaceutical, chemicals and petrochemicals, and other industry sectors. Thermal Energy International Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Ottawa, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyThermal Energy International generates revenue through the sale and implementation of its energy efficiency and emissions reduction products and services. Key revenue streams include equipment sales, engineering services, and long-term maintenance contracts. The company also engages in partnerships with industrial and commercial entities, which help drive sales and expand market reach. Additionally, TMG may benefit from government incentives and programs aimed at promoting energy efficiency and reducing carbon footprints.

Thermal Energy International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a record year-to-date revenue and strong financial positioning with significant debt reduction and a robust business development pipeline. However, the quarter faced challenges with a decline in quarterly revenue, negative EBITDA, and a net income loss. Despite these challenges, future investments and strong pipeline indicate potential growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Year-to-Date Revenue
Revenue for the year-to-date period was at an all-time high, 25% ahead of last year.
Trailing 12-Month Revenue Growth
Trailing 12-month revenue was $30.5 million, up 76% over the past two years.
Strong Balance Sheet
At the end of February, cash and cash equivalents were $5.1 million, with working capital at $2.4 million.
Debt Reduction
Long-term debt reduced to $1.4 million, down by approximately $2.1 million over the last two years through internally generated cash flow.
Strong Business Development Pipeline
The business development pipeline remains strong with many repeat and new opportunities.
Largest Engineering Contract Signed
A $500,000 engineering contract was signed with a leading multinational pharmaceutical company, marking the largest engineering contract ever.
Successful Repeat Business
A $1 million heat recovery expansion project was announced, continuing a successful partnership with a leading food and beverage company.
Negative Updates
Quarterly Revenue Decline
Revenue for the quarter was $5.8 million, reflecting a decrease of 4.1% from the previous year.
Negative EBITDA for the Quarter
EBITDA for the quarter swung to a negative $130,000 due to lower revenue and reduced gross margins.
Net Income Loss for the Quarter
Net income for the quarter showed a loss of $400,000.
Lower Order Intake
Year-to-date order intake remains behind compared to the same time last year.
Company Guidance
In the earnings call for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, Thermal Energy International reported a decrease in quarterly revenue to $5.8 million, down 4.1% from the previous year, primarily due to lower contributions from heat recovery projects. However, year-to-date revenue was at an all-time high, 25% ahead of the previous year, with trailing 12-month revenue reaching $30.5 million—up 76% over the past two years. The company's EBITDA for the quarter was negative $130,000, but they remained EBITDA positive on a trailing 12-month basis at approximately $1.1 million. Net income for the quarter was a loss of $400,000, yet they remained profitable on a trailing 12-month basis with a net income of $230,000. The balance sheet showed cash and cash equivalents of $5.1 million and working capital of $2.4 million, alongside a reduced long-term debt of $1.4 million. Order intake for the year-to-date was $17 million, with a backlog standing at $17.1 million. Despite a temporary lull, the company's business development pipeline remains strong, and significant investments made in the past two years are expected to drive profitable growth in fiscal 2026.

Thermal Energy International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Thermal Energy International shows a promising growth trajectory with consistent revenue increases and a strategic decrease in leverage. However, profitability and cash flow stability present challenges that need to be addressed for long-term sustainability. Strengthening operational efficiency and ensuring stable cash flows are critical for continued success.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The company exhibits strong revenue growth, with recent TTM revenue significantly higher than previous annual reports. Gross profit margin remains consistent, highlighting efficient cost management. However, net profit margin is modest, indicating room for improvement in cost control or pricing strategy. The recent decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins suggests operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy decrease in debt levels, improving the debt-to-equity ratio over time. There is a consistent increase in stockholders' equity, indicating retained earnings or capital infusion. However, the equity ratio remains low, suggesting that the company relies heavily on liabilities for financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The company experienced a significant drop in operating cash flow in the latest TTM period, which is a concern for liquidity. Free cash flow has fluctuated, showing a negative trend recently, which could affect future investments. Despite this, historically strong free cash flow to net income ratios indicate past efficiency in converting net income into cash.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
30.48M25.88M21.09M15.91M15.35M21.42M
Gross Profit
11.61M12.45M9.57M6.73M6.75M8.95M
EBIT
220.64K1.37M1.14M-1.41M335.47K-1.79M
EBITDA
1.29M2.14M1.76M-772.74K894.88K-1.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
153.11K929.50K717.96K-1.92M198.13K-1.90M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.14M6.97M2.81M2.46M4.24M4.77M
Total Assets
14.43M16.79M13.51M9.60M11.55M10.44M
Total Debt
2.81M3.89M4.73M5.31M4.81M3.30M
Net Debt
-2.34M-3.07M1.92M2.84M572.63K-1.48M
Total Liabilities
10.91M13.37M11.59M8.55M8.58M8.44M
Stockholders Equity
3.55M3.46M1.97M1.08M3.04M2.10M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-704.62K5.02M1.33M-1.99M-1.31M1.03M
Operating Cash Flow
-609.26K5.40M1.41M-1.64M-1.19M1.31M
Investing Cash Flow
-95.36K-376.89K-77.70K-351.93K-125.39K-280.55K
Financing Cash Flow
-1.54M-1.06M-1.04M357.56K892.79K-451.09K

Thermal Energy International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.13
Price Trends
50DMA
0.12
Positive
100DMA
0.13
Negative
200DMA
0.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
55.30
Neutral
STOCH
65.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TMG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.12, above the 50-day MA of 0.12, and below the 200-day MA of 0.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TMG.

Thermal Energy International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSBRM
74
Outperform
C$30.47M12.2930.34%29.80%-11.58%
TSTMG
66
Neutral
C$22.50M144.444.63%14.78%-90.82%
TSGRN
61
Neutral
C$14.91M-6.67%-32.69%94.36%
58
Neutral
$7.37B3.39-4.49%10.01%0.82%-49.15%
TSQST
56
Neutral
C$11.29M-9.94%1.06%56.94%
52
Neutral
C$17.10M-539.37%46.73%6.56%
TSDST
43
Neutral
C$3.21M23.34%-41.98%-123.77%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TMG
Thermal Energy International
0.13
-0.10
-43.48%
TSE:BRM
Biorem Inc
2.13
0.20
10.36%
TSE:DST
Dundee Sustainable Technologies
0.06
-0.06
-50.00%
TSE:SHRC
Sharc International Systems Inc
0.10
-0.05
-33.33%
TSE:QST
Questor Technology
0.40
0.04
11.11%
TSE:GRN
Greenlane Renewables Inc
0.10
0.01
11.11%

Thermal Energy International Corporate Events

Stock Buyback
Thermal Energy International Launches Share Buyback Program
Positive
May 22, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. announced a Normal Course Issuer Bid to purchase up to 8,655,715 common shares, representing approximately 5.0% of its outstanding shares. The company believes the market price does not reflect its business value and future prospects, and this move is aimed at benefiting the company and its shareholders. The bid will run from May 22, 2025, to May 21, 2026, with the option to terminate earlier if necessary. Shares acquired will be cancelled, and Beacon Securities Limited will handle the acquisitions in accordance with TSX Venture Exchange rules.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thermal Energy Secures $930K Order from Multinational Consumer Goods Firm
Positive
May 14, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. has secured a $930,000 order from a multinational consumer products company to expand the use of its GEM steam traps at a European site. This decision follows successful fuel savings and carbon emission reductions achieved at this and other sites, with the customer having invested over $4 million in GEM projects across nine global locations since 2022. The order is expected to be fulfilled within six months, indicating continued growth and strengthening of Thermal Energy’s relationship with the customer, potentially leading to further opportunities at other production sites worldwide.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Thermal Energy International Reports Record Year-to-Date Revenue Despite Q3 Challenges
Neutral
Apr 29, 2025

Thermal Energy International reported a record revenue of $23 million for the fiscal year-to-date period, despite a 4.1% decrease in third-quarter revenue to $5.8 million compared to the previous year. The company experienced a net loss of $403 thousand and negative EBITDA of $167 thousand for the quarter, but remains optimistic about future profitability due to recent investments in engineering and sales teams. The company aims to capitalize on its strong business development pipeline and expects higher revenues to contribute more significantly to profitability in fiscal 2026.

Financial Disclosures
Thermal Energy International to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 17, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. announced it will release its fiscal 2025 third quarter financial results on April 29, 2025. The company will host an earnings conference call and webcast to discuss the results, providing an opportunity for equity analysts to engage with management. This announcement is part of Thermal Energy’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders and could impact the company’s market positioning by showcasing its financial health and operational progress.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Thermal Energy Expands Heat Recovery Project for Major Client
Positive
Apr 16, 2025

Thermal Energy International Inc. has announced a $1 million expansion project to enhance the existing heat recovery system at a major multinational food and beverage company’s American site. This project is expected to significantly reduce natural gas consumption and CO2 emissions, further solidifying Thermal Energy’s role in providing energy efficiency solutions. The expansion is set to be completed within 9 to 12 months and is anticipated to strengthen the company’s relationship with the client, opening up additional opportunities at other sites.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.