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Provenance Gold Corp. (TSE:PAU)
:PAU
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Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PAU

Provenance Gold Corp.

(PAU)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.15
▼(-18.89% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/17/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (pre-revenue status, widening losses, and sustained cash burn requiring external funding) and limited valuation support (negative P/E and no dividend yield). Technical indicators are more neutral, offering only modest support versus the weak longer-term trend.
Positive Factors
Minimal Debt and Low Leverage
Minimal debt and extremely low leverage reduce near-term solvency pressure and interest obligations. This gives Provenance Gold greater flexibility to direct available capital toward exploration, while limiting the financial strain that would otherwise compound losses during its pre-revenue stage.
Negative Factors
Pre-Revenue Business Model
The absence of revenue means Provenance Gold is not yet supported by operating cash inflows or demonstrated commercial production. Its fundamental performance therefore depends on advancing exploration assets and securing financing, leaving earnings visibility weak over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Minimal Debt and Low Leverage
Minimal debt and extremely low leverage reduce near-term solvency pressure and interest obligations. This gives Provenance Gold greater flexibility to direct available capital toward exploration, while limiting the financial strain that would otherwise compound losses during its pre-revenue stage.
Read all positive factors

Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Provenance Gold Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Provenance Gold Corp. is an emerging exploration firm dedicated to identifying, acquiring, and developing mineral resources throughout North America, with a primary focus on gold and silver deposits. The company's significant holdings include seve...

Provenance Gold Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are weak due to no revenue, widening losses (TTM net loss ~ $2.76M vs. ~ $1.47M in 2024), and ongoing negative operating/free cash flow (TTM OCF about -$1.89M; TTM FCF about -$3.22M). The key offset is a comparatively stronger balance sheet with minimal debt (~$47.5K) and very low leverage, reducing near-term solvency risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-4.13K0.000.000.000.00-37.86K
EBITDA-1.81M-2.35M-846.32K-512.29K-361.39K-338.84K
Net Income-2.76M-2.35M-1.47M-1.18M-1.05M-882.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.34M13.07M6.86M3.00M2.71M2.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.99M3.97M2.57M263.21K385.86K551.08K
Total Debt47.50K47.50K47.50K47.50K47.50K47.50K
Total Liabilities238.33K393.65K719.70K121.23K96.02K124.17K
Stockholders Equity13.10M12.68M6.14M2.88M2.61M2.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.22M-1.55M-2.02M-1.34M-939.40K-2.45M
Operating Cash Flow-1.89M-1.55M-705.49K-510.93K-517.31K-807.07K
Investing Cash Flow-4.80M-5.00M-1.31M-832.39K-447.92K-1.66M
Financing Cash Flow8.30M7.95M4.32M1.22M800.00K2.98M

Provenance Gold Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.18
Price Trends
50DMA
0.17
Negative
100DMA
0.17
Negative
200DMA
0.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.86
Neutral
STOCH
22.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, above the 50-day MA of 0.17, and below the 200-day MA of 0.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PAU.

Provenance Gold Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
47
Neutral
C$41.20M-6.63-36.86%――47.55%
46
Neutral
C$46.85M-59.62-1.57%――-140.00%
45
Neutral
C$30.15M-10.06-23.40%――-18.55%
44
Neutral
C$54.08M-2.77-84.70%――-15.98%
42
Neutral
C$15.52M-2.76-192.11%――-37.34%
38
Underperform
C$29.24M-5.18-5002.48%――52.92%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PAU
Provenance Gold Corp.
0.16
-0.10
-38.46%
TSE:BBB
Brixton Metals
0.62
-0.21
-25.30%
TSE:WEX
Western Exploration Inc
0.66
-0.18
-21.43%
TSE:MRZ
Mirasol Resources
0.33
-0.11
-25.84%
TSE:RK
Rockhaven Resources
0.16
0.03
23.08%
TSE:TSLV
Tier One Silver
0.06
-0.08
-58.62%

Provenance Gold Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Provenance Gold Launches 2026 Drilling to Advance Eldorado West Gold Discovery
Positive
Aug 20, 2026
Provenance Gold has started its 2026 core drilling program at the Eldorado West Project in Oregon, following an extensive 2025 campaign that confirmed broad, shallow-dipping gold mineralization and high-grade intercepts across the Tyee and Herman ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 17, 2026