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Provenance Gold Corp. (TSE:PAU)
:PAU
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Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PAU

Provenance Gold Corp.

(PAU)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.17
▼(-3.33% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/26/26
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance typical of a pre-revenue explorer—widening losses and ongoing cash burn—despite low leverage. Technicals are mixed but somewhat improved near-term, while valuation is constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support. A positive drilling-program update provides a constructive catalyst but does not fully offset the current financial risks.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
Minimal debt reduces solvency pressure and leaves the company less exposed to interest costs or refinancing constraints. This provides greater financial flexibility while Provenance advances exploration, although the benefit depends on maintaining adequate funding as programs continue.
Negative Factors
No operating revenue
With no reported revenue, the company lacks operating income to fund exploration or absorb cost increases. Its financial outlook therefore remains dependent on project advancement and access to capital, rather than a recurring commercial business that can internally support ongoing activities.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage
Minimal debt reduces solvency pressure and leaves the company less exposed to interest costs or refinancing constraints. This provides greater financial flexibility while Provenance advances exploration, although the benefit depends on maintaining adequate funding as programs continue.
Read all positive factors

Provenance Gold Corp. (PAU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Provenance Gold Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Provenance Gold Corp. is an emerging exploration firm dedicated to identifying, acquiring, and developing mineral resources throughout North America, with a primary focus on gold and silver deposits. The company's significant holdings include seve...

Provenance Gold Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pre-revenue exploration profile with no revenue reported and persistent losses that widened in the latest period (net loss roughly -$1.47M in 2024 to about -$2.35M in 2025). Cash flow remains consistently negative with ongoing free-cash-flow burn, despite low leverage and improved equity/assets supporting solvency.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.000.000.000.00-37.86K
EBITDA-2.35M-847.00K-512.00K-361.00K-339.00K
Net Income-2.35M-1.47M-1.18M-1.05M-882.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.07M6.86M3.00M2.71M2.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.97M2.57M263.21K385.86K551.08K
Total Debt47.50K47.50K47.50K47.50K47.50K
Total Liabilities393.65K719.70K121.23K96.02K124.17K
Stockholders Equity12.68M6.14M2.88M2.61M2.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.55M-2.02M-1.34M-939.40K-2.45M
Operating Cash Flow-1.55M-705.49K-510.93K-517.31K-807.07K
Investing Cash Flow-5.00M-1.31M-832.39K-447.92K-1.66M
Financing Cash Flow7.95M4.32M1.22M800.00K2.98M

Provenance Gold Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.18
Price Trends
50DMA
0.17
Positive
100DMA
0.18
Positive
200DMA
0.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
62.27
Neutral
STOCH
66.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PAU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.17, above the 50-day MA of 0.17, and below the 200-day MA of 0.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PAU.

Provenance Gold Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
51
Neutral
C$39.33M-6.15-36.86%47.55%
49
Neutral
C$32.98M-12.24-28.01%-18.55%
48
Neutral
C$55.63M-76.92-1.57%-140.00%
45
Neutral
C$20.70M-3.46-192.11%-37.34%
44
Neutral
C$58.45M-2.95-84.70%-15.98%
38
Underperform
C$30.12M-5.02-5002.48%52.92%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PAU
Provenance Gold Corp.
0.18
-0.02
-10.00%
TSE:BBB
Brixton Metals
0.67
-0.08
-10.67%
TSE:WEX
Western Exploration Inc
0.59
-0.32
-35.16%
TSE:MRZ
Mirasol Resources
0.32
-0.09
-23.17%
TSE:RK
Rockhaven Resources
0.20
0.14
233.33%
TSE:TSLV
Tier One Silver
0.08
-0.04
-31.82%

Provenance Gold Corp. Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Provenance Gold Launches 2026 Drilling to Advance Eldorado West Gold Discovery
Positive
Aug 20, 2026
Provenance Gold has started its 2026 core drilling program at the Eldorado West Project in Oregon, following an extensive 2025 campaign that confirmed broad, shallow-dipping gold mineralization and high-grade intercepts across the Tyee and Herman ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2026