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Orogen Royalties (OGN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OGN

Orogen Royalties

(TSXV:OGN)

Select Model
Rating:79.3Outperform
Price Target:CAD 4.50â–²(8.96% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/06/26

The overall score is driven primarily by Orogen Royalties’ strong financial profile: rapid revenue growth, very high royalty-style margins, minimal debt, and significantly improved profitability and returns on equity support a high-quality, asset-light earnings base. This strength is moderated by the historical volatility in earnings and free cash flow and evidence of prior structural shifts in the asset and equity base, which warrant ongoing monitoring. Technicals currently show weak momentum and elevated volatility rather than a clear bullish trend, and the valuation appears reasonable but not deeply discounted, with no dividend yield to enhance total returns. Together, these factors yield a solid but not top-tier score reflecting attractive fundamentals with notable volatility and stability risks.

Positive Factors
Profitability and Revenue GrowthStrong recent revenue growth combined with exceptionally high gross margins indicates an asset-light royalty model with substantial operating profitability. If these economics persist, the company can retain more revenue for reinvestment, corporate costs, and shareholder value creation.
Negative Factors
Earnings VolatilityThe history of significant losses shows that Orogen’s earnings profile can change materially across periods. Although current margins are strong, this record reduces confidence that recent profitability represents a stable base and may complicate longer-term financial planning.

Orogen Royalties (OGN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

0%25%50%75%100%125%150%175%TSE:OGN+87.73%EWC+26.00%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 245.17M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
22.26K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.7
Beta (1Y)
1.92
Revenue Growth
58.33%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Canada
Employees
9
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Gold

Orogen Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orogen Royalties Inc. is a company focused on mineral exploration, with operations spanning Canada, the United States, and Mexico. Its activities are structured across two primary segments: Mineral Royalties and Mineral Exploration Project Generation...

How the Company Makes Money

Orogen Royalties makes money primarily through (1) royalty income and related payments from mineral properties where it holds royalty interests, and (2) consideration received from prospect-generation and property option/joint-venture agreements with...

Orogen Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is very strong, with rapid revenue growth, a sharp shift from prior losses to solid profitability, and exceptionally high margins for a royalty-style business. Net income near 10 million on roughly 16 million of revenue, minimal leverage, and a near-30% TTM return on equity indicate high-quality, asset-light earnings and robust returns on capital. The score is slightly tempered by historically volatile earnings and free cash flow and a past step-down then rebound in equity and assets, which point to some ongoing structural and cash flow stability risks.

Income Statement

94Very Positive

Balance Sheet

88Very Positive

Cash Flow

83Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.07M12.64M9.35M7.83M3.78M2.08M
Gross Profit15.98M12.56M9.27M7.74M3.65M1.89M
EBITDA9.66M6.40M4.40M3.14M841.03K-1.19M
Net Income9.59M4.56M2.59M3.04M840.18K-2.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.79M31.92M69.76M62.59M53.11M51.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.23M23.59M24.23M16.93M11.37M9.12M
Total Debt156.92K187.69K256.67K191.23K235.03K229.30K
Total Liabilities1.55M1.51M1.65M1.01M833.21K974.57K
Stockholders Equity37.24M30.41M68.11M61.58M52.28M50.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.96M1.36M3.05M-498.60K671.42K-3.56M
Operating Cash Flow2.37M1.36M3.05M1.36M687.12K-3.53M
Investing Cash Flow6.23M-422.90K1.02M-3.80M-349.41K2.05M
Financing Cash Flow-7.10M-7.03M2.92M5.29M251.49K718.10K

Orogen Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price4.13

Price Trends

50DMA4.50Negative
100DMA4.11Positive
200DMA3.75Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.13Negative
RSI51.48Neutral
STOCH63.19Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.94, below the 50-day MA of 4.50, and above the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OGN.

Orogen Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:OGN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:GGTSE:GG80OutperformCAD 231.34M11.3834.79%―95.04%247.07%
TSE:OGNTSE:OGN79OutperformCAD 226.17M18.7329.83%―58.33%―
TSE:FISHTSE:FISH70OutperformCAD 534.74M2.81197.04%2.50%87.76%―
TSE:MJSTSE:MJS63NeutralCAD 113.71M8.964.37%6.47%22.69%-20.87%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TSE:XTGTSE:XTG55NeutralCAD 93.11M16.5823.88%――62.95%
TSE:NCAUTSE:NCAU43NeutralCAD 89.12M-9.79-10.51%――-108.87%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%TSE:OGNTSE:GGTSE:MJSTSE:NCAUTSE:XTGTSE:FISHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:OGN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:OGNOrogen Royalties Inc.4.132.0598.56%
TSE:GGGolconda Gold Ltd3.391.6392.61%
TSE:MJSMajestic Gold0.09-0.06-41.78%
TSE:NCAUNewcore Gold Ltd.0.28-0.36-55.47%
TSE:XTGXtra-Gold Resource2.02-1.17-36.68%
TSE:FISHSailfish Royalty7.044.44170.87%

Orogen Royalties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Orogen Secures Royalty as Northern Discovery Acquires Cibola Copper-Gold Project

Positive
Oct 8, 2026

Orogen Royalties has sold a 100% interest in its Cibola copper-gold porphyry project in British Columbia to Northern Discovery Metals in exchange for $130,000 and 700,000 Northern shares, while retaining a 2% net smelter return royalty with a partial...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Orogen Royalties Expands Utah Gold Portfolio With Two New Epithermal Projects

Positive
Sep 2, 2026

Orogen Royalties has acquired the Toro de Oro and El Gigante gold projects in southwest Utah, expanding its portfolio of low-sulphidation epithermal targets in underexplored caldera complexes. Both properties, generated in partnership with Triple Fla...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Orogen Royalties Delivers Strong Q2 on Higher Gold Royalties and Cost Cuts

Positive
Aug 25, 2026

Orogen Royalties reported a sharp improvement in second-quarter 2026 results, with net income from operations rising to $3.7 million and net comprehensive income hitting $2.4 million, or $0.04 per share, versus a loss a year earlier. Royalty revenue...

Business Operations and Strategy

Orogen Royalties Secures Uncapped NSR on High-Grade Yukon Silver Project

Positive
Aug 20, 2026

Orogen Royalties has acquired a 2% net smelter return royalty on Silver North Resources’ Haldane silver project in Yukon, expanding its exposure to one of the world’s highest-grade silver districts. The uncapped royalty, with no buy-downs...

Business Operations and Strategy

Orogen Royalties and Aurum Discovery Launch Gold Exploration Alliance in Norway

Positive
Aug 17, 2026

Orogen Royalties has formed a two-year generative exploration alliance with Ireland-based Aurum Discovery to identify and advance gold and silver targets in Norway, backed by a €500,000 budget funded by Orogen. The partnership expands Orogen&#8...

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Orogen Royalties Shareholders Back All AGM Resolutions as Veteran Director Retires

Positive
Aug 14, 2026

Shareholders of Orogen Royalties approved all matters put forward at the company’s 2026 annual general meeting, with 18,758,519 shares voted by proxy, representing 31.60% of the company’s outstanding stock. Resolutions confirming the boar...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Orogen Royalties Acquires Arizona Two Peaks Project to Expand Prospect Portfolio

Positive
Aug 5, 2026

Orogen Royalties has acquired the Two Peaks CRD and skarn project in southeastern Arizona, an early-stage, road-accessible property in the Laramide porphyry copper belt hosting lead-zinc-silver-manganese replacement and copper skarn targets. The proj...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026