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Orogen Royalties (OGN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OGN

Orogen Royalties

(TSXV:OGN)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:CAD 4.00â–²(7.24% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/06/26

The score is primarily supported by strong financial performance (very high margins and minimal leverage, with improving free cash flow). This is offset by weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), while valuation is moderate at a ~18 P/E without a provided dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Margin StrengthStrong recent revenue growth combined with very high gross and net margins indicates an asset-light business with substantial operating leverage. If this performance persists, the company can retain more revenue as profit and fund royalties, partnerships, or exploration initiatives without proportionally higher costs.
Negative Factors
Project-Dependent Royalty EconomicsThe royalty model offers operating-cost leverage, but cash generation depends on third-party projects progressing from exploration to production. Delays or failure to reach production can postpone or eliminate expected royalty receipts, making durable earnings dependent on external project advancement.

Orogen Royalties (OGN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%125%150%175%TSE:OGN+71.89%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
CAD 221.42M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
22.32K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
16.9
Beta (1Y)
1.97
Revenue Growth
58.33%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Canada
Employees
9
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Gold

Orogen Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Orogen Royalties Inc. is a company focused on mineral exploration, with operations spanning Canada, the United States, and Mexico. Its activities are structured across two primary segments: Mineral Royalties and Mineral Exploration Project Generation...

How the Company Makes Money

Orogen Royalties makes money primarily through (1) royalty income and related payments from mineral properties where it holds royalty interests, and (2) consideration received from prospect-generation and property option/joint-venture agreements with...

Orogen Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are strong overall: income statement profitability is very high and improving (TTM net margin ~59.7% and revenue up ~11.2%), the balance sheet is exceptionally conservative (debt-to-equity ~0.004), and free cash flow is positive and growing (~C$3.0M, ~61.5%). The main constraint is historical volatility, including prior loss-making results and uneven cash conversion in some years.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.07M12.64M9.35M7.83M3.78M2.08M
Gross Profit15.98M12.56M9.27M7.74M3.65M1.89M
EBITDA9.66M6.40M4.40M3.14M841.03K-1.19M
Net Income9.59M4.56M2.59M3.04M840.18K-2.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.79M31.92M69.76M62.59M53.11M51.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.23M23.59M24.23M16.93M11.37M9.12M
Total Debt156.92K187.69K256.67K191.23K235.03K229.30K
Total Liabilities1.55M1.51M1.65M1.01M833.21K974.57K
Stockholders Equity37.24M30.41M68.11M61.58M52.28M50.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.96M1.36M3.05M-498.60K671.42K-3.56M
Operating Cash Flow2.37M1.36M3.05M1.36M687.12K-3.53M
Investing Cash Flow6.23M-422.90K1.02M-3.80M-349.41K2.05M
Financing Cash Flow-7.10M-7.03M2.92M5.29M251.49K718.10K

Orogen Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price3.73

Price Trends

50DMA4.58Negative
100DMA4.09Negative
200DMA3.75Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.17Negative
RSI39.62Neutral
STOCH64.32Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.98, below the 50-day MA of 4.58, and below the 200-day MA of 3.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:OGN.

Orogen Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

TSE:OGN against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:GGTSE:GG78OutperformCAD 212.78M10.0134.79%―95.04%247.07%
TSE:FISHTSE:FISH77OutperformCAD 493.72M2.50197.04%2.81%87.76%―
TSE:XTGTSE:XTG74OutperformCAD 97.74M17.3023.88%――62.95%
TSE:OGNTSE:OGN69NeutralCAD 221.42M16.9229.83%―58.33%―
TSE:MJSTSE:MJS63NeutralCAD 106.60M7.914.37%7.33%22.69%-20.87%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
TSE:NCAUTSE:NCAU43NeutralCAD 85.99M-9.45-10.51%――-108.87%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%TSE:OGNTSE:GGTSE:MJSTSE:NCAUTSE:XTGTSE:FISHDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
TSE:OGN and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:OGNOrogen Royalties Inc.3.731.5369.55%
TSE:GGGolconda Gold Ltd2.981.1562.84%
TSE:MJSMajestic Gold0.07-0.08-50.33%
TSE:NCAUNewcore Gold Ltd.0.28-0.38-58.02%
TSE:XTGXtra-Gold Resource2.11-1.21-36.45%
TSE:FISHSailfish Royalty6.263.40118.96%

Orogen Royalties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Orogen Secures Royalty as Northern Discovery Acquires Cibola Copper-Gold Project

Positive
Oct 8, 2026

Orogen Royalties has sold a 100% interest in its Cibola copper-gold porphyry project in British Columbia to Northern Discovery Metals in exchange for $130,000 and 700,000 Northern shares, while retaining a 2% net smelter return royalty with a partial...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Orogen Royalties Expands Utah Gold Portfolio With Two New Epithermal Projects

Positive
Sep 2, 2026

Orogen Royalties has acquired the Toro de Oro and El Gigante gold projects in southwest Utah, expanding its portfolio of low-sulphidation epithermal targets in underexplored caldera complexes. Both properties, generated in partnership with Triple Fla...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Orogen Royalties Delivers Strong Q2 on Higher Gold Royalties and Cost Cuts

Positive
Aug 25, 2026

Orogen Royalties reported a sharp improvement in second-quarter 2026 results, with net income from operations rising to $3.7 million and net comprehensive income hitting $2.4 million, or $0.04 per share, versus a loss a year earlier. Royalty revenue...

Business Operations and Strategy

Orogen Royalties Secures Uncapped NSR on High-Grade Yukon Silver Project

Positive
Aug 20, 2026

Orogen Royalties has acquired a 2% net smelter return royalty on Silver North Resources’ Haldane silver project in Yukon, expanding its exposure to one of the world’s highest-grade silver districts. The uncapped royalty, with no buy-downs...

Business Operations and Strategy

Orogen Royalties and Aurum Discovery Launch Gold Exploration Alliance in Norway

Positive
Aug 17, 2026

Orogen Royalties has formed a two-year generative exploration alliance with Ireland-based Aurum Discovery to identify and advance gold and silver targets in Norway, backed by a €500,000 budget funded by Orogen. The partnership expands Orogen&#8...

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

Orogen Royalties Shareholders Back All AGM Resolutions as Veteran Director Retires

Positive
Aug 14, 2026

Shareholders of Orogen Royalties approved all matters put forward at the company’s 2026 annual general meeting, with 18,758,519 shares voted by proxy, representing 31.60% of the company’s outstanding stock. Resolutions confirming the boar...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Orogen Royalties Acquires Arizona Two Peaks Project to Expand Prospect Portfolio

Positive
Aug 5, 2026

Orogen Royalties has acquired the Two Peaks CRD and skarn project in southeastern Arizona, an early-stage, road-accessible property in the Laramide porphyry copper belt hosting lead-zinc-silver-manganese replacement and copper skarn targets. The proj...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026