Northern Dynasty Minerals (NDM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $743.24M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.28M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.48
• Revenue Growth: N/A
• EPS Growth: -69.70%
• Country: CA
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 64
• Industry: Industrial Materials
• EPS (TTM): -0.08
• Shares Outstanding: 538,581,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 456,670
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,280,834
• PEG Ratio: 0.09
• Price to Book (P/B): 12.01
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: -36.96
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $1.80
• Price Target Upside: 30.49% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 48 Neutral
• Price Target: ―

Northern Dynasty Minerals faces significant financial challenges with no current revenue and ongoing losses. However, technical indicators show strong upward momentum, and recent positive corporate events could improve future prospects. The negative valuation metrics are a concern, but regulatory support for the Pebble Project could be a catalyst for future growth.

Positive Factors

Government Policy

The Executive Order to increase America's mineral production is expected to greatly help the Pebble Project.

Resource Development

The Pebble Project is one of the largest undeveloped copper assets in the globe and is likely to benefit from an expedited permitting process.

Negative Factors

Development Risks

Various risk factors related to the potential development of Pebble include commodity price risk, operating and technical risk, financial risk, and political risk.

Valuation Concerns

Various risk factors related to the potential development of Pebble are accounted for with a high discount rate applied to the valuation model.

Northern Dynasty Minerals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. engages in the exploration of mineral properties in the United States. Its principal mineral property is the Pebble Copper-Gold-Molybdenum-Silver-Rhenium project comprising 1,840 mineral claims that covers an area of approximately 274 square miles located in southwest Alaska, 17 miles from the villages of Iliamna and Newhalen, and approximately 200 miles southwest of the city of Anchorage. The company was formerly known as Northern Dynasty Explorations Ltd. and changed its name to Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. in October 1997. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Northern Dynasty Minerals makes money primarily through the development and eventual commercialization of its mineral resources, particularly from the Pebble Project. The company's revenue model centers around securing partnerships, joint ventures, or selling stakes in the project to larger mining companies with the capital and expertise to bring the project to production. Additionally, Northern Dynasty may generate income through royalties, licensing fees, or direct sales of extracted minerals in the future. However, as of now, the company is in the exploration and development phase, focusing on obtaining necessary permits and advancing the project to attract investment and partnerships.

Northern Dynasty Minerals Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Northern Dynasty Minerals is experiencing significant financial difficulties, with no revenue generation and ongoing losses. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but declining equity and high liabilities. Negative cash flows highlight liquidity challenges, indicating the need for improved operational efficiencies and revenue generation strategies.

Income Statement

Northern Dynasty Minerals has consistently reported zero revenue, reflecting challenges in generating sales. The company has negative gross and net profit margins, indicating ongoing operating losses. The company’s EBIT and EBITDA margins are significantly negative, which further highlights the operational inefficiencies and inability to cover fixed costs.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the declining stockholders' equity and increasing liabilities raise concerns about financial stability. The equity ratio is decreasing, impacting the company's long-term solvency position.

Cash Flow

Cash flow sustainability is a concern with negative operating and free cash flows, indicating cash outflows exceed inflows from operations. The operating cash flow to net income and free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable, showing inefficiencies in cash management and net losses.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
	Gross Profit
-120.00K	-162.00K	-164.00K	-104.00K	-192.00K	-533.00K
	EBIT
-18.80M	-18.34M	-22.35M	-24.61M	-31.23M	-62.54M
	EBITDA
-70.10M	-35.10M	-22.33M	-24.01M	-31.15M	-63.22M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-71.19M	-36.15M	-21.00M	-24.44M	-31.63M	-64.38M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
11.81M	16.14M	18.20M	14.17M	22.29M	42.46M
	Total Assets
132.62M	137.16M	143.85M	145.22M	159.28M	180.37M
	Total Debt
3.53M	3.47M	2.66M	613.00K	687.00K	916.00K
	Net Debt
-8.28M	-12.67M	-15.54M	-13.56M	-21.60M	-41.54M
	Total Liabilities
75.73M	39.96M	20.56M	2.53M	3.79M	8.07M
	Stockholders Equity
56.89M	97.20M	123.28M	142.69M	155.49M	172.31M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-18.51M	-17.14M	-22.11M	-23.99M	-32.48M	-57.82M
	Operating Cash Flow
-18.51M	-17.14M	-22.11M	-23.96M	-32.48M	-57.82M
	Investing Cash Flow
14.52M	14.59M	2.95M	15.67M	164.00K	130.00K
	Financing Cash Flow
198.00K	-123.00K	23.31M	-129.00K	12.19M	87.97M

Northern Dynasty Minerals Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1.38
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NDM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.38 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.44, below the 50-day MA of 1.38, and above the 200-day MA of 0.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NDM.

Northern Dynasty Minerals Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
AFM	77 Outperform	C$1.20B	8.33	29.84%	9.57%	76.60%	107.92%
Sector *	50 Neutral	$1.99B	-1.06	-21.34%	3.71%	2.03%	-30.65%
NDM	48 Neutral	$743.24M	―	-78.20%	―	―	-69.70%
WRN		$249.79M	―	-3.62%	―	―	―
AII		C$691.94M	―	-38.30%	―	―	―
PMET	38 Underperform	C$334.72M	5,680.00	-2.20%	―	―	-2226.67%
SRAFF		$210.55M	―		―	―	―

Northern Dynasty Minerals Corporate Events

Northern Dynasty Completes Annual Filings with ‘Going Concern’ Emphasis

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. has completed its annual filings for the year ending December 31, 2024, including audited financial statements and an annual report. The audit report included a ‘going concern’ emphasis, which is a standard requirement and does not indicate any changes to previous filings. This announcement ensures compliance with NYSE American regulations and maintains transparency with stakeholders.

Northern Dynasty Applauds U.S. Executive Order to Boost Mineral Production

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. has commented on a recent executive order signed by President Donald Trump aimed at increasing America’s mineral production. This order underscores the importance of securing a stable supply of essential minerals like copper and gold, which are critical for defense and infrastructure. The executive order directs federal agencies to expedite approvals for domestic mineral production projects, which could positively impact Northern Dynasty’s Pebble Project in Alaska. The Pebble Project, which contains significant resources of copper, gold, molybdenum, silver, and rhenium, is expected to provide substantial economic benefits to local communities and the broader U.S. economy.

Northern Dynasty Agrees to 90-Day Abeyance for Pebble Project Review

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. announced that it has agreed to a 90-day abeyance requested by the EPA and U.S. Army Corps of Engineers concerning litigation over the Pebble Project. This pause allows new agency leadership time to review the project’s challenges, especially after previous administration vetoes on mining activities. The company views this as an opportunity to renew discussions on permitting with hopes of advancing the Pebble Project, which they consider a strategically significant resource for the U.S.

Northern Dynasty Updates Shareholders on Pebble Project Developments

Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. has issued an open letter to shareholders, updating them on recent developments concerning the Pebble Project, which could significantly impact the project’s future. The letter outlines potential implications for the company’s operations and its position within the mineral exploration and development industry, as it navigates regulatory, financial, and operational challenges.