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Journey Energy (JOY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:JOY

Journey Energy

(TSX:JOY)

Select Model
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:CAD 5.00â–²(5.49% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:11/11/26

The score is supported primarily by a strong balance sheet and reasonable profitability, with valuation also favorable. These strengths are offset by negative free cash flow, uneven operating performance, and weak technical momentum.

Positive Factors
Healthy Operating MarginsStrong TTM gross and EBITDA margins show that Journey converts production revenue into meaningful operating earnings. This profitability provides resilience within its commodity business and can support ongoing development spending, debt reduction, and operational continuity over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Free Cash FlowPersistent negative free cash flow means operating cash has not covered capital spending across multiple periods. Continued reinvestment needs can limit funds available for debt reduction or other uses, and may require disciplined capital allocation to prevent pressure on financial flexibility.

Journey Energy (JOY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%80%TSE:JOY+20.92%EWC+19.77%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
CAD 225.52M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
370.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.5
Beta (1Y)
0.32
Revenue Growth
5.35%
EPS Growth
95.32%
Country
Canada
Employees
36
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Journey Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Journey Energy Inc. is an energy company primarily focused on the exploration, development, and extraction of crude oil and natural gas within the province of Alberta, Canada. Formerly known as Sword Energy Inc., the organization officially adopted t...

How the Company Makes Money

Journey Energy makes money primarily by producing hydrocarbons and selling them into Canadian and broader North American commodity markets. Its key revenue streams are: (1) crude oil sales—revenue is generated based on produced oil volumes multiplied...

Journey Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong balance sheet and healthy profitability support the score, but inconsistent revenue growth, declining EBITDA margin, and negative free cash flow remain material weaknesses.

Income Statement

68Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

53Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue174.53M171.65M204.04M186.92M235.58M123.84M
Gross Profit55.60M38.40M127.41M38.90M159.71M81.99M
EBITDA79.32M74.66M53.85M73.42M103.45M46.74M
Net Income39.18M25.92M5.14M15.82M155.20M99.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets586.63M576.13M585.38M610.14M639.20M357.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.27M1.54M8.21M17.71M31.40M15.36M
Total Debt44.12M50.80M54.64M62.37M110.37M65.07M
Total Liabilities199.37M221.38M258.84M293.72M354.52M272.94M
Stockholders Equity387.27M354.76M326.53M316.41M284.68M84.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.70M-5.13M-7.11M20.25M4.89M36.16M
Operating Cash Flow62.54M50.30M35.62M66.64M106.62M40.93M
Investing Cash Flow-41.01M-50.79M-38.78M-42.04M-102.20M-6.75M
Financing Cash Flow-12.43M-6.19M-6.35M-38.29M11.62M-25.41M

Journey Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.74

Price Trends

50DMA5.41Negative
100DMA5.11Negative
200DMA5.07Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.23Positive
RSI38.65Neutral
STOCH28.09Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:JOY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.24, below the 50-day MA of 5.41, and below the 200-day MA of 5.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:JOY.

Journey Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

TSE:JOY against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
TSE:HMETSE:HME75OutperformCAD 212.06M6.6838.81%7.10%1.90%4.58%
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
TSE:JOYTSE:JOY63NeutralCAD 319.86M8.4710.72%―5.35%95.32%
TSE:RBYTSE:RBY56NeutralCAD 316.44M-42.00-1.89%―17.00%-112.55%
TSE:PNETSE:PNE50NeutralCAD 179.40M-35.71-21.43%3.00%-3.18%70.62%
TSE:IPOTSE:IPO46NeutralCAD 488.01M-45.31-3.16%6.14%61.44%-16.23%
TSE:BNETSE:BNE42NeutralCAD 221.10M-106.70-0.41%―2.67%68.98%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%TSE:JOYTSE:PNETSE:HMETSE:IPOTSE:BNETSE:RBYDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
TSE:JOY and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
TSE:JOYJourney Energy (OTC)4.740.7418.50%
TSE:PNEPine Cliff Energy Ltd.0.50-0.31-38.35%
TSE:HMEHemisphere Energy2.250.2311.47%
TSE:IPOInPlay Oil17.605.4644.95%
TSE:BNEBonterra Energy6.202.5469.40%
TSE:RBYRubellite Energy Inc3.360.9237.70%

Journey Energy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions

Journey Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Results and Capital Program Expansion

Positive
Nov 10, 2026

Journey Energy reported third-quarter 2026 sales volumes of 9,559 boe/d, comprising 56% crude oil, 12% NGLs and 32% natural gas. Net income rose to $16.8 million from $4.4 million a year earlier, while adjusted funds flow increased to $24.3 million f...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Journey Energy Sells Northwest Alberta Assets to Fund Duvernay Growth

Positive
Sep 1, 2026

Journey Energy has closed the sale of its Ante Creek pool, Pine Creek gas field, and several minor Northwest Alberta properties, which were producing about 1,170 boe/d with significant end-of-life obligations. The approximately $28 million in proceed...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

Journey Energy Sells Northwest Alberta Assets to Fund Duvernay Focus

Positive
Aug 12, 2026

Journey Energy has agreed to sell a package of Northwest Alberta assets, including the Ante Creek pool and Pine Creek gas field, to a private buyer for $28 million in cash. The properties produce about 1,170 boe/d but carry roughly $31 million in end...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2026